{"id":30665,"date":"2026-03-19T01:02:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T01:02:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/fedin-kalici-enflasyon-ve-petrol-belirsizligine-iliskin-uyarilarinin-ardindan-abd-dolar-endeksi-gunun-son-bolumunde-sert-yukselerek-zirveye-cikti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T01:02:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T01:02:06","slug":"fedin-kalici-enflasyon-ve-petrol-belirsizligine-iliskin-uyarilarinin-ardindan-abd-dolar-endeksi-gunun-son-bolumunde-sert-yukselerek-zirveye-cikti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fedin-kalici-enflasyon-ve-petrol-belirsizligine-iliskin-uyarilarinin-ardindan-abd-dolar-endeksi-gunun-son-bolumunde-sert-yukselerek-zirveye-cikti\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019in kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon ve petrol belirsizli\u011fine ili\u015fkin uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar Endeksi g\u00fcn\u00fcn son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde sert y\u00fckselerek zirveye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyip Ba\u015fkan Jerome Powell \u201cenflasyondaki iyile\u015fmenin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yleyince g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvelere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. DXY daha \u00f6nce neredeyse yatayd\u0131; faiz karar\u0131 ve bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 sert y\u00fckseldi.\n\nFed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 alan Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC), politika faizini (federal fonlama faizi) 3,50%\u20133,75% aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmak i\u00e7in 11\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 1 oy verdi. \u00dcye Stephen Miran 25 baz puanl\u0131k (bp: y\u00fczde puan\u0131n y\u00fczde 1\/100\u2019\u00fc) indirim istedi. Fed\u2019in Ekonomik Projeksiyon \u00d6zeti\u2019nde (SEP), 2026 Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE: Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) enflasyon tahmini hem man\u015fet (genel) hem \u00e7ekirdek (enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7) \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmde Aral\u0131k\u2019taki 2,5% seviyesinden 2,7%\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. 2026 GSYH (GDP: ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck) b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise 2,4%\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\n<h3>Fed Sinyalleri Ve Enflasyon G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n\u201cDot plot\u201d (Fed \u00fcyelerinin faiz beklentilerini nokta olarak g\u00f6steren grafik) medyan\u0131, bu y\u0131l bir faiz indirimine i\u015faret etmeye devam ediyor. 2026\u2019da hi\u00e7 indirim beklemeyen \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi (Aral\u0131k\u2019ta 6\u2019yd\u0131) ve uzun vadeli \u201cn\u00f6tr faiz\u201d (ekonomiyi ne h\u0131zland\u0131ran ne yava\u015flatan faiz) tahmini 3,0%\u2019dan 3,1%\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nPowell, g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri (tarifeler) kaynakl\u0131 mal enflasyonunun (\u00fcr\u00fcn fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) enflasyonun daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcnde engel olmaya devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 petrol fiyat\u0131 etkilerinin kapsam\u0131 ve s\u00fcresi i\u00e7in erken oldu\u011funu belirtti; enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonun, tarifelerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131lar azalmadan g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.\n\n15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte DXY 100,13 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: fiyat\u0131n e\u011filimini yumu\u015fatarak g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,70 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma) seviyeleri 100,00, 99,80 ve 99,70; diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlanma) 100,20 ve sonraki hedef 100,40 olarak belirtildi.\n\n<h3>Faiz Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na (Volatiliteye) G\u00f6re Konumlanma<\/h3>\nPiyasa Fed\u2019in faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131 (faizin gelecekteki olas\u0131 seyri) yeniden fiyatl\u0131yor; tek \u201cindirim\u201d oyu giderek daha yaln\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu durum, faiz t\u00fcrevlerinde (t\u00fcrevin de\u011feri faize ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u201cdaha az indirim\u201d senaryosuna y\u00f6nelik f\u0131rsatlar yarat\u0131yor. Fed fon faizine ba\u011fl\u0131 vadeli kontratlarda (futures: belirli tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) k\u0131sa pozisyon veya yaz aylar\u0131na kadar faizin mevcut seviyede kalmas\u0131 halinde kazand\u0131ran opsiyonlar (opsiyon: belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan stratejiler aras\u0131nda.\n\nFed\u2019in bu \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015fu (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 savunan tutum) son verilerle destekleniyor. \u015eubat 2026 T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI: t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) raporu, enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k 3,4% oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi; bu oran y\u00fcksek seyrini koruyarak 2025 sonundaki iyile\u015fmenin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri \u00e7evirdi. Bu tablo Fed\u2019in enflasyon tahminindeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonunu ve daha temkinli politika dilini destekliyor.\n\n\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 da s\u0131k\u0131 (talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu, i\u015fsizli\u011fin g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyretti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm) kal\u0131yor. Son istihdam raporu 250 binin \u00fczerinde yeni bordrolu istihdam (payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fccretli istihdam) art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu da Fed\u2019in faiz indirimiyle talebi daha da art\u0131rma riskini almak i\u00e7in az gerek\u00e7e bulmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma Brent ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar civar\u0131nda tutarak kal\u0131c\u0131 bir maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; Fed\u2019in bunu \u201cge\u00e7ici\u201d saymas\u0131 zorla\u015f\u0131yor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">i\u015fleme ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Powell\u2019\u0131n \u201cenflasyon yava\u015fl\u0131yor\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131 DXY\u2019yi u\u00e7urdu! Fed faizi 3,50\u20133,75\u2019te sabit tuttu; PCE tahmini y\u00fckseldi. \u015eahin ton, daha az indirim fiyatlamas\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdamla dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30665"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30665\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}