{"id":30463,"date":"2026-03-17T01:05:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T01:05:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/trump-iranin-sinirli-secenekleri-kaldigini-belirterek-hurmuz-bogazi-gorusmelerinde-muttefiklerini-abdye-destek-vermeye-cagirdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T01:05:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T01:05:58","slug":"trump-iranin-sinirli-secenekleri-kaldigini-belirterek-hurmuz-bogazi-gorusmelerinde-muttefiklerini-abdye-destek-vermeye-cagirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/trump-iranin-sinirli-secenekleri-kaldigini-belirterek-hurmuz-bogazi-gorusmelerinde-muttefiklerini-abdye-destek-vermeye-cagirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 se\u00e7enekleri kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde m\u00fcttefiklerini ABD\u2019ye destek vermeye \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan, di\u011fer \u00fclkeleri ABD\u2019ye destek vermeye te\u015fvik etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Trump, bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkenin \u201cyola \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi\u011fini; baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n istekli, baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ise isteksiz oldu\u011funu belirtti.\n\nTrump, 30 may\u0131n d\u00f6\u015feme gemisinin imha edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve herhangi bir may\u0131n b\u0131rak\u0131l\u0131p b\u0131rak\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan emin olmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ekledi. \u00c7ok az ate\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini ifade eden Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u00e7ok az cephanesi kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d da dile getirdi.\n\n<h3>Uluslararas\u0131 Destek Net De\u011fil<\/h3>\nTrump ayr\u0131ca \u00fclkelerin ABD\u2019ye yard\u0131m etmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin yard\u0131m edip etmedi\u011fini kendisinin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 isteyip istemediklerinden ise emin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.\n\nABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n faaliyetlerine kar\u015f\u0131 sert tutum almas\u0131, enerji piyasalar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Oynakl\u0131k, fiyatlar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert hareket etmesi anlam\u0131na gelir. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, ge\u00e7en ay bir petrol tankerinin k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli al\u0131konulmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Bu olay, May\u0131s teslimatl\u0131 Brent petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerini varil ba\u015f\u0131na 98 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Vadeli i\u015flem, ileride belirli bir tarihte teslim edilmek \u00fczere bug\u00fcnden yap\u0131lan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesidir. Brent, k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlamas\u0131nda referans kabul edilen ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcr. Bu hafta itibar\u0131yla bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7en gemiler i\u00e7in deniz sigortas\u0131 primleri de %15 y\u00fckseldi; bu, gerilimin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nTrump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u00e7ok az cephanesi kald\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki de\u011ferlendirmesi, opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda hareketlili\u011fi art\u0131rabilir. Opsiyon, belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan al\u0131m ya da sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren; zorunluluk i\u00e7ermeyen s\u00f6zle\u015fmedir. Bu ortamda \u201coynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almak\u201d (volatiliteye oynama) de\u011ferlendirilebilir; yani fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ziyade b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket etmesinden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flemler. Ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k\u201d (implied volatility) y\u00fckseliyor. \u00d6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k, opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen ve piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u00fcr. OVX ise petrol opsiyonlar\u0131ndaki beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 izleyen bir endekstir; 45 seviyesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseliyor. Bu seviye, 2025 sonundaki tedarik zinciri aksakl\u0131klar\u0131ndan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti; bu da piyasan\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir olay\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nTarihsel bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in 2019\u2019da Suudi Arabistan\u2019daki petrol tesislerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6r\u00fclen piyasa tepkisine bak\u0131labilir. Brent fiyatlar\u0131 tek seansta yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu, b\u00f6lgedeki jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin fiyatlara ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 yans\u0131yabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Do\u011frudan bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ihtimali ortaya \u00e7\u0131karsa, k\u0131sa s\u00fcrse bile benzer bir sert y\u00fckseli\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemez.\n\n<h3>Oynakl\u0131\u011fa G\u00f6re Pozisyon Alma<\/h3>\nUluslararas\u0131 deste\u011fin \u201cyolda\u201d oldu\u011fu ancak do\u011frulanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131, iki sonu\u00e7lu bir risk olu\u015fturuyor. \u201c\u0130kili risk\u201d (binary risk), iki u\u00e7 senaryodan birinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesiyle fiyatlar\u0131n sert y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirebilmesi anlam\u0131na gelir. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir koalisyon resmen duyurulursa, piyasalar sakinle\u015febilir ve tek tarafl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riski azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131 gerileyebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda m\u00fcttefik isimleri a\u00e7\u0131klanmazsa, piyasa bunu s\u00f6ylem olarak g\u00f6rebilir ve risk primi artabilir. Risk primi, belirsizlik ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ihtimali nedeniyle fiyatlara eklenen fazla bedeldir.\n\nBu belirsizlikte, fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011fini tahmin etmek yerine iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete g\u00f6re kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol ETF\u2019lerinde \u201cuzun straddle\u201d d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. ETF, borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren ve bir endeksi\/varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 takip eden fondur. Uzun straddle, ayn\u0131 vadede ve ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda bir al\u0131m (call) ve bir sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonunu birlikte sat\u0131n almakt\u0131r; ama\u00e7, fiyat sert y\u00fckselirse ya da sert d\u00fc\u015ferse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamakt\u0131r. Bu strateji, y\u00fckselen oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanmay\u0131 hedeflerken, gerginli\u011fin artmas\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa ani bir diplomatik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm m\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131na dair net bir y\u00f6n bahsi gerektirmