{"id":30666,"date":"2026-03-19T01:02:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T01:02:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/powellin-yapiskan-enflasyon-uyarisinin-ardindan-gbp-usd-13300un-altina-geriledi-gun-ici-islemlerde-yaklasik-13375-13283-bandinda-seyretti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T01:02:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T01:02:45","slug":"powellin-yapiskan-enflasyon-uyarisinin-ardindan-gbp-usd-13300un-altina-geriledi-gun-ici-islemlerde-yaklasik-13375-13283-bandinda-seyretti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/powellin-yapiskan-enflasyon-uyarisinin-ardindan-gbp-usd-13300un-altina-geriledi-gun-ici-islemlerde-yaklasik-13375-13283-bandinda-seyretti\/","title":{"rendered":"Powell\u2019\u0131n yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan GBP\/USD 1,3300\u2019un alt\u0131na geriledi; g\u00fcn i\u00e7i i\u015flemlerde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3375\u20131,3283 band\u0131nda seyretti."},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD g\u00fcn\u00fc yataya yak\u0131n kapatt\u0131 ancak hareket aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 geni\u015fti; 1,3375 civar\u0131ndan 1,3283\u2019e kadar indi. Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi 1,3340\u2019a toparland\u0131, ard\u0131ndan Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda yeniden g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip seviyeye geriledi.\n\nFOMC (Fed\u2019in faiz karar komitesi), oy \u00e7oklu\u011fuyla (11\u2019e 1) faizi %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu. Guvern\u00f6r Stephen Miran, faiz indirimi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde kar\u015f\u0131 oy kulland\u0131. SEP\u2019te (\u00fcyelerin enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini i\u00e7eren \u201c\u00d6zet Ekonomik Projesiyonlar\u201d raporu) 2026 PCE enflasyon (Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi) tahmini hem man\u015fet hem \u00e7ekirdek (enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7) i\u00e7in %2,5\u2019ten %2,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. GDP (GSYH, yani ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme) tahmini de %2,4\u2019e s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekildi.\n\nDot plot (\u00fcyelerin gelecekteki faiz seviyesine dair nokta grafi\u011fi) medyan\u0131 bu y\u0131l h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir faiz indirimi g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak bu y\u0131l hi\u00e7 indirim beklemeyen \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131dan yediye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Uzun vadeli n\u00f6tr faiz (ekonomiyi ne h\u0131zland\u0131ran ne yava\u015flatan \u201cdenge\u201d faiz seviyesi) tahmini %3,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.\n\nPowell, enflasyonda ilerlemenin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Devam eden mal enflasyonunu (\u00fcr\u00fcn fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131) tarifelere ba\u011flad\u0131; hedefin \u00fczerindeki \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun yar\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcne kadar\u0131n\u0131n tarifeler kaynakl\u0131 oldu\u011funu tahmin etti. Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 petrol etkilerinin kapsam\u0131 ve s\u00fcresi i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz erken oldu\u011funu, tarifelerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 mal fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmadan Fed\u2019in enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonu \u201cg\u00f6rmezden gelemeyece\u011fini\u201d ifade etti.\n\nOdak \u015fimdi BoE\u2019ye (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) \u00e7evriliyor. \u015eubatta 5-4 oyla \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan baz\u0131 tahminler 7-2 veya 6-3 gibi bir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131ma i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130ngiltere hizmetler T\u00dcFE\u2019si %4,4 geldi; BoE tahmini %4,1\u2019di. Bir\u00e7ok ekonomist art\u0131k ilk indirimin en erken nisan ay\u0131nda olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\n15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte GBP\/USD 1,3290\u2019dayd\u0131. Parite 200 d\u00f6nemlik EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n e\u011filimini yumu\u015fatarak g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3326 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken Stokastik (a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m sinyali \u00fcreten momentum g\u00f6stergesi) tek hanelerdeydi. Diren\u00e7 1,3320\u20131,3335 ve 1,3360; destek ise 1,3285 ard\u0131ndan 1,3250 seviyelerinde.\n\nFed\u2019in faizi sabit tutup enflasyonun daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fi mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015f (enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131) ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken GBP\/USD \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa vadede bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131ndaki sert sat\u0131\u015f, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed\u2019i di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131k\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nYar\u0131n BoE\u2019nin de faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ancak BoE\u2019nin duru\u015fu daha zay\u0131f ve daha tepkisel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u0130ndirimleri, ABD\u2019deki gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tablo nedeniyle de\u011fil, petrol \u015fokunun yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131 nedeniyle \u00f6telemek zorunda kal\u0131yor. Merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda dolar\u0131 sterline kar\u015f\u0131 desteklemeye devam etmesi beklenebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed s\u00fcrprizi ve Powell\u2019\u0131n \u015fahin tonu GBP\/USD\u2019yi dalgaland\u0131rd\u0131: 1,3375\u2019ten 1,3283\u2019e sarkt\u0131. Dot plot indirime i\u015faret etse de y\u00fcksek enflasyon mesaj\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekledi; g\u00f6zler daha g\u00fcvercin BoE\u2019de.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30666","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30666"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30666\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30666"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30666"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30666"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}