{"id":30559,"date":"2026-03-17T23:03:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T23:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-13350-civarinda-seyrediyor-yatirimcilarin-fed-ve-boe-kararlari-oncesinde-dolardan-kacinmasiyla-yukselisini-surduruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T23:03:13","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T23:03:13","slug":"gbp-usd-13350-civarinda-seyrediyor-yatirimcilarin-fed-ve-boe-kararlari-oncesinde-dolardan-kacinmasiyla-yukselisini-surduruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-13350-civarinda-seyrediyor-yatirimcilarin-fed-ve-boe-kararlari-oncesinde-dolardan-kacinmasiyla-yukselisini-surduruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD 1,3350 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed ve BoE kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde dolardan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3350 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini korudu. Bu hareket, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde ABD Dolar\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131yla geldi.\n\nDikkat, yakla\u015fan \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) kararlar\u0131nda da. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed ve BoE\u2019nin para politikas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n (faiz ve \u201cileri y\u00f6nlendirme\u201d, yani gelecek ad\u0131mlara dair y\u00f6nlendirme) pariteyi nas\u0131l etkileyebilece\u011fini izliyor.\n\nMart 2025 d\u00f6neminde sterline (GBP) ili\u015fkin iyimser hava, merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde pariteyi 1,3350 seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Piyasa, BoE\u2019den sterlin lehine bir sonu\u00e7 bekliyordu. Ancak Fed\u2019in daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi y\u00fcksek tutma veya art\u0131rma e\u011filimi) duru\u015fu daha bask\u0131n geldi ve parite 2025\u2019in ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fi boyunca bu zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekildi.\n\nBug\u00fcn, 17 Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla tablo farkl\u0131. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin son T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi 3,4 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek geldi ve BoE\u2019nin hedefinin belirgin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. ABD\u2019de ise enflasyon 2,9\u2019a geriledi. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, BoE \u00fczerinde \u201cs\u0131k\u0131\u201d politikay\u0131 (y\u00fcksek faizle talebi so\u011futma) Fed\u2019den daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.\n\nBu politika fark\u0131, GBP\/USD\u2019de mevcut 1,2850 seviyesi civar\u0131ndan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n potansiyeline i\u015faret ediyor. T\u00fcrev (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler; \u00f6r. opsiyon) i\u015flemi yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, sterlinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Piyasa, Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e kadar Fed\u2019in faiz indirme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %65 olarak fiyatlarken (fiyatlamak: beklentiyi mevcut fiyata yans\u0131tmak), BoE\u2019nin faizi sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Uygulanabilir bir strateji, politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 s\u00fcrerse olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in 1,3000 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi seviye) GBP\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak olabilir.\n\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselmi\u015f \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck volatiliteyi\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) de not etmesi gerekir; 3 ayl\u0131k s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerde bu oran \u015fu anda %9,8. Bu, piyasan\u0131n yakla\u015fan veriler ve merkez bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda belirgin fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131 bekledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Bu nedenle al\u0131m opsiyonu almak riski s\u0131n\u0131rlasa da (\u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131), daha y\u00fcksek \u201cprim\u201d (premium: opsiyon i\u00e7in pe\u015fin \u00f6denen bedel) stratejinin olas\u0131 getirisini azaltabilece\u011fi i\u00e7in hesaba kat\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed ve BoE \u00f6ncesi GBP\/USD 1,3350\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fte: ABD dolar\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131 azal\u0131yor. Enflasyon ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (UK 3,4; US 2,9) BoE\u2019yi s\u0131k\u0131 tutabilir; 1,2850\u2019den yukar\u0131 potansiyel, opsiyonda 1,3000 call ve %9,8 IV g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30559"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30559\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}