{"id":30502,"date":"2026-03-17T09:05:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T09:05:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/fed-ve-ecbnin-faiz-kararlari-oncesinde-euro-dolar-paritesi-11500nin-altina-geriledi-erken-saatlerde-11490-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T09:05:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T09:05:43","slug":"fed-ve-ecbnin-faiz-kararlari-oncesinde-euro-dolar-paritesi-11500nin-altina-geriledi-erken-saatlerde-11490-civarinda-islem-goruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-ve-ecbnin-faiz-kararlari-oncesinde-euro-dolar-paritesi-11500nin-altina-geriledi-erken-saatlerde-11490-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed ve ECB\u2019nin faiz kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Euro\/Dolar paritesi 1,1500\u2019nin alt\u0131na geriledi, erken saatlerde 1,1490 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 1,1490 civar\u0131na gerileyerek 1,1500 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi. ABD Dolar\u0131, ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve ABD faizlerine dair beklentileri de\u011fi\u015ftirmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc bitecek toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan politika faizini (bankalar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131na y\u00f6n veren temel faiz) %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Goldman Sachs ekonomistleri, enflasyonun daha y\u00fcksek seyredece\u011fi beklentisi nedeniyle faiz indirimlerini (faiz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc) haziran ve eyl\u00fclden, eyl\u00fcl ve aral\u0131\u011fa \u00f6teledi.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nAvrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda mevduat faizini (bankalar\u0131n ECB\u2019de tuttuklar\u0131 paraya uygulanan faiz) %2,0\u2019de sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. ECB Y\u00f6netim Konseyi \u00fcyesi Peter Kazimir, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n beklenenden daha erken gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nFaiz vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekteki faiz seviyesine dair fiyatlanan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler), temmuz sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatl\u0131yor ve aral\u0131k sonuna kadar ikinci bir art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %55 g\u00f6steriyor. Reuters\u2019\u0131n 9\u201313 Mart\u2019ta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankette ekonomistler yine de faizlerin sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi Fikirleri<\/h3>\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki jeopolitik gerilimden sonra azalan oynakl\u0131kta (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynama f\u0131rsat\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. EUR\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) 1 ayl\u0131k z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan hesaplanan beklenen dalgalanma) %6,5 civar\u0131nda; 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00e7ift haneli zirvelere g\u00f6re belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d strangle (mevcut fiyattan uzak bir al\u0131m ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte satma; kur belli bir bantta kal\u0131rsa gelir elde etme) satmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu i\u015flemde prim (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 gelir), paritenin merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cistikrarl\u0131\u201d mesaj\u0131 verdi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde belirli aral\u0131kta kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle toplan\u0131r.\n\nDikkat, Atlantik\u2019in iki yakas\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak enflasyon ve istihdam verilerine \u00e7evrilmeli. WTI ham petrol\u00fc (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 82 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelenmi\u015fken, 2025\u2019teki enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon etkisi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sisteme yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu da ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verilerinde beklenmedik bir zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir yeniden fiyatlamaya (piyasalar\u0131n faiz beklentilerini aniden de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi) yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini anlat\u0131yor; bu nedenle EUR\/USD\u2019de uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (ileri tarihli \u201ccall\u201d; y\u00fckseli\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan ara\u00e7) Fed\u2019in duru\u015funda ani bir de\u011fi\u015fime kar\u015f\u0131 ilgin\u00e7, ancak genel beklentiye ters bir korunma arac\u0131 olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD 1,1500 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131; petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015fesi dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Fed sabit, Goldman indirimleri \u00f6telerken; ECB\u2019de art\u0131\u015f sinyali var. Opsiyonda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30502","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30502"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30502\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30502"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30502"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30502"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}