{"id":30504,"date":"2026-03-17T10:03:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:03:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rba-kararlarinin-ardindan-aud-usd-onceki-kayiplarinin-buyuk-bolumunu-telafi-ederek-baskan-bullockun-basin-toplantisi-sonrasi-07085e-dogru-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T10:03:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:03:33","slug":"rba-kararlarinin-ardindan-aud-usd-onceki-kayiplarinin-buyuk-bolumunu-telafi-ederek-baskan-bullockun-basin-toplantisi-sonrasi-07085e-dogru-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rba-kararlarinin-ardindan-aud-usd-onceki-kayiplarinin-buyuk-bolumunu-telafi-ederek-baskan-bullockun-basin-toplantisi-sonrasi-07085e-dogru-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA kararlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan AUD\/USD \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc telafi ederek, Ba\u015fkan Bullock\u2019un bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 0,7085\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"RBA karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan AUD\/USD, g\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerindeki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funu telafi etti ve Ba\u015fkan Michele Bullock\u2019un bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 0,7085 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. RBA, politika faizini (bankalar\u0131n birbirine gecelik bor\u00e7 verme faizini) 25 baz puan (0,25 puan) art\u0131rarak %4,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Dokuz \u00fcyeli kurulun be\u015f \u00fcyesi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekledi.\n\nRBA, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti\u011fini ve kal\u0131c\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n enflasyonu (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bullock, talebin (harcama iste\u011fi) arz\u0131 (mal ve hizmet \u00fcretimi) a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu nedenle enflasyonun zaten y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu ve faizin enflasyonu hedefe indirmek i\u00e7in yeterince y\u00fcksek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.\n\n<h3>RBA Sonras\u0131 Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nABD dolar\u0131, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesindeki d\u00fczeltme (k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli geri \u00e7ekilme) sonras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. AUD\/USD, 0,7060 civar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselen 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) \u00fczerinde tutunarak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini destekledi.\n\n14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge), 60,00\u201380,00 band\u0131ndan geriledikten sonra 40,00\u201360,00 band\u0131na d\u00f6nd\u00fc; bu da ivmenin (hareket g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn) daha dengeli oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 0,7100 civar\u0131nda ve 0,7120\u20130,7150 b\u00f6lgesinde. Sonraki seviyeler 0,72\u2019nin ortalar\u0131 ve 0,7300.\n\nDestek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 0,6944 ve 0,6900 civar\u0131nda. 0,6900 alt\u0131na sarkma, 0,6770\u20130,6800 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir.\n\n<h3>Bir Sonraki RBA D\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc \u0130\u00e7in Strateji Fikirleri<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcne, Mart 2026\u2019ya gelindi\u011finde tablo yeniden karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015f\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde gerileyen enflasyonun ard\u0131ndan, son \u00e7eyreklik T\u00dcFE (t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi: enflasyonun ana \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) verisi beklentiyi a\u015farak %3,4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve RBA\u2019y\u0131 zor bir noktaya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 da tarihi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerinden y\u00fckselerek %4,2\u2019ye geldi. Banka bir yandan inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyonla (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) m\u00fccadele ederken, di\u011fer yandan so\u011fuyan i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na destek aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.\n\nBu belirsizlik, AUD\/USD\u2019de oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (sert fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) yakla\u015fan RBA toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) stratejisini de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, RBA\u2019n\u0131n yeni bir art\u0131\u015fla \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmas\u0131 veya istihdam kayg\u0131lar\u0131yla net \u015fekilde \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na mesafeli) bir duru\u015fa ge\u00e7mesi halinde piyasan\u0131n tepkisini kullanmay\u0131 hedefler.\n\nRBA\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131rmaya yatk\u0131n) \u00e7izgisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, enflasyona yeniden \u00f6ncelik verilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorsan\u0131z daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Avustralya dolar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 0,6750\u2019deki yak\u0131n direncin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131yla AUD\/USD\u2019de vadeli i\u015flem (futures: ileri tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m taahh\u00fcd\u00fc i\u00e7eren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ile uzun (y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle) pozisyon al\u0131nmas\u0131 bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi geli\u015firse, 0,7100 gibi ge\u00e7mi\u015f diren\u00e7 seviyeleri uzun vadeli hedef olarak izlenebilir.\n\nABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de bu i\u015fleme ayr\u0131 bir boyut ekliyor. Avustralya\u2019da enflasyon kat\u0131 kal\u0131rken, ABD\u2019de son T\u00dcFE %2,8 ile daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 geldi ve Fed yetkilileri \u201cara verme\u201dyi (faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ge\u00e7ici duraklama) daha a\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. RBA\u2019n\u0131n g\u00f6rece \u015fahin kalmas\u0131 ile Fed\u2019in n\u00f6trden g\u00fcvercine kaymas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda AUD\/USD\u2019nin y\u00fckselmesi ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.\n\nY\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, do\u011frudan vadeli i\u015flem yerine al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: kur y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran hak) kullan\u0131labilir. AUD\/USD call spread (iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu ile kurulan, risk ve getiri s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 belli strateji) almak, paritede y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken olas\u0131 zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutar. B\u00f6ylece RBA\u2019n\u0131n artan i\u015fsizlik verilerine daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verip beklenenden daha temkinli bir mesaj vermesi halinde kay\u0131p kontrol alt\u0131nda kal\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA\u2019n\u0131n 25 bp faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla AUD\/USD kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 sildi, 0,7085\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 enerji riski enflasyonu canl\u0131 tutuyor. Teknikte 0,7100 diren\u00e7, 0,6900 kritik; opsiyon straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30504\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}