{"id":30596,"date":"2026-03-18T08:07:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T08:07:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dolar-petrolun-gerilemesi-ve-risk-istahinin-geri-donmesiyle-deger-kaybetti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T08:07:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T08:07:14","slug":"dolar-petrolun-gerilemesi-ve-risk-istahinin-geri-donmesiyle-deger-kaybetti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/dolar-petrolun-gerilemesi-ve-risk-istahinin-geri-donmesiyle-deger-kaybetti\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar, Petrol\u00fcn Gerilemesi ve Risk \u0130\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n Geri D\u00f6nmesiyle De\u011fer Kaybetti"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/USD1-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-42771\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>USDX 99,26 civar\u0131nda<\/strong> i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; <strong>% -0,03<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle geri \u00e7ekilme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gev\u015feme <strong>risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) destekledi, dolara olan <strong>g\u00fcvenli liman talebi<\/strong> (belirsizlikte s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131lan varl\u0131klara talep) zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Piyasalar, politika y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u00e7in <strong>Fed ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n toplant\u0131lar\u0131na<\/strong> odakland\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD dolar\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc zay\u0131flad\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilme ve piyasa havas\u0131ndaki toparlanma, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik bir hafta \u00f6ncesinde dolar\u0131n son d\u00f6nemdeki \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri vermesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ABD Dolar Endeksi (USDX) 99,26<\/strong> civar\u0131nda; <strong>% -0,03<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte ve \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta geriliyor. Bu hareket, ge\u00e7en hafta jeopolitik gerilimlerin artmas\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle dolar\u0131n <strong>10 ay\u0131n zirvesine<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The dollar and US stocks are at their most inversely correlated in nearly a year, reasserting the typical relationship between the assets associated with the greenback\u2019s haven status <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4hXPEzhmdD\">https:\/\/t.co\/4hXPEzhmdD<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2034010979646738883?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 17, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k petrol fiyatlar\u0131 duraklay\u0131p s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerileyince, piyasalar yeniden risk almaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve dolara talep azald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yatay seyreder ya da d\u00fc\u015ferse, risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fla birlikte dolar k\u0131sa vadede bask\u0131 g\u00f6rebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Petroldeki Geri \u00c7ekilme, G\u00fcvenli Liman Talebini Azaltt\u0131<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar\u0131n son zay\u0131flamas\u0131nda ana etken, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gev\u015feme oldu. Irak ve K\u00fcrt yetkililerin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Ceyhan Liman\u0131 \u00fczerinden ihracat\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flatma konusunda anla\u015fmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 ham petrol geriledi; b\u00f6ylece arz endi\u015feleri k\u0131sa vadede azald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Iraq has halted oil exports from its semi-autonomous Kurdistan region to the port of Ceyhan in Turkey, according to people with direct knowledge of the situation. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wQxdCmEeaE\">https:\/\/t.co\/wQxdCmEeaE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2028824313210556666?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 3, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Brent petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde<\/strong> kalsa da, y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n kesilmesi piyasa pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc) en az\u0131ndan \u015fimdilik de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye yetti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck petrol fiyatlar\u0131, <strong>enflasyon<\/strong> (fiyatlar\u0131n genel art\u0131\u015f\u0131) korkusunu azaltabilir ve k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 hafifletebilir. Bu da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131 gibi savunmac\u0131 varl\u0131klardan uzakla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7erse, dolara y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcvenli liman talebi h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde geri d\u00f6nebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Merkez Bankalar\u0131 G\u00fcndemin Merkezinde<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasalar, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hjpkSD6Reb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131<\/a> serisine odakland\u0131. \u0130lk s\u0131rada <strong>ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed)<\/strong> var; ard\u0131ndan <strong>Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB), \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ)<\/strong> geliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel beklenti faizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6zellikle Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme risklerine etkisine dair <strong>ileri y\u00f6nlendirmeyi<\/strong> (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n gelecek ad\u0131mlar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda verdi\u011fi mesajlar) yak\u0131ndan izleyecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in temel soru, enerji \u015fokunun ekonomiyi daha \u00e7ok yava\u015flat\u0131p yava\u015flatmayaca\u011f\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa enflasyonu daha kal\u0131c\u0131 h\u00e2le mi getirece\u011fi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Merkez bankalar\u0131ndan daha <strong>\u015fahin<\/strong> (faiz art\u0131rmaya\/uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faize daha yak\u0131n) bir ton gelirse dolar\u0131n daha fazla zay\u0131flamas\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlanabilir. Daha temkinli ya da dengeli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ise riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 destekleyip dolar\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ABD Dolar Endeksi (USDX)<\/strong> <strong>99,26<\/strong> civar\u0131nda; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte (% -0,03). Endeks, psikolojik e\u015fik olan <strong>100 seviyesi<\/strong> (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6zellikle takip etti\u011fi \u201cyuvarlak\u201d seviye) alt\u0131nda ivme kaybediyor. <strong>95,33 dip<\/strong> seviyesinden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanma sonras\u0131 dolar <strong>yatay seyir<\/strong> (belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015f\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olmadan dar bantta hareket) d\u00f6nemine girdi; bu da piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n konusunda yeniden de\u011ferlendirme yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde k\u0131sa vadeli h\u0131z zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. <strong>5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (99,52)<\/strong> (son 5 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. <strong>10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (99,17)<\/strong> ise mevcut fiyat\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda yer alarak k\u0131sa vadeli <strong>destek<\/strong> (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte fiyat\u0131n tutunabilece\u011fi seviye) g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-24-1024x495.