{"id":30475,"date":"2026-03-17T03:10:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T03:10:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rba-faiz-karari-oncesinde-aud-usd-yuzde-125-yukselerek-07070e-toparlandi-subat-ayindaki-07190-civarindaki-zirvelerin-ardindan-dalgali-seyrini-surduruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T03:10:32","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T03:10:32","slug":"rba-faiz-karari-oncesinde-aud-usd-yuzde-125-yukselerek-07070e-toparlandi-subat-ayindaki-07190-civarindaki-zirvelerin-ardindan-dalgali-seyrini-surduruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rba-faiz-karari-oncesinde-aud-usd-yuzde-125-yukselerek-07070e-toparlandi-subat-ayindaki-07190-civarindaki-zirvelerin-ardindan-dalgali-seyrini-surduruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde AUD\/USD y\u00fczde 1,25 y\u00fckselerek 0,7070\u2019e toparland\u0131; \u015fubat ay\u0131ndaki 0,7190 civar\u0131ndaki zirvelerin ard\u0131ndan dalgal\u0131 seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,25 y\u00fckseldi ve ge\u00e7en haftaki dip seviyelerden toparlanarak 0,7070 civar\u0131nda kapand\u0131. \u015eubat ba\u015f\u0131nda 0,7190 civar\u0131nda zirve yapt\u0131ktan sonra dalgal\u0131 bir bant i\u00e7inde hareket ediyor; s\u0131k s\u0131k 0,7000\u2019e do\u011fru gerileyip ard\u0131ndan toparlan\u0131yor.\n\nPazartesi kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 bu band\u0131n ortas\u0131na yak\u0131nd\u0131. G\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f, Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019na yeni bir talepten \u00e7ok ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki genel zay\u0131fl\u0131kla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131.\n\n

Rba Karar\u0131 Odakta<\/h3> \nAvustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Piyasalar faizin 25 baz puan (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) art\u0131r\u0131larak %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor; bu art\u0131\u015f \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci art\u0131\u015f olabilir.\n\nEnflasyon %2\u2013%3 hedef band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor. \u201cTrimmed mean\u201d (u\u00e7 de\u011ferlerin etkisi azalt\u0131larak hesaplanan, daha kal\u0131c\u0131 e\u011filimi g\u00f6steren \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon) h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seyrediyor. Avustralya istihdam verisi Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; beklenti 20,3 bin yeni istihdam ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,2\u2019ye hafif y\u00fckselmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131 hareketlerinde, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanabilece\u011fine dair endi\u015felerin azalmas\u0131 etkili oldu; bu durum \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman talebini\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n dolar gibi daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. New York Empire State \u0130malat Endeksi (New York b\u00f6lgesinde imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn gidi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en anket) Mart\u2019ta -0,2 geldi; beklenti 3,2 idi.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc kararda faizi %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 ve g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f Ekonomik Projeksiyonlar \u00d6zeti\u2019ni (b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon ve politika faizi beklentilerini i\u00e7eren resmi tahmin seti) yay\u0131mlamas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n

Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Ve \u0130\u015flem Kurulumu<\/h3> \n2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, AUD\/USD paritesi 0,7100 seviyesi \u00e7evresinde dalgal\u0131 bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu hareketin arkas\u0131nda, RBA\u2019n\u0131n daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi art\u0131rmaya daha istekli) duru\u015fla faizi %4,10\u2019a y\u00fckseltmesi, Fed\u2019in ise \u201cduraklama\u201d sinyali vermesi vard\u0131. Merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, son bir y\u0131lda g\u00f6r\u00fclen trendin zeminini olu\u015fturdu.\n\nBu politika fark\u0131 zamanla belirgin \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131 ve Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi. RBA politika faizini %4,35\u2019te (zirve seviyede) sabit tuttu; 2025\u2019in 4. \u00e7eyrek enflasyonu gerilese de %3,4 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 kald\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Fed, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne ba\u015flad\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile enflasyonun hedefe yakla\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle Fed fonlama faizini %3,25\u2019e \u00e7ekti.\n\nAvustralya lehine faiz fark\u0131, \u201cpozitif ta\u015f\u0131ma getirisi\u201d (carry: daha y\u00fcksek faizli para biriminde pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131man\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz avantaj\u0131) yaratarak Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019nda uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. ABD ekonomisi 2025\u2019te zay\u0131fl\u0131k sinyalleri vermi\u015fti; bu e\u011filim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve son veriler ABD 2025 4. \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini %1,2 ile zay\u0131f g\u00f6steriyor. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in gev\u015feme ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor ve ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.\n

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Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD %1,25 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, 0,7070\u2019te solukland\u0131: RBA\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 25 bp art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Per\u015fembe istihdam\u0131 kritik. Dolar zay\u0131f, Fed sabit; faiz fark\u0131 AUD\u2019a carry deste\u011fi sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30475"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30475\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}