{"id":30573,"date":"2026-03-18T04:02:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T04:02:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/zayiflayan-dolar-ve-gerileyen-hazine-tahvili-getirilerine-ragmen-altin-5-000-dolar-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-petrolun-yukselisiyle-011-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T04:02:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T04:02:18","slug":"zayiflayan-dolar-ve-gerileyen-hazine-tahvili-getirilerine-ragmen-altin-5-000-dolar-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-petrolun-yukselisiyle-011-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/zayiflayan-dolar-ve-gerileyen-hazine-tahvili-getirilerine-ragmen-altin-5-000-dolar-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-petrolun-yukselisiyle-011-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Zay\u0131flayan dolar ve gerileyen Hazine tahvili getirilerine ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n 5.000 dolar civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, petrol\u00fcn y\u00fckseli\u015fiyle %0,11 geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda 5.000 dolar seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti; %0,11 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.996 dolarda. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131na ve ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerinin (devletin bor\u00e7lanma k\u00e2\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n getirisi) gerilemesine ra\u011fmen fiyat geri \u00e7ekildi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f ise k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n (fiziki alt\u0131n) \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.\n\n\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131na girerken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda (k\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) aksamalar endi\u015fesi petrol\u00fc yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. WTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 96,13 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY\u2014dolar\u0131n bir sepet para birimine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011feri) %0,28 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 99,54\u2019e gerilerken, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi (10-year yield) yakla\u015f\u0131k iki baz puan (0,01 puan) d\u00fc\u015ferek %4,2\u2019ye indi.\n\n<h3>Fed Toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve Makro Sinyaller<\/h3>\nABD verileri, ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi 4 haftal\u0131k ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam g\u00f6stergesi) 14,75 binden 9 bine geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bekleyen Konut Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 (Pending Home Sales\u2014s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi yap\u0131l\u0131p hen\u00fcz kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyen sat\u0131\u015flar) \u015eubat\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %1,8 artt\u0131; Ocak\u2019ta %1 d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nPiyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131, Sal\u0131-\u00c7ar\u015famba s\u00fcren ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) toplant\u0131s\u0131, karar metni ve Ekonomik Projeksiyonlar \u00d6zeti (SEP\u2014b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/enflasyon\/faiz beklentileri) \u00fczerindeydi. Para piyasalar\u0131 (faiz vadeli i\u015flemleri) faiz de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklemiyor; y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru toplam 25 baz puanl\u0131k indirim fiyatl\u0131yor. Ard\u0131ndan Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 izlenecek.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n 5.050 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama (SMA\u2014belirli g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131) olan 4.952 dolar ve ard\u0131ndan 4.900 dolar. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 5.050, 5.238, 5.300 ve 5.419 dolar.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u0130\u015flem Senaryolar\u0131<\/h3>\nYak\u0131n vadede ana odak, yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Fed karar\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirleyebilir. \u015eubat 2026 T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (CPI\u2014t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) %3,4 gelmesi gibi son veriler, Fed\u2019in faizi sabit tutaca\u011f\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 indirim sinyali verece\u011fi beklentisini destekliyor. Powell\u2019dan beklenenden \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimine daha a\u00e7\u0131k) bir ton gelirse alt\u0131nda sert y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; ancak genel beklenti \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya daha yatk\u0131n) duru\u015f.\n\nT\u00fcrev (derivative\u2014dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in bu tablo, Fed a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility\u2014opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fckseldi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Piyasa g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir fiyat hareketi bekliyor. Bu nedenle oynakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan yararlanan stratejiler ya da karar sonras\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n gerilemesini (volatility crush\u2014beklenti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle opsiyon priminin erimesi) hedefleyen yakla\u015f\u0131mlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. RSI\u2019nin (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2014momentum g\u00f6stergesi) yatay seyri karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor; bu durum \u00e7o\u011fu zaman sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n \u00f6ncesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr.\n\n\u0130zlenecek kritik seviyeler, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 4.952 dolar ve yukar\u0131da 5.050 dolar direnci. Deste\u011fin net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 4.900 dolara do\u011fru hareket i\u00e7in put (sat\u0131m opsiyonu\u2014fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 cazip k\u0131labilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Fed sonras\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fte 5.050\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, 5.238 civar\u0131ndaki Mart ba\u015f\u0131 zirvelerini hedefleyen call (al\u0131m opsiyonu\u2014fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynayan) stratejilerini tetikleyebilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n 5.000 dolara yak\u0131n geri \u00e7ekildi: 4.996. Dolar ve tahvil faizi d\u00fc\u015fse de petrol\u00fcn \u0130ran-H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riskleriyle y\u00fckseli\u015fi bask\u0131 yapt\u0131. G\u00f6zler Fed\u2019de; 4.952 destek, 5.050 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30573"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30573\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}