{"id":30626,"date":"2026-03-18T15:07:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T15:07:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/fed-karari-oncesinde-dow-ve-s-yonu-vix-belirliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T15:07:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T15:07:14","slug":"fed-karari-oncesinde-dow-ve-s-yonu-vix-belirliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-karari-oncesinde-dow-ve-s-yonu-vix-belirliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Dow ve S&#038;P vadeli i\u015flemleri y\u00fckseli\u015fte, Nasdaq geride; y\u00f6n\u00fc VIX belirliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD endeks vadeli i\u015flemleri 18 Mart 2026\u2019da New York a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131na do\u011fru daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti. Odak, Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131 ve FOMC (Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi) ekonomik tahminleri \u00f6ncesinde kritik \u201cpivot\u201d (piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n belirledi\u011fi d\u00f6n\u00fcm) seviyelerindeydi. Toparlanma Dow ve S&#038;P 500\u2019de Nasdaq\u2019a g\u00f6re daha ilerideydi. VIX (oynakl\u0131k endeksi; piyasadaki korku\/riski \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) ise risk kontrol\u00fc olarak yak\u0131ndan izlendi.\n\nDow vadeli i\u015flemleri 47.279 seviyesindeydi; TPO POC 47.020\u2019nin \u00fczerinde, VPOC\/CP 47.022\u2019nin \u00fczerinde ve VAH 47.240\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde; VAL 46.960.  \n&#8211; TPO POC (Time Price Opportunity Point of Control): G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde en fazla zaman ge\u00e7irilen fiyat.  \n&#8211; VPOC (Volume Point of Control): En \u00e7ok i\u015flem hacminin olu\u015ftu\u011fu fiyat.  \n&#8211; CP (Control Point): Piyasan\u0131n \u201cdenge\u201d noktas\u0131 gibi izlenen ana seviye.  \n&#8211; VAH\/VAL (Value Area High\/Low): \u0130\u015flemlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7ti\u011fi \u201cde\u011fer alan\u0131\u201d \u00fcst\/alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131.  \nKritik seviyeler: CP 47.297, UG 47.481\u201347.595, UR 48.078, LG 47.133\u201347.031 ve LR 46.600.  \n&#8211; UG\/LG (Upper\/Lower Gap): Yukar\u0131\/a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u201cbo\u015fluk\u201d alan\u0131; fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fi\/\u00e7ekim yaratabilen b\u00f6lge.  \n&#8211; UR\/LR (Upper\/Lower Reference): Yukar\u0131\/a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ana referans (uzak hedef\/destek) seviyesi.\n\nS&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri 6.753 seviyesindeydi; TPO POC 6.755\u2019e yak\u0131n, VPOC\/CP 6.742\u2019nin \u00fczerinde; VAH 6.762 ve VAL 6.730. Kritik seviyeler: CP 6.764, UG 6.788\u20136.803, UR 6.866, LG 6.731\u20136.711 ve LR 6.627; fiyat yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,45 yukar\u0131dayd\u0131.\n\nNasdaq vadeli i\u015flemleri 24.939 seviyesindeydi; LG 24.939\u201324.870 band\u0131na yak\u0131n. TPO POC 24.947, VPOC\/CP 24.960, VAH 24.990 ve VAL 24.860; yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,60 y\u00fckseldi. Kritik seviyeler: CP 25.051, UG 25.134\u201325.186, UR 25.405 ve LR 24.579.\n\nVIX 21,78\u201320,70 band\u0131ndayd\u0131; referans seviyeler 24,80\u201323,54 ve CP 26,38 olarak izlendi. 26,38\u2019e do\u011fru ya da \u00fcst\u00fcne hareket, toparlanma i\u00e7in uyar\u0131 sinyali olarak not edildi.\n\nPiyasa, bu \u00f6\u011fleden sonra a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli bekliyor. Vadeli i\u015flemlerdeki toparlanma S&#038;P 500\u2019\u00fc 6.764 civar\u0131ndaki kritik pivot seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131yor; bu seviye \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015fleri bir\u00e7ok kez geri \u00e7evirmi\u015fti. \u015eubat enflasyon verisinde T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) beklentilerin \u00fczerinde %2,9\u2019da kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle, Fed\u2019den \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131, daha y\u00fcksek faiz vurgusu) bir mesaj gelmesi bu y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\nVIX\u2019in 21 civar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede rahatlat\u0131c\u0131, ancak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm k\u0131r\u0131lgan. Eyl\u00fcl 2025 toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra Fed piyasadan daha fazla faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 sinyali verdi\u011finde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n 30\u2019un \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc karar sonras\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam edebilmesi i\u00e7in VIX\u2019in 22\u2019nin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 kritik g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 haftada, Fed\u2019in yol haritas\u0131 netle\u015fene kadar \u201cn\u00f6tr opsiyon\u201d stratejisi daha temkinli bir tercih olabilir. SPX gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck endekslerde \u201cstraddle\/strangle\u201d (y\u00f6n se\u00e7meden, iki tarafa da pozisyon alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyen opsiyon stratejileri) almak, s\u00fcrpriz bir politika mesaj\u0131n\u0131n yaratabilece\u011fi sert hareketlerde iki y\u00f6nde de kazan\u00e7 f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunar. B\u00f6ylece karar sonras\u0131 artmas\u0131 beklenen oynakl\u0131k i\u015flem yap\u0131labilir; piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011fru tahmin etme zorunlulu\u011fu azal\u0131r.\n\nNasdaq\u2019\u0131n geride kalmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir sinyal; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Nasdaq faiz beklentilerine en hassas endeks. Son bir ayda ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin %4,3\u2019e do\u011fru yeniden y\u00fckselmesiyle, \u00f6zellikle \u201cy\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme\u201d hisseleri di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlere g\u00f6re daha fazla bask\u0131 hissediyor. Toparlanman\u0131n genele yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit i\u00e7in Nasdaq\u2019\u0131n 25.051 pivotunu yeniden kazanmas\u0131 gerekiyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi ABD vadeliler g\u00fc\u00e7lendi: Dow ve S&#038;P 500 \u00f6nde, Nasdaq temkinli. Kritik pivotlar testte; VIX 21 civar\u0131 rahatlat\u0131yor. \u015eahin mesaj riski y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30626"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30626\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}