{"id":30594,"date":"2026-03-18T08:04:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T08:04:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-05800lerin-ortasinin-uzerine-cikarken-fedin-fomc-faiz-karari-oncesinde-hareketi-sinirli-kaldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T08:04:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T08:04:44","slug":"asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-05800lerin-ortasinin-uzerine-cikarken-fedin-fomc-faiz-karari-oncesinde-hareketi-sinirli-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-05800lerin-ortasinin-uzerine-cikarken-fedin-fomc-faiz-karari-oncesinde-hareketi-sinirli-kaldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya seans\u0131nda NZD\/USD 0,5800\u2019lerin ortas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, Fed\u2019in (FOMC) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi ve 0,5800 seviyelerinin biraz \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Kazan\u00e7lar s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde al\u0131mlar devam etmedi. (FOMC: Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131n\u0131, yani faizi belirleyen kurul)\n\nParite 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. (200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA: Fiyat\u0131n son 200 g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan teknik g\u00f6sterge) Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yeni pozisyon almadan \u00f6nce, Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonucunu bekledi.\n\n<h3>Dolar\u0131n Yatay Seyri \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131k\u0131yor<\/h3>\nABD Dolar\u0131, May\u0131s 2025\u2019ten bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek seviyesinden geri \u00e7ekildikten sonra yatay seyre ge\u00e7ti. Hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131ndaki daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hava, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d varl\u0131klara talebi azaltarak Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi. (G\u00fcvenli liman: Belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131k; ABD Dolar\u0131 genelde bu grupta g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr)\n\nHam petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinin enflasyonu art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentisi ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na destek verdi. Fed\u2019in k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirece\u011fi beklentisinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 da dolar\u0131n gerilemesini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. (Faiz indirimi beklentisi azal\u0131nca dolar genelde g\u00fc\u00e7lenir)\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim de risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi. (Risk i\u015ftah\u0131: Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) Bu geli\u015fmeler NZD\/USD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fi frenledi.\n\nSal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130ranl\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik yetkilisi Ali Larijani ile Besic komutan\u0131 Gulamreza S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin \u0130srail hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi. \u0130ran ordusu Larijani\u2019nin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc nedeniyle misilleme yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken, ABD ordusu H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda \u0130ran k\u0131y\u0131 \u015feridi boyunca baz\u0131 noktalar\u0131 hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, kritik bir enerji ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Kritik Seviyeler ve Politika Etkileri<\/h3>\nNZD\/USD 0,5800 seviyelerinin \u00fczerinde tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da, FOMC karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde belirgin bir y\u00f6n bulmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Paritenin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, piyasada Fed\u2019den net sinyal gelmeden fiyat\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maya isteksizlik oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu karars\u0131zl\u0131k, piyasan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket i\u00e7in pozisyon ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nAs\u0131l belirleyici unsur, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimlerine dair beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve bunun ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmas\u0131. Ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD T\u00dcFE (CPI) enflasyonu y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,4 ile kal\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret etti. (T\u00dcFE\/CPI: T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi; enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7er) CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re bu toplant\u0131da faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %15\u2019e geriledi. (CME FedWatch: Vadeli i\u015flem fiyatlar\u0131ndan Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 hesaplayan piyasa g\u00f6stergesi) 2025 sonundaki benzer inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyon verilerinin faiz indirimi beklentilerini \u00f6telemesi, bug\u00fcn de dolar\u0131 destekleyen dinamik olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nAyn\u0131 zamanda Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilim, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00f6zelli\u011fi nedeniyle de\u011ferini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililere y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki askeri hamleleri piyasay\u0131 temkinli tutuyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi dar bir ge\u00e7it olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu ortam, dolar tutmay\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131 gibi daha riskli para birimlerinin cazibesini azalt\u0131yor.\n\n2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen oynakl\u0131k (volatilite) hat\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Fed\u2019in mesaj\u0131ndaki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fiklikler bile kur paritelerinde birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn s\u00fcren sert hareketlere yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. (Volatilite: Fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck dalgalanmas\u0131) Bug\u00fcn de benzer hassasiyet beklenebilir; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla mevcut sakin d\u00f6nemin a\u00e7\u0131klama sonras\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde sona ermesi olas\u0131. Bu nedenle \u015fu a\u015famada y\u00f6n tahminiyle i\u015flem a\u00e7mak olduk\u00e7a spek\u00fclatif kal\u0131yor. (Spek\u00fclatif: Y\u00fcksek belirsizlikle k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n tahmini)\n\nBu belirsizlikte, y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin volatilite art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen \u201copsiyon\u201d stratejileri de\u011ferlendirilebilir. (Opsiyon: Belirli fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) \u201cStraddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d almak, Fed a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ve bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 beklenen b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden yararlanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lar. (Straddle\/strangle: B\u00fcy\u00fck hareket beklenirken, yukar\u0131 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in birlikte pozisyon almay\u0131 hedefleyen opsiyon stratejileri) Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici oldu\u011fu piyasada y\u00f6n\u00fc yanl\u0131\u015f tahmin etme riskini azalt\u0131r.\n\n\u00d6te yandan Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBNZ) da kendi s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve i\u00e7 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in politika faizini %5,5\u2019te tutuyor. (S\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131: Enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek faiz) Bu durum Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131\u2019na tabandan destek verebilir ve Fed\u2019in mesaj\u0131 beklenenden daha yumu\u015fak gelirse paritede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. \u0130ki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n da \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faize y\u00fcksek\/uzun s\u00fcre e\u011filimli) duru\u015fu, paritedeki dar i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi NZD\/USD 0,5800 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunuyor ancak 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA alt\u0131nda y\u00f6n bulam\u0131yor. Yatay dolar, petrol ve Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi y\u00fckseli\u015fi frenler; volatilite art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30594","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30594","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30594"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30594\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30594"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30594"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}