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44777\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (98,58)<\/strong> ve <strong>30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (98,08)<\/strong> hareketli ortalamalar yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli. Bu, k\u0131sa vadeli duraklamaya ra\u011fmen genel toparlanma yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n korundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130lk destek <strong>99,00\u201399,10<\/strong> band\u0131nda. Bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na sarkma, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da <strong>98,50<\/strong> seviyesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir; burada 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama ile fiyat b\u00f6lgesi \u00e7ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yukar\u0131da ise <strong>100,30\u2013100,70<\/strong> band\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc <strong>diren\u00e7<\/strong> (y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lge, y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerini tekrar tekrar s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131 ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in kritik bariyer olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel olarak USDX, <strong>ana direncin alt\u0131nda yatay<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u015eubat diplerinden toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ana e\u011filim h\u00e2l\u00e2 pozitif.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak <strong>100 seviyesinin<\/strong> yeniden a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle <strong>faiz beklentilerindeki<\/strong> (piyasan\u0131n gelecekteki faizleri fiyatlamas\u0131) de\u011fi\u015fim dolar g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc bask\u0131larsa, yatay seyrin uzamas\u0131na veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Bundan Sonra Neyi \u0130zlemeli?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar, <strong>jeopolitik risk<\/strong> ile <strong>iyile\u015fen piyasa havas\u0131<\/strong> aras\u0131nda kritik bir noktada. \u0130zlenecek ba\u015fl\u0131klar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong>: Brent\u2019in 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131p kalmayaca\u011f\u0131<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>B\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131ndan<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kacak kararlar ve mesajlar<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada<\/strong> yeni geli\u015fmeler<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>USDJPY ve EURUSD<\/strong> gibi paritelerdeki hareketler (iki para biriminin birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011feri)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u015eimdilik dolardaki geri \u00e7ekilme, tam bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden \u00e7ok petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gev\u015femeye verilen bir tepki gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ana e\u011filim, jeopolitik ve makroekonomik risklerin nas\u0131l \u015fekillenece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SSS<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ABD Dolar\u0131 Bug\u00fcn Neden D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 gev\u015fedi\u011fi i\u00e7in dolara g\u00fcvenli liman talebi azald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, merkez bankas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde tekrar riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6neliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u015eu Anda Dolar\u0131 Zay\u0131flatan Ne?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Petrol\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015fmesi, piyasa havas\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131 ve merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi pozisyon alma<\/strong> k\u0131sa vadede dolar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dolar H\u00e2l\u00e2 Y\u00fckseli\u015f Trendinde mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Evet. Jeopolitik riskler ve \u00f6nceki g\u00fcvenli liman talebi genel e\u011filimi destekliyor. Ancak mevcut geri \u00e7ekilme, <strong>k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fczeltme<\/strong> (y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme) veya <strong>yatay seyir<\/strong> d\u00f6nemine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131 Nas\u0131l Etkiler?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol y\u00fckseldi\u011finde, belirsizlik artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in dolar \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d \u00f6zelli\u011fiyle destek bulabilir. ABD\u2019nin net enerji ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 da dolar\u0131 destekleyebilir. Petrol d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bu destek zay\u0131flar ve dolar gerileyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yen Neden Dolar Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda G\u00fc\u00e7leniyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasa havas\u0131 iyile\u015firken yen de\u011fer kazan\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca USDJPY <strong>160 seviyesinden<\/strong> (psikolojik e\u015fik) uzakla\u015ft\u0131; bu b\u00f6lgede piyasa Japon yetkililerden <strong>m\u00fcdahale<\/strong> (kur hareketini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in piyasaya al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m) bekliyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Euro Neden Dolar Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Y\u00fckseliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Euro, <strong>ECB toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/strong> \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, politika mesajlar\u0131 ve enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde olas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimlere g\u00f6re pozisyon al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Piyasalar Fed\u2019den Ne Bekliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasa genel olarak <strong>Fed\u2019in faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> bekliyor. Odak, enflasyon ve gelecekte olas\u0131 <strong>faiz indirimlerine<\/strong> dair ileri y\u00f6nlendirme \u00fczerinde.<\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrol gev\u015fedi, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 toparland\u0131: USDX 99,26\u2019ya gerileyip \u00fc\u00e7 seanst\u0131r d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. 100 e\u015fi\u011fi a\u015f\u0131lamazken g\u00f6zler Fed, ECB, BoE ve BoJ mesajlar\u0131nda; destek 99,00, diren\u00e7 100,70.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30596"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30596\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}