{"id":30656,"date":"2026-03-18T23:04:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T23:04:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/fedin-faiz-karari-oncesinde-eur-usd-11500den-yukseliyor-dolar-zirvelerden-geri-cekiliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T23:04:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T23:04:22","slug":"fedin-faiz-karari-oncesinde-eur-usd-11500den-yukseliyor-dolar-zirvelerden-geri-cekiliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fedin-faiz-karari-oncesinde-eur-usd-11500den-yukseliyor-dolar-zirvelerden-geri-cekiliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde EUR\/USD 1,1500\u2019den y\u00fckseliyor; Dolar zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekiliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (USD) Fed karar\u0131n\u0131n (TS\u0130 21:00 \/ 18:00 GMT) \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi. Parite Avrupa seans\u0131nda k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,1500\u2019nin alt\u0131na indikten sonra 1,1518 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \n\nDolar, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n G\u00fcney Pars (South Pars) do\u011fal gaz sahas\u0131na sald\u0131r\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nce destek bulmu\u015ftu. Bu geli\u015fme, ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gerilim s\u00fcrerken enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) riski y\u00fckselince, ABD faizlerinin daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fi beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. \n\n

ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi H\u0131zla Y\u00fckseldi<\/h3>\nABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (PPI: \u00fcreticilerin sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verileri de bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekledi. Man\u015fet PPI \u015fubatta ayl\u0131k bazda (MoM) %0,7 artt\u0131; bu oran ocakta %0,5\u2019ti ve beklenti %0,3\u2019t\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k oran (YoY) %2,9\u2019dan %3,4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek PPI (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 g\u00f6sterge) ayl\u0131k %0,5, y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,9 y\u00fckseldi. \n\nABD Hazine tahvil getirileri (tahvil faizi) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi ve Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 99,77 civar\u0131nda, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,22 art\u0131da seyretti. Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon verileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 etki yaratt\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek HICP (Harmonize T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi: AB standard\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) ayl\u0131k %0,8 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4; man\u015fet HICP ayl\u0131k %0,6 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %1,9 oldu. \n\nFed\u2019in faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ikinci toplant\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Piyasalar daha \u00f6nce 2026\u2019da en az iki faiz indirimi fiyatlarken, art\u0131k 25 baz puanl\u0131k (bps: y\u00fczde 0,01) tek bir indirimi bile tam olarak fiyatlam\u0131yor. Odak, Ba\u015fkan Powell\u2019\u0131n y\u00f6nlendirmesi ve \u201cdot plot\u201dta (Fed \u00fcyelerinin faiz beklentilerini nokta \u015feklinde g\u00f6steren grafik) olacak. \n\n

Fed Politikas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Piyasa Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\nBu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD enflasyon verisi, Fed\u2019in k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirimi yapmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re (vadeli i\u015flemlere dayanarak piyasan\u0131n faiz beklentisini olas\u0131l\u0131k olarak hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge) hazirana kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7en ay %50\u2019nin \u00fczerindeyken bu sabah %15\u2019in alt\u0131na geriledi. Bu tablo, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda \u201cuzun pozisyonu\u201d (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) destekliyor. \n\nEUR\/USD taraf\u0131nda Fed ile Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) aras\u0131nda belirgin bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00fcretici enflasyonu %3,4\u2019e h\u0131zlan\u0131rken Euro B\u00f6lgesi man\u015fet t\u00fcketici enflasyonu %1,9\u2019da kal\u0131yor. Bu fark, ECB\u2019ye Fed\u2019e k\u0131yasla daha fazla hareket alan\u0131 veriyor ve temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm EUR\/USD\u2019de zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \n\n\u0130ran enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131, Brent petrol\u00fc yeniden varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Bu hareket, k\u00fcresel enflasyon endi\u015felerini do\u011frudan art\u0131r\u0131yor. 2022\u2019deki enerji \u015fokunda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, bu t\u00fcr d\u00f6nemler merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131rmaya\/y\u00fcksek tutmaya daha istekli) kalmaya itebiliyor. Bu benzerlik, ABD faizlerinin y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fi beklentisini destekliyor. \n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde EUR\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak, temkinli bir strateji olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Buradaki kritik ba\u015fl\u0131k, bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Fed \u201cdot plot\u201du. 2026 i\u00e7in s\u0131f\u0131r faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne kayma, paritede bir sonraki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilir. 2025 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 1,1350 destek seviyesine do\u011fru bir hareket izlenebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed \u00f6ncesi EUR\/USD 1,1518\u2019e y\u00f6nelirken jeopolitik risk ve PPI \u015foku dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Brent 100$ \u00fcst\u00fc enflasyon korkusu yarat\u0131yor; \u201cdot plot\u201d \u015fahinle\u015firse 1,1350 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30656"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30656\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}