{"id":30529,"date":"2026-03-17T16:04:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T16:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/xag-usd-yatirimcilarin-fedin-yaklasan-politika-kararini-beklemesiyle-avrupa-seansinda-8050-dolar-civarinda-temkinli-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T16:04:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T16:04:00","slug":"xag-usd-yatirimcilarin-fedin-yaklasan-politika-kararini-beklemesiyle-avrupa-seansinda-8050-dolar-civarinda-temkinli-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/xag-usd-yatirimcilarin-fedin-yaklasan-politika-kararini-beklemesiyle-avrupa-seansinda-8050-dolar-civarinda-temkinli-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"XAG\/USD, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed\u2019in yakla\u015fan politika karar\u0131n\u0131 beklemesiyle Avrupa seans\u0131nda 80,50 dolar civar\u0131nda temkinli seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG\/USD) 80,50 dolar civar\u0131nda dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasalar, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Fed\u2019in faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. CME FedWatch arac\u0131 (vadeli i\u015flemlerden t\u00fcretilen olas\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) ise \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6rt toplant\u0131da da faiz de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklenmedi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nFaizlerin daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131, faiz geliri getirmeyen (kupon\/faiz \u00f6demesi olmayan) varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurabilir; g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f de bu gruptad\u0131r. Piyasa, Fed\u2019in \u201cdot plot\u201dunu (\u00fcyelerin gelecekteki faiz beklentilerini g\u00f6steren noktasal grafik) ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131, ABD faiz patikas\u0131na (faizin zaman i\u00e7indeki olas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcne) dair mesajlar i\u00e7in izleyecek.\n\n<h3>Orta Do\u011fu Gerginli\u011fi G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Destekliyor<\/h3>\nReuters, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerginli\u011fin g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fe destek verdi\u011fini yazd\u0131. Haberde, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni Dini Lideri Mojtaba Hamaney\u2019in bar\u0131\u015f \u00f6nerilerini reddetti\u011fi belirtildi. Jeopolitik risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte korunma amac\u0131yla tercih edilen varl\u0131k) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte XAG\/USD, 80,50 dolar \u00e7evresinde \u201cal\u00e7alan \u00fc\u00e7gen\u201d (tepe seviyeleri d\u00fc\u015ferken taban\u0131n yatay kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, genelde zay\u0131flamaya i\u015faret eden formasyon) olu\u015fturdu. 1 Mart\u2019taki 96,62 dolarl\u0131k zirveden gelen d\u00fc\u015fen trend \u00e7izgisi, 84,00 dolar civar\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Destek 3 Mart dip seviyesi olan 78,00 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; 20 d\u00f6nemlik EMA (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 81,80 dolar civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Di\u011fer seviyeler 79,00 ve 78,50 dolar destekleri.\n\nG\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131; faiz oranlar\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131, g\u00fcvenli liman talebi, sanayi kullan\u0131m\u0131, madencilik arz\u0131, geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve alt\u0131nda (gold) g\u00f6r\u00fclen hareketler etkileyebilir. Bunlara alt\u0131n\/g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131 (gold\/silver ratio: 1 ons alt\u0131n almak i\u00e7in gereken g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f onsu say\u0131s\u0131) da dahildir.\n\n17 Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, bu haftaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 28,50 dolar civar\u0131nda karars\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Piyasa, faize dair net sinyal beklerken sakin. Bu temkinli hava, \u00f6nemli ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131klamalar \u00f6ncesinde s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr.\n\n<h3>Fed Beklentisi ve Piyasa Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nFed\u2019in faizi mevcut %4,75\u2013%5,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u015eubat enflasyonu %3,1 ile beklentinin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi; bu da k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131, faiz geliri olmayan varl\u0131klarda (g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi) r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirebilir.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik riskler g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 desteklemeye devam ediyor. Bu t\u00fcr kal\u0131c\u0131 gerginlikler, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 portf\u00f6yde bir miktar g\u00fcvenli liman tutmaya y\u00f6neltebilir. Bu nedenle sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler, istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 \u201ckorunma\u201d (hedge: risk dengeleme) arayanlar i\u00e7in al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle i\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler), mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm temkinli ile zay\u0131f aras\u0131nda. 2025\u2019te de benzer bir karars\u0131zl\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, fiyat bir s\u00fcre yatay kald\u0131ktan sonra Fed politikas\u0131n\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131yla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 27,00 dolar ana destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131\u201d (strike: opsiyonda al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) almak, olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeye pozisyon alma yolu olabilir.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Fed\u2019den beklenmedik \u015fekilde \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (dovish: faizde indirim\/gev\u015feme yanl\u0131s\u0131) mesajlar gelirse g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Sanayi talebi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131yor. Silver Institute, 2026\u2019da fotovoltaik kullan\u0131m\u0131n (g\u00fcne\u015f paneli \u00fcretiminde kullan\u0131m) %8 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu da uzun vadeli de\u011feri destekliyor. Bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 29,50 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimaline d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle pozisyon almak i\u00e7in \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re hemen k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7meyen) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: y\u00fckseli\u015ften kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.\n\nAlt\u0131n-g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131 da izlenmeli; oran \u015fu s\u0131ralar 84:1 civar\u0131nda. Tarihsel olarak bu seviye y\u00fcksek say\u0131l\u0131r; g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131na g\u00f6re g\u00f6rece ucuz olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcr. Oran d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flarsa (daralma), \u201c\u00e7ift i\u015flem\u201d (pairs trade: bir varl\u0131kta uzun, di\u011ferinde k\u0131sa pozisyonla oransal hareketten yararlanma) stratejisi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir: g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte uzun (long: y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle) ve alt\u0131n t\u00fcrevlerinde k\u0131sa (short: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle) pozisyon almak gibi.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, Fed faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi dar bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: y\u00fcksek faiz bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrerken Orta Do\u011fu gerginli\u011fi g\u00fcvenli liman talebini canl\u0131 tutuyor. Teknikte 78 destek, 81,80\u201384 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30529\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}