{"id":30523,"date":"2026-03-17T14:06:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T14:06:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-islemlerinde-abd-endeks-vadeli-islemleri-geriledi-dow-46-850-seviyesine-yakin-sp-ve-nasdaq-da-dususte\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T14:06:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T14:06:12","slug":"avrupa-islemlerinde-abd-endeks-vadeli-islemleri-geriledi-dow-46-850-seviyesine-yakin-sp-ve-nasdaq-da-dususte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-islemlerinde-abd-endeks-vadeli-islemleri-geriledi-dow-46-850-seviyesine-yakin-sp-ve-nasdaq-da-dususte\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde ABD endeks vadeli i\u015flemleri geriledi; Dow 46.850 seviyesine yak\u0131n, S&#038;P ve Nasdaq da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte"},"content":{"rendered":"Dow Jones vadeli i\u015flemleri Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa saatlerinde %0,27 d\u00fc\u015ferek yakla\u015f\u0131k 46.850 seviyesine indi. S&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri %0,50 gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 6.670\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ferken, Nasdaq 100 vadeli i\u015flemleri %0,58 kay\u0131pla yakla\u015f\u0131k 24.530\u2019a indi.  \n\nD\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki yeni y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geldi ve enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; bu durum k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131nda (piyasaya yeterli enerji sa\u011flanmas\u0131) daha uzun s\u00fcrecek aksamalar olabilece\u011fi korkusunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.  \n\nB\u00f6lgesel gerilim, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan t\u0131rmand\u0131. Bir insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 (\u0130HA) sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131, BAE\u2019deki Fuceyre Petrol End\u00fcstri B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde yang\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131; can kayb\u0131 veya yaralanma bildirilmedi.  \n\nBaz\u0131 \u00fclkeler, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n bo\u011faz\u0131 kullanan petrol tankerlerine deniz refakati (askeri gemi e\u015fli\u011fi) g\u00f6nderme \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 reddetti. Trump, Bat\u0131l\u0131 m\u00fcttefikleri ele\u015ftirerek ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki ABD deste\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermediklerini s\u00f6yledi; bu da diplomatik gerginli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131.  \n\nPiyasalar ayr\u0131ca daha y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetlerinin enflasyon \u00fczerindeki etkisine odakland\u0131. Bu t\u00fcr maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz kararlar\u0131 ve likidite y\u00f6netimi) etkileyebilir. Bu nedenle, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi zay\u0131flad\u0131.  \n\nCME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar (trader\u2019lar), Fed\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyece\u011fini bekliyor. Bu, \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci \u201cpas ge\u00e7me\u201d (faizi sabit tutma) olur.  \n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimin ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda sert s\u0131\u00e7rama yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve hisse vadeli i\u015flemlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fi piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz. Bu olay, jeopolitik riskin (siyasi ve g\u00fcvenlik kaynakl\u0131 risk) ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde piyasa genelinde oynakl\u0131\u011fa (fiyatlar\u0131n sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket etmesi) d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. O d\u00f6nemdeki endi\u015fe, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin enflasyonu art\u0131r\u0131p Fed\u2019i faiz konusunda daha s\u0131k\u0131 (faiz indirmeyen hatta art\u0131ran) bir \u00e7izgiye zorlamas\u0131yd\u0131.  \n\nBug\u00fcn H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ani kriz hafiflemi\u015f olsa da, etkiler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor. ABD tipi ham petrol WTI (West Texas Intermediate: ABD\u2019de referans al\u0131nan ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) \u015fu s\u0131ralar varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 81 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu seviye, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki aksamalar \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re belirgin bi\u00e7imde daha y\u00fcksek. D\u00fcnyadaki toplam petrol t\u00fcketiminin %20\u2019sinden fazlas\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 bu dar ge\u00e7itten ge\u00e7ti\u011fi i\u00e7in, yeni bir gerilim tedarik zincirleri (\u00fcretimden sevkiyata uzanan t\u00fcm tedarik a\u011f\u0131) a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi bir risk olu\u015fturuyor.  \n\n2025\u2019teki enerji \u015fokunun enflasyon \u00fczerindeki etkisi son verilerde netle\u015fti. \u015eubat 2026\u2019ya ait son T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n genel de\u011fi\u015fimi) raporu, enflasyonun %3,1 seviyesinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu da enflasyonun \u201cyap\u0131\u015fkan\u201d (h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmeyen, kal\u0131c\u0131) oldu\u011funu ortaya koydu. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l boyunca ekonomiye yay\u0131lan daha y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetlerinin do\u011frudan bir sonucu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.  \n\nBu tablo Fed\u2019i zor bir noktada b\u0131rak\u0131yor; enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi %3,75\u2013%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutuyor. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re Haziran 2026\u2019ya kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %50\u2019nin alt\u0131na geriledi; bu, \u00f6nceki beklentilere g\u00f6re belirgin bir de\u011fi\u015fim. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n en az\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00e7eyrek boyunca \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d (faizlerin h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmemesi) ortam\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 gerekiyor.  \n\nBu arka planda, VIX endeksi (piyasa korku endeksi: S&#038;P 500 opsiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) g\u00f6rece sakin say\u0131lan 15 civar\u0131nda olsa bile, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131yla pozisyon almak daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. S&#038;P 500 gibi geni\u015f piyasa endekslerinde koruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan opsiyon) almak, ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayabilir. Ayr\u0131ca enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ETF\u2019lerinde (borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu: bir sepet hisseyi tek \u00fcr\u00fcn gibi i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcr) opsiyon kullanmak, ham petroldeki yeni fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik daha pratik bir yol olabilir.  \n\nY\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleri, yak\u0131ta duyarl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rler olan ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k ve havayollar\u0131 i\u00e7in bask\u0131 unsuru olmaya devam edecek. Bu alanlarda uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon) ta\u015f\u0131rken temkinli olmak gerekir. Bunun yerine, y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan k\u00e2r eden b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji \u00fcreticilerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden faydalanan opsiyon) gibi bu ortamdan yararlanabilecek stratejiler de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrol \u015foku Wall Street\u2019i vurdu: Dow, S&#038;P 500 ve Nasdaq vadeli i\u015flemleri geriledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi enflasyon korkusunu b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi ihtimali zay\u0131flad\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar oynakl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30523"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30523\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}