{"id":30469,"date":"2026-03-17T03:05:17","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T03:05:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-saldirisina-iliskin-degerlendirmelerin-ardindan-abd-dolari-geriliyor-yatirimcilar-fed-ve-ecb-kararlarini-beklerken-hurmuz-gerilimini-izliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T03:05:17","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T03:05:17","slug":"iran-saldirisina-iliskin-degerlendirmelerin-ardindan-abd-dolari-geriliyor-yatirimcilar-fed-ve-ecb-kararlarini-beklerken-hurmuz-gerilimini-izliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-saldirisina-iliskin-degerlendirmelerin-ardindan-abd-dolari-geriliyor-yatirimcilar-fed-ve-ecb-kararlarini-beklerken-hurmuz-gerilimini-izliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerin ard\u0131ndan ABD dolar\u0131 geriliyor; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Fed ve ECB kararlar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimini izliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar\u0131, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fini sonland\u0131rd\u0131. Piyasalar, ABD\u2019nin Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019ndeki \u0130ran\u2019a ait petrol \u00fcss\u00fc Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019na d\u00fczenledi\u011fi sald\u0131r\u0131ya tepki verdi. ABD\u2019li yetkililer, \u0130ran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda gemi ge\u00e7i\u015flerini engellemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse petrol altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n (petrol \u00fcretimi ve sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayan tesisler) hedef al\u0131nabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ba\u015fkan Trump da m\u00fcttefiklerinden rotan\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fine destek istedi.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 99,80 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; ge\u00e7en hafta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi. EUR\/USD 1,1500 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisi sona erdi. Piyasa genel beklentisi, iki bankan\u0131n da faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.\n\n<h3>Major Pairs In Focus<\/h3>\nGBP\/USD 1,3330 civar\u0131nda seyrederek ge\u00e7en haftaki kayb\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri ald\u0131. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) karar\u0131 izlenecek; bankan\u0131n faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. USD\/JPY, \u00e7ar\u015famba ve per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 159,00 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nWTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) ge\u00e7en haftaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan varil ba\u015f\u0131na 93,80 dolar civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Alt\u0131n 5.011 dolardayd\u0131; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde genel olarak yatay kald\u0131, ancak riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in geriledi.\n\nTakvim, Sal\u0131 10 Mart\u2019tan Cuma 13 Mart\u2019a kadar Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, \u00c7in, Almanya, Euro B\u00f6lgesi, ABD, Avustralya, Yeni Zelanda, \u0130spanya ve Kanada\u2019dan veri ve etkinlikleri listeliyor. Ayr\u0131ca API stok verisinin (Amerikan Petrol Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn haftal\u0131k ham petrol stok tahmini) sal\u0131 g\u00fcnleri, EIA verisinin (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin resmi stok verisi) ise ertesi g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n zaman\u0131n %75\u2019inde birbirine %1 i\u00e7inde yak\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. OPEC\u2019in (Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc) 12 \u00fcyesi oldu\u011fu ve y\u0131lda iki kez topland\u0131\u011f\u0131 da not ediliyor.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019na sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 WTI petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 94 dolara s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki tansiyon daha sonra sakinle\u015fti ve OPEC+\u2019\u0131n (OPEC ve ortak \u00fcretici \u00fclkelerin arz politikas\u0131 grubu) \u00fcretim kotalar\u0131n\u0131 (\u00fcretim s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131) korumas\u0131yla fiyatlar dengelendi. Ge\u00e7en haftaki EIA raporu, ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2,1 milyon varillik art\u0131\u015f (stok birikimi) g\u00f6sterdi; WTI \u015fu anda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 82 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\nBir y\u0131l \u00f6nce Dolar Endeksi, jeopolitik haberler sindirilirken 100 seviyesinden geri \u00e7ekiliyordu. Bug\u00fcn oda\u011f\u0131n, merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki politika farklar\u0131na ve kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyona kayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ara verilece\u011fi sinyalinin ard\u0131ndan DXY, daha net ekonomik veri beklenirken 103,5 civar\u0131nda daha dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Shifting Central Bank Drivers<\/h3>\nMart 2025\u2019te EUR\/USD, faizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 1,1500 seviyesine toparlan\u0131yordu. \u015eimdi parite 1,0850 civar\u0131nda \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde; Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin ABD\u2019nin gerisinde kalmas\u0131 bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekliyor. Son Almanya sanayi \u00fcretimi verisi hafif bir daralma g\u00f6sterdi; bu ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\n\nGBP\/USD\u2019nin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde 1,3330\u2019a toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n BoE karar\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fi hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Sterlin \u015fimdi 1,2700 civar\u0131nda; Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisinin resesyondan (ekonomik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme d\u00f6nemi) k\u0131l pay\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 fiyatlamay\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en ay a\u00e7\u0131klanan Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH (Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la: ekonominin toplam \u00fcretim de\u011feri) verisi %0,1 ile neredeyse yatay b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret etti; BoE i\u00e7in zorlu dengeyi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.\n\nUSD\/JPY, Mart 2025\u2019te 159,00 gibi \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir seviyedeydi; bu, Fed ile BoJ aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck politika fark\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yordu. Sonras\u0131nda BoJ, \u00e7ok gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131ndan (uzun s\u00fcre d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ve destekleyici ad\u0131mlar) uzakla\u015fma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilk ad\u0131mlar\u0131 att\u0131 ve parite geri \u00e7ekildi. 149,00 civar\u0131ndaki mevcut seviye, piyasada faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n (iki \u00fclkenin faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) art\u0131k daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nAlt\u0131n, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde ons ba\u015f\u0131na 5.011 dolarla dikkat \u00e7ekici bir seviyedeydi; riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f daha da y\u00fcksek seviyelerden gerilemi\u015fti. Spek\u00fclatif zirve (k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m-sat\u0131m kaynakl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f) geride kald\u0131; jeopolitik endi\u015feler azal\u0131nca alt\u0131n daha dengeli bir banda oturdu. \u015eu anda 2.350 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131 ve enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 korunma arac\u0131 (paran\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer saklama) olmas\u0131 fiyat\u0131 destekliyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00fcresel piyasalar alarmda: ABD\u2019nin Kharg Adas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 Dolar y\u00fckseli\u015fi durdu. DXY 99,80\u2019e indi, EUR\/USD 1,15. Fed-ECB-BoE-BoJ kararlar\u0131 bekleniyor; petrol 93,8, alt\u0131n yatay.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30469","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30469","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30469"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30469\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30469"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30469"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30469"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}