{"id":30508,"date":"2026-03-17T11:04:03","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T11:04:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/fed-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-zayiflarken-xag-usd-avrupa-erken-islemlerinde-ons-basina-8080-dolar-civarinda-baski-altinda-kaliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T11:04:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T11:04:03","slug":"fed-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-zayiflarken-xag-usd-avrupa-erken-islemlerinde-ons-basina-8080-dolar-civarinda-baski-altinda-kaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-zayiflarken-xag-usd-avrupa-erken-islemlerinde-ons-basina-8080-dolar-civarinda-baski-altinda-kaliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed faiz indirimi beklentileri zay\u0131flarken, XAG\/USD Avrupa erken i\u015flemlerinde ons ba\u015f\u0131na 80,80 dolar civar\u0131nda bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde ons ba\u015f\u0131na 80,80 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u00d6nceki seansta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Faiz getirisi olmayan metallerde (faiz veya kupon \u00f6demesi yapmayan varl\u0131klar) talep zay\u0131f kald\u0131. Bunun nedeni, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyonu art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesiyle ABD\u2019de yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi beklentilerinin azalmas\u0131 oldu.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti. Bu durum enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131 ve yak\u0131n vadede para politikas\u0131nda gev\u015feme (faiz indirimleri gibi destekleyici ad\u0131mlar) ihtimalini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Piyasalar, CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a (vadeli i\u015flem fiyatlar\u0131ndan Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131 hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge) g\u00f6re Fed\u2019in \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi 3,50%\u20133,75% aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.\n\n<h3>Faiz, Enflasyon ve G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<\/h3>\nFaizler sabit kal\u0131rsa, Fed\u2019in daha \u00f6nceki gev\u015feme s\u00fcrecinin ard\u0131ndan \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d karar\u0131 olacak. Avustralya\u2019da ise Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA), sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini (resmi nakit faizi) 3,85%\u2019ten 4,10%\u2019a y\u00fckseltti.\n\nJaponya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc politika faizini 0,75%\u2019te tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, daha sonra ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n ve Hazine tahvili getirilerinin (tahvillerin piyasa faizi) gerilemesi ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle destek buldu.\n\nHam petrol, baz\u0131 tankerlerin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan g\u00fcvenle ge\u00e7mesinin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ayr\u0131ca b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerin, arz riskini azaltmak i\u00e7in petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131 piyasaya s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011fazdan ham petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesine izin verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ise b\u00f6lgedeki ticari faaliyetlerin korunmas\u0131 i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 destek arad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.\n\nG\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 80,80 dolar seviyesinde iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Devam eden Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n besledi\u011fi kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon metale destek veriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n Fed\u2019in faiz konusunda s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fi beklentisi (faiz indirimlerini ertelemesi) bu deste\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>\u0130zlenecek Temel Etkenler<\/h3>\nFed\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla faizi 3,75% seviyesinde tutacak olmas\u0131, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 (vadeli i\u015flemler ve opsiyon gibi fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 ara\u00e7larla i\u015flem yapanlar) i\u00e7in belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor. 2024\u2019teki Fed \u201cduraklama\u201d d\u00f6nemine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, benzer s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte dalgal\u0131 fiyat hareketlerine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc piyasa merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu da yak\u0131n vadede net bir trendden \u00e7ok oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert hareket etmesi) artabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nBu belirsiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131ndan yararlanan opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. De\u011ferli metal oynakl\u0131k endekslerinin 18,5 seviyesine yak\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi piyasa tedirginli\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u201cstraddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d (opsiyonla kurulan, fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011finden \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket edip etmeyece\u011fine oynanan iki farkl\u0131 pozisyon) gibi stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bu pozisyonlar, Fed a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015f haberlerinin ard\u0131ndan varil ba\u015f\u0131na 105 dolara gerileyen ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Ge\u00e7en hafta 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerini g\u00f6ren s\u0131\u00e7rama, jeopolitik gerilimlerin enflasyon korkusunu ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 canland\u0131rabildi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6lgede yeniden bir aksama ya\u015fanmas\u0131, Fed\u2019in k\u0131sa vadeli duru\u015fundan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z \u015fekilde g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sert y\u00fckseltebilir.\n\nRBA\u2019n\u0131n faizi 4,10%\u2019a \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 da g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. Bu ad\u0131m, k\u00fcresel enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminin) kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Avustralya\u2019daki 4,5% seviyesindeki inat\u00e7\u0131 T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi, enflasyonun temel g\u00f6stergesi) verisiyle gelen bu karar, Fed\u2019in d\u00fcnyadan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z hareket etmedi\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. G10 (\u015firketle\u015fmi\u015f 10 b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke grubu) merkez bankalar\u0131ndan daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi y\u00fcksek tutmay\u0131 savunan) bir duru\u015f, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde bir taban olu\u015fturabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 80,80 dolarda iki arada: Ortado\u011fu gerilimiyle petrol y\u00fckseli\u015fi enflasyon korkusunu t\u0131rmand\u0131r\u0131p faizi y\u00fcksek tutturuyor. Fed\u2019in \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d mesaj\u0131 talebi s\u0131n\u0131rlarken oynakl\u0131k ve opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30508\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}