{"id":30614,"date":"2026-03-18T13:04:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T13:04:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-islemleri-sirasinda-eur-usd-11550-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-yatirimcilar-fed-kararini-bekliyor-dolarin-gucu-destekleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T13:04:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T13:04:45","slug":"avrupa-islemleri-sirasinda-eur-usd-11550-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-yatirimcilar-fed-kararini-bekliyor-dolarin-gucu-destekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-islemleri-sirasinda-eur-usd-11550-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-yatirimcilar-fed-kararini-bekliyor-dolarin-gucu-destekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa i\u015flemleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda EUR\/USD 1,1550 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Fed karar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor; dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc destekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, \u00fcst \u00fcste iki seans y\u00fckseldikten sonra \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,1550 yak\u0131n\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite, Fed\u2019in 18:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 karar \u00f6ncesinde ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n dengelenme \u00e7abas\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015fini durdurdu.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), Dolar\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7er, 99,50 civar\u0131nda destek bulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu seviye, \u00f6nceki iki i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\n<h3>Fed Karar\u0131 Odakta<\/h3>\nPiyasalar, CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re, Fed\u2019in politika faizini (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiyi y\u00f6nlendirmek i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 temel faiz) %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131yla birlikte k\u00fcresel enflasyon beklentileri (gelecekte fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n seviyesi) art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.\n\nFaizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131 beklenirken, odak Fed\u2019in \u201cdot plot\u201duna ve Ba\u015fkan Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. Dot plot, Fed yetkililerinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemlerde politika faizinin nerede olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini g\u00f6steren nokta grafi\u011fidir.\n\nEuro, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde genel olarak zay\u0131f seyretti. ECB\u2019nin de faizleri sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu uzun s\u00fcre %2 hedefi civar\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in para politikas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fim \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Faiz Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na G\u00f6re Pozisyon Alma<\/h3>\nBir y\u0131l sonra, enflasyon beklenenden daha kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in bu gerilimin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 daha net g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE, t\u00fcketicinin sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmet sepetindeki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7er) y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,1 seviyesinde. Bu durum Fed\u2019in faizi daha y\u00fcksek olan %5,25-%5,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu %2,8 ile biraz daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olsa da ECB\u2019nin politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 (faizlerin g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131) tutmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektiriyor.\n\nY\u00fcksek ama farkl\u0131la\u015fan enflasyon ve faiz ortam\u0131, oynakl\u0131k piyasalar\u0131nda (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131 \u00fczerinden i\u015flem yap\u0131lan alan) f\u0131rsatlar yaratabilir. Cboe Volatilite Endeksi (VIX, ABD hisse piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d olarak bilinir ve beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 13,8 gibi g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviyede i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, piyasalarda rehavet olu\u015fuyor olabilir. T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, (opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flemler gibi fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 ara\u00e7lar) s\u00fcrpriz bir veriyle \u201cima edilen volatilite\u201dnin (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini dikkate almal\u0131. Bu nedenle \u201clong vega\u201d stratejileri (volatilite art\u0131nca de\u011fer kazanan pozisyonlar) \u00f6rne\u011fin EUR\/USD\u2019da \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte) k\u00e2rl\u0131 olabilir.\n\nArt\u0131k temel soru, merkez bankalar\u0131 faizi sabit tutacak m\u0131 de\u011fil; ilk indirimi kim yapacak ve ne h\u0131zda yapacak. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00e7eyreklerde bu ayr\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re pozisyon almak i\u00e7in t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnler kullan\u0131labilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin ABD ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131n\u0131n Fed faiz indirimlerini ECB\u2019ye g\u00f6re geciktirece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyorsa, EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde daha uzun vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 (parite d\u00fc\u015ferse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu) almak paritede olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in pozisyon sa\u011flar.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed ve ECB kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi EUR\/USD 1,1550\u2019de frene bast\u0131, DXY 99,50\u2019de tutunuyor. As\u0131l risk: dot plot ve Powell. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck VIX rehavetinde oynakl\u0131k s\u00fcrprizi, opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30614"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30614\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}