{"id":30553,"date":"2026-03-17T22:05:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:05:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sp-500-6746-civarinda-islem-gorurken-yapilan-onceki-analiz-6-500-veya-daha-altini-hedefleyen-dusus-dalgalarina-isaret-etmisti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T22:05:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:05:24","slug":"sp-500-6746-civarinda-islem-gorurken-yapilan-onceki-analiz-6-500-veya-daha-altini-hedefleyen-dusus-dalgalarina-isaret-etmisti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sp-500-6746-civarinda-islem-gorurken-yapilan-onceki-analiz-6-500-veya-daha-altini-hedefleyen-dusus-dalgalarina-isaret-etmisti\/","title":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500 6746 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken yap\u0131lan \u00f6nceki analiz, 6.500 veya daha alt\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dalgalar\u0131na i\u015faret etmi\u015fti"},"content":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in daha \u00f6nceki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, endeks 6.746 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken belirlenmi\u015f ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131) bir dalga yap\u0131s\u0131na i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. Endeks daha sonra 6.746 civar\u0131ndan 6.600 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geriledi ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen Elliott Dalga (fiyat hareketini dalgalar halinde s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131ran teknik analiz y\u00f6ntemi) yoluyla uyumlu ilerledi.\n\n7.011 civar\u0131ndaki daha geni\u015f tepe seviyesinden itibaren endeksin karma\u015f\u0131k bir d\u00fczeltme (ana trend i\u00e7inde ge\u00e7ici kar\u015f\u0131 hareket) yap\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Yap\u0131 W\/A \u2013 X\/B \u2013 Y\/C olarak etiketleniyor; son C dalgas\u0131 (d\u00fczeltmenin son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f aya\u011f\u0131) h\u00e2l\u00e2 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.\n\n<h3>\u00d6nemli Seviyeler ve A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6n Haritas\u0131<\/h3>\nEndeks 6.575 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rsa, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in 6.494 seviyesi kritik referans olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu beklenti, d\u00fczeltme yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesine ba\u011fl\u0131.\n\nSonraki a\u015famada iki rota izleniyor. \u0130lki, hedeflere do\u011fru do\u011frudan \u201citki\u201d tarz\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f (h\u0131zl\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket); ikincisi ise yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften \u00f6nce yatay seyir (fiyat\u0131n belirli bantta gidip gelmesi) olup \u201cflat\u201d (yatay d\u00fczeltme) veya \u201c\u00fc\u00e7gen\u201d (daralan bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) gibi bir form alabilir.\n\nYakla\u015f\u0131m, \u00f6nceden belirlenen senaryolar\u0131 takip edip fiyat hareketi (piyasan\u0131n anl\u0131k hareketi) geli\u015ftik\u00e7e pozisyonu uyarlamaya odaklan\u0131r.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015flem Senaryolar\u0131 ve Strateji<\/h3>\nDaha geni\u015f yap\u0131, 7.011 civar\u0131ndaki zirveden sonra karma\u015f\u0131k bir d\u00fczeltmeye i\u015faret ediyor ve son C dalgas\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc geli\u015fmeye devam etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu nedenle 6.575 destek seviyesinin (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferken tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lge) alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma g\u00f6r\u00fclmesini, bir sonraki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit eden sinyal olarak izliyoruz.\n\nBu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in SPY veya SPX \u00fczerinde put opsiyonu (belirli vadede, belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme; fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefler) almak, 6.494 hedefi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon almak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan bir y\u00f6ntemdir. 6.575\u2019in net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlara ekleme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek i\u00e7in sinyal olabilir. 2022\u2019deki benzer \u00f6rneklerde, \u00f6nemli bir teknik seviyenin korunamamas\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fu zaman h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerilemenin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\n\nPiyasa korkusunun artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz: VIX (S&#038;P 500\u2019\u00fcn beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) 2025 diplerinden y\u00fckselerek son haftalarda 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge; zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in ters y\u00f6nde pozisyon) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. T\u00fcrev (opsiyon ve benzeri s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar, VIX call opsiyonlar\u0131 (alma hakk\u0131; VIX y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynar) veya S&#038;P 500 \u00fczerinde put debit spread (iki put opsiyonunun birlikte kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, maliyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f stratejisi) gibi y\u00f6ntemlerle hem a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc hem de artmas\u0131 beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumu (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) olu\u015fursa, 6.494 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerileme g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu durumda k\u0131sa vadeli putlar (vadesi yak\u0131n opsiyonlar), hareket h\u0131zlan\u0131rsa y\u00fcksek getiri sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nAlternatif olarak piyasa, bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ncesinde 6.575 \u00fczerinde yatay bir konsolidasyona (toparlanma de\u011fil, bant i\u00e7inde s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) girebilir. Bu dalgal\u0131 seyir, yaln\u0131zca y\u00f6n tahminine dayal\u0131 i\u015flemleri zorlayabilir; ancak 6.800 gibi son zirvelerin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla call credit spread satmak (iki call opsiyonuyla kurulan, prim geliri hedefleyen ve risk\/\u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 strateji) prim toplamak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat sunabilir. Bu strateji, piyasa yatay giderse veya yava\u015f\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 sarkarsa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P 500\u2019de Elliott Dalga d\u00fczeltmesi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: 6.575 alt\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc teyit edebilir, 6.494 hedefte. VIX 20 \u00fcst\u00fc korkuyu art\u0131r\u0131yor; put, spread ve prim stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30553","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30553\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}