{"id":30554,"date":"2026-03-17T22:06:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:06:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/yaklasan-ecb-ve-ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-faiz-kararlari-oncesinde-eur-gbp-08640-yakinlarinda-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T22:06:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:06:28","slug":"yaklasan-ecb-ve-ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-faiz-kararlari-oncesinde-eur-gbp-08640-yakinlarinda-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/yaklasan-ecb-ve-ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-faiz-kararlari-oncesinde-eur-gbp-08640-yakinlarinda-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Yakla\u015fan ECB ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde EUR\/GBP, 0,8640 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/GBP, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,8640 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Piyasalar, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.\n\nECB\u2019nin, bankalar\u0131n ECB\u2019de tuttuklar\u0131 mevduata uygulanan faiz olan **mevduat faizini** (deposit rate) **%2\u2019de** sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Para piyasalar\u0131 (faiz beklentilerinin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flemler) y\u0131l ortas\u0131na kadar faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini h\u00e2l\u00e2 fiyatl\u0131yor. Odak, jeopolitik gerilimlere ba\u011fl\u0131 **enflasyon** (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) risklerinde.\n\nBoE\u2019nin de ekonomik belirsizlik nedeniyle **ana politika faizini** (key rate) **%3,75\u2019te** sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Piyasalar, karar metni ve a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda enflasyona odak s\u00fcr\u00fcyor mu diye bakacak; \u00f6zellikle daha y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yaratabilece\u011fi riskler izleniyor.\n\nBirle\u015fik Krall\u0131k i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verileri de Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. **ILO i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n** (Uluslararas\u0131 \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc standard\u0131na g\u00f6re i\u015fsizlik) **%5,3\u2019e** hafif y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Sonu\u00e7, ilerideki faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131na dair beklentileri etkileyebilir.\n\nEuro, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften destek ald\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu durum Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin **ithalat maliyetlerini** azaltabilir. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan tanker ge\u00e7i\u015flerine dair haberler ve olas\u0131 **stratejik petrol rezervi** (devletlerin acil durum i\u00e7in tuttu\u011fu petrol stoku) sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n konu\u015fulmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli arz endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131.\n\nEUR\/GBP, daha net merkez bankas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131 gelene kadar bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131. Bir d\u00fczeltmede, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k i\u015fsizlik tahmininin **%5,2 de\u011fil %5,3** oldu\u011fu belirtildi.\n\nEUR\/GBP 0,8640 \u00e7evresinde dar bantta seyrederken, bunu Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde \u201cbiriken bask\u0131\u201d d\u00f6nemi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. **T\u00fcrev** (de\u011feri d\u00f6viz kuru gibi ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu yatay seyir, f\u0131rsat yoklu\u011fu de\u011fil; kararlar sonras\u0131 gelebilecek sert hareketlere pozisyon alma imk\u00e2n\u0131. G\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli **opsiyonlarda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n** (piyasan\u0131n gelecekte bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma; opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131r) duyurular \u00f6ncesi g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla opsiyon primlerinin daha uygun olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nEuro a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan riskler, ECB\u2019nin faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 beklense bile, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olabilir. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde \u015eubat 2026 enflasyonu **%2,6** ile ECB\u2019nin **%2 hedefinin** \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Bu, Peter Kazimir gibi **\u015fahin** (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 savunan) \u00fcyelerin ileride daha s\u0131k\u0131 politika (tighter: daha y\u00fcksek faiz\/likiditeyi azaltma) istemesi i\u00e7in dayanak sa\u011flar. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ECB\u2019den beklenenden daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d bir ton gelmesine kar\u015f\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/GBP **call opsiyonlar\u0131** (kur y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran al\u0131m hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.\n\nBoE taraf\u0131nda denge, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon ile k\u0131r\u0131lgan ekonomi aras\u0131nda. 2026 ba\u015f\u0131na ait son verilerde Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k **\u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 %6,1** ile y\u00fcksek. Bu nedenle BoE faizi %3,75\u2019te tutsa bile \u00e7ok **g\u00fcvercin** (faiz indirimine yak\u0131n, s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltan) bir mesaj verme alan\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201cenflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u201d mesaj\u0131 sterlini destekleyebilir; bu durumda EUR\/GBP **put opsiyonlar\u0131** (kur d\u00fc\u015ferse kazand\u0131ran sat\u0131m hakk\u0131) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete haz\u0131rl\u0131k i\u00e7in etkili olabilir.\n\nMerkez bankas\u0131 kararlar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klanacak i\u015fsizlik verisi, ilk \u00f6nemli tetikleyici. Beklenen **%5,3\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda** bir sonu\u00e7 sterlini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve paritede erken bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ba\u015flatabilir. Bu veri, a\u00e7\u0131klama sonras\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sona erecek **k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyonlar** ile olay bazl\u0131 i\u015flem kurmaya da elveri\u015fli.\n\nY\u00f6n belirsizli\u011fi s\u00fcrerken sert hareket olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksekse, EUR\/GBP\u2019de **uzun straddle** veya **strangle** stratejisi mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir. Straddle\/strangle, ayn\u0131 vade i\u00e7in hem **call** hem **put** alarak, kur belirgin \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa kazan\u00e7 hedefler; yani beklenen **oynakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131** do\u011frudan sat\u0131n al\u0131r.\n\n2015\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na bakmak bile, merkez bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n paritede haftalar s\u00fcren sert trendler yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Baz\u0131 haftalarda bir banka \u201cs\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu\u201d korurken di\u011feri politika de\u011fi\u015fimine (pivot: y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirme sinyali) i\u015faret etti\u011finde, parite bir haftada **150 pip** (d\u00f6vizde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131; EUR\/GBP\u2019de genelde 0,0001) \u00fczeri hareketler yapt\u0131. Tarih, bu iki merkez bankas\u0131 ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn topland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda rehavetin pahal\u0131ya mal olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/GBP 0,8640\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: Per\u015fembe ECB-BoE kararlar\u0131 ve UK i\u015fsizlik verisi sert k\u0131r\u0131lma getirebilir. Petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc euroyu desteklerken, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ima edilen oynakl\u0131k opsiyonlarda straddle\/strangle f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30554","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30554"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30554\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30554"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30554"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30554"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}