{"id":30593,"date":"2026-03-18T07:19:49","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T07:19:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rbanin-sahin-faiz-artisinin-ardindan-avustralya-dolari-yukseldi-fed-kararini-beklerken-aud-usd-07115e-yakin-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T07:19:49","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T07:19:49","slug":"rbanin-sahin-faiz-artisinin-ardindan-avustralya-dolari-yukseldi-fed-kararini-beklerken-aud-usd-07115e-yakin-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rbanin-sahin-faiz-artisinin-ardindan-avustralya-dolari-yukseldi-fed-kararini-beklerken-aud-usd-07115e-yakin-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u2019n\u0131n \u015fahin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Avustralya dolar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi; Fed karar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken AUD\/USD 0,7115\u2019e yak\u0131n seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,7115 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. Avustralya Dolar\u0131, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) faizleri 25 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kazand\u0131. *(Baz puan: Faiz oran\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde puan\u0131n 100\u2019de 1\u2019i; 25 baz puan = 0,25 puan.)*\n\nRBA, Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini (Official Cash Rate) 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,85\u2019ten %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu hamle, \u015eubat\u2019taki 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi ve y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci art\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu. *(Politika faizi: Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n bankalara uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 temel faiz; piyasadaki kredi\/mevduat faizlerini etkiler.)*\n\nRBA, enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu belirtti ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 artan enerji maliyetlerinin \u201cikinci tur etkileri\u201d konusunda endi\u015fe dile getirdi. *(\u0130kinci tur etkiler: Enerji gibi bir kalemdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n zamanla di\u011fer \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin fiyatlar\u0131na, \u00fccretlere ve genel enflasyona yay\u0131lmas\u0131.)* Banka ayr\u0131ca son ad\u0131m\u0131n gelecekteki politika i\u00e7in \u00f6nceden belirlenmi\u015f sabit bir rota anlam\u0131na gelmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nPiyasalar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n May\u0131s\u2019ta g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresi bitmeden \u00f6nce bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenlemesi bekleniyor.\n\nBaz\u0131 analistler, jeopolitik belirsizlik nedeniyle Fed\u2019in Ekim veya Aral\u0131k 2026\u2019ya kadar faiz indirmeyebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Fed karar\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc daha sonra a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.\n\nRBA ile Fed aras\u0131nda belirgin bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 olu\u015fuyor. RBA, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, Fed\u2019in bug\u00fcn faizlerde beklemeye ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. Faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir. *(Faiz fark\u0131: \u0130ki \u00fclkenin faiz seviyeleri aras\u0131ndaki fark; y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine talebi art\u0131rabilir.)*\n\nRBA\u2019n\u0131n ad\u0131m\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Avustralya\u2019da enflasyon 2025 sonu itibar\u0131yla %3,8 seviyesinde ve merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ediyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD ekonomisinde yava\u015flama sinyalleri var. \u015eubat istihdam raporu, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ama enflasyonu k\u00f6r\u00fcklemeyen 190 bin ki\u015filik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019e k\u00fcresel gerilimlerin etkisini izlemek i\u00e7in faizleri sabit tutma gerek\u00e7esi veriyor.\n\n\u0130\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, k\u0131sa vadede AUD\/USD paritesinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir duru\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike) 0,7200 civar\u0131nda olan \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131\u201d (call) almak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda beklenen y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlanma stratejisi olabilir. *(Al\u0131m opsiyonu\/call: Belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131; zorunluluk de\u011fildir.)* Bu yakla\u015f\u0131mda azami zarar, opsiyon i\u00e7in \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r. *(Prim: Opsiyonu sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in \u00f6denen bedel.)*\n\nAncak \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k\u201d (implied volatility) \u015fu anda y\u00fcksek. Bir ayl\u0131k opsiyonlar yakla\u015f\u0131k %9,5\u2019lik beklenen hareketi fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da opsiyonlar\u0131 pahal\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. *(\u00d6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k: Opsiyon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma.)* Bug\u00fcn Fed\u2019den beklenenden daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (hawkish) bir mesaj gelmesi, paritede y\u00f6n\u00fc tersine \u00e7evirebilecek ana risk. *(\u015eahin: Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in daha y\u00fcksek faiz\/uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f sinyali.)* Maliyeti ve riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, do\u011frudan call almak yerine \u201cbo\u011fa call spread\u201d daha temkinli olabilir. *(Bo\u011fa call spread: Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren, getiriyi de \u00fcstten s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji.)*\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA\u2019n\u0131n 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla AUD\/USD 0,7115\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131; Fed\u2019in \u201cpas\u201d beklentisi faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131yor. Ancak y\u00fcksek \u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k opsiyonlar\u0131 pahal\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor; \u015fahin Powell riski s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30593"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30593\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}