{"id":30517,"date":"2026-03-17T13:04:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T13:04:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-dolari-fed-karari-oncesinde-guc-kazanirken-altin-5-000-dolarin-uzerinde-tutunuyor-ancak-bogalar-temkinli\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T13:04:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T13:04:38","slug":"abd-dolari-fed-karari-oncesinde-guc-kazanirken-altin-5-000-dolarin-uzerinde-tutunuyor-ancak-bogalar-temkinli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-dolari-fed-karari-oncesinde-guc-kazanirken-altin-5-000-dolarin-uzerinde-tutunuyor-ancak-bogalar-temkinli\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD dolar\u0131 Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131rken, alt\u0131n 5.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunuyor; ancak bo\u011falar temkinli"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Avrupa i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 5.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 korudu. Ancak fiyat hareketi, birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fen etkenler nedeniyle temkinli kald\u0131. Jeopolitik risk s\u00fcrerken \u0130srail, L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcneyinde kara operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletti. \u00d6te yandan ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015f\u0131n sona yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.\n\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131na girerken \u0130ran, alt\u0131 K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkesinde sivil altyap\u0131y\u0131; havalimanlar\u0131, limanlar, petrol tesisleri ve ticaret merkezlerini f\u00fczeler ve dronlarla (insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131) vurmaya devam etti. K\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n be\u015fte birinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki (petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik dar ge\u00e7it) sevkiyat aksamas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tuttu ve enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\n

Enflasyon ve Fed Beklentileri<\/h3>\nEnflasyon riskinin y\u00fckselmesi, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131na veya faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme almas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu durum, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep, May\u0131s 2025\u2019ten bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek seviyeden gelen geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan artt\u0131; bu da XAU\/USD\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nPiyasalar, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sonu\u00e7lanacak iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bekledi. FOMC (Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131 karar komitesi) faiz ve para politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik sinyaller verir. Hafta i\u00e7inde ayr\u0131ca ECB (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131), BoJ (Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131) ve BoE\u2019nin (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) kararlar\u0131 izlenecek.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6stergeler olumsuz kald\u0131: Fiyat, 4 saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama; belirli say\u0131da kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n ortalamas\u0131yla trendi g\u00f6sterir) alt\u0131na indi ve %38,2 Fibonacci seviyesinin (olas\u0131 destek\/diren\u00e7 i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan oran) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. MACD (12, 26, 9) s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda; MACD (iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki farkla momentum \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret eder. RSI 41\u2019de; RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131, 50 alt\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k) bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterir.\n\nDiren\u00e7 5.040 dolar civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 5.063 dolar; \u00fcstte 5.186 dolar izleniyor. Destek 5.000 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.995\u20134.985 band\u0131; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 4.921,41 seviyesi bulunuyor.\n\n

Petrol \u015eoku ve Piyasa Stresi<\/h3>\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki aksama, Fed\u2019in enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 besleyen ana unsur olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1970\u2019lerin sonlar\u0131nda \u0130ran Devrimi s\u0131ras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan uzun s\u00fcreli kapanmalar d\u00f6neminde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 neredeyse \u00fc\u00e7e katlanm\u0131\u015f, k\u00fcresel \u201cstagflasyon\u201du (durgunluk + y\u00fcksek enflasyon) k\u00f6r\u00fcklemi\u015fti. Bu tarihsel \u00f6rnek, FOMC\u2019nin yak\u0131ndan bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir senaryo ve bu hafta s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), May\u0131s 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelere y\u00f6nelirken piyasalar\u0131n alt\u0131n yerine dolar\u0131n getiri ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fini (dolar varl\u0131klar\u0131nda faiz getirisi) \u00f6nceledi\u011fine dair sinyal g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, alt\u0131n\u0131 yabanc\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in daha pahal\u0131 yapar ve fiyat \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131r. Bu ters ili\u015fki, de\u011ferli metaller piyasas\u0131nda etkili bir dinamik olarak izlenir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik: XAU\/USD 5.000 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunuyor. Jeopolitik risk desteklerken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 petrol-enflasyon \u015foku Fed\u2019in \u015fahinle\u015fme ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve zay\u0131f teknikler y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30517","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30517"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30517\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}