{"id":30590,"date":"2026-03-18T07:17:40","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T07:17:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dusus-momentumu-surerken-xag-usd-yatirimcilar-fomc-kararini-beklerken-asya-seansinda-79-dolarin-uzerinde-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T07:17:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T07:17:40","slug":"dusus-momentumu-surerken-xag-usd-yatirimcilar-fomc-kararini-beklerken-asya-seansinda-79-dolarin-uzerinde-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dusus-momentumu-surerken-xag-usd-yatirimcilar-fomc-kararini-beklerken-asya-seansinda-79-dolarin-uzerinde-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumu s\u00fcrerken XAG\/USD, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar FOMC karar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken Asya seans\u0131nda 79 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde yatay seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG\/USD) \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat 79,35 dolar civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve i\u015flemciler **FOMC**\u2019nin (**ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\/Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131 veren Komitesi**) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde fazla de\u011fi\u015fmedi.\n\n66,65 dolardan gelen y\u00fckselen trend \u00e7izgisi 83,45 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131; bu da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Fiyat ayr\u0131ca 4 saatlik grafikte 83,00 dolar civar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselen **200 periyotluk SMA**\u2019n\u0131n (**Basit Hareketli Ortalama; belirli say\u0131daki mumun ortalama fiyat\u0131**) alt\u0131nda.\n\n**MACD** (**Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama-Iraksama; momentum g\u00f6stergesi**) yeniden s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisine ve sinyal \u00e7izgisine yakla\u015ft\u0131, pozitif de\u011ferler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. **RSI** (**G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7\/ivme \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc**) 38 civar\u0131nda ve 50 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda.\n\nDiren\u00e7 83,00\u201383,50 dolar band\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; k\u0131r\u0131lan trend \u00e7izgisi ile 200 periyotluk SMA burada kesi\u015fiyor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 86,00 dolar\u0131n orta b\u00f6lgesini hedefleyebilir.\n\nDestek 79,00 dolar civar\u0131nda, daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 78,00 dolar \u00e7evresinde ek destek var. 78,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma, 76,00 dolar\u0131n orta b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru hareketi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.\n\nBu rapordaki teknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rland\u0131.\n\nYakla\u015fan FOMC karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 79,35 dolar \u00e7evresinde yatay seyretti\u011fi, ancak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn belirgin \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Son veriler bu temkinli duru\u015fu destekliyor: \u015eubat **T\u00dcFE (CPI)** (**T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi**) %3,4 ile beklentilerin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi. Son istihdam raporunda **tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (non-farm payrolls)** (**tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 yeni istihdam**) 250 bin art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in **\u015fahin** (**faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi**) bir dil kullanabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu da dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.\n\nA\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n bekleyenler i\u00e7in 78,00 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na yak\u0131n **put opsiyonu** (**fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon**) almak, mevcut deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan faydalanma y\u00f6ntemi olabilir. 83,50 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa baca\u011f\u0131 olan **call credit spread** (**prim gelirine dayal\u0131, fiyat y\u00fckselmezse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon stratejisi**) satmak da g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bu teknik tavan\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 halinde gelir sa\u011flayabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, hem fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinden hem de **zaman de\u011feri erimesinden (time decay)** (**opsiyonun vadesi yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a de\u011fer kayb\u0131**) yararlan\u0131r.\n\n\u00d6te yandan Fed\u2019in daha **g\u00fcvercin** (**faiz indirimi\/s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmadan geri ad\u0131m sinyali**) bir mesajla s\u00fcrpriz yapabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, mevcut s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in pozisyon alma f\u0131rsat\u0131 verebilir. 83,50 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse **call opsiyonu** (**fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine kar\u015f\u0131 kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon**) almak veya **bull call spread** (**y\u00fckseli\u015f hedefli, risk\/prim dengeli opsiyon stratejisi**) kurmak daha taktiksel bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olur. B\u00f6yle bir hareket, son k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131labilir ve 2025 boyunca g\u00f6r\u00fclen daha geni\u015f y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir.\n\nFOMC a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 etraf\u0131ndaki belirsizlik, **volatilite** (**fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131**) odakl\u0131 bir i\u015flem i\u00e7in uygun zemin olu\u015fturuyor. **Uzun straddle** (**ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma**) stratejisi, faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne giderse gitsin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket yapmas\u0131 halinde kazand\u0131rabilir. Bu strateji, y\u00f6n konusunda karars\u0131z olup sert bir hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in daha uygundur.\n\nGeride d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 60\u2019l\u0131 seviyelerden 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine uzanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fi, faiz indirimi beklentileriyle desteklenmi\u015fti. Mevcut zay\u0131fl\u0131k bu hik\u00e2yeyi zorluyor. Bu durum, son iki haftada g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f **ETF**\u2019lerinden (**Borsa Yat\u0131r\u0131m Fonu; borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon**) 1,5 milyon onsun \u00fczerinde net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesiyle de do\u011frulan\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan son **ISM \u0130malat PMI** verisinin (**Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralma**) 49,5 gelmesi, sanayi faaliyetinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 daralmaya i\u015faret ederek g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sanayi talebi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan karma\u015f\u0131k bir tablo olu\u015fturuyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FOMC \u00f6ncesi g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 79,35\u2019te s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 83,45\u2019te trend k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131, 200 SMA alt\u0131; RSI 38. \u015eahin Fed\/dolar bask\u0131s\u0131 risk. Destek 78-76, diren\u00e7 83-86. Opsiyon: put, credit spread, straddle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30590","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30590"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30590\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30590"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30590"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30590"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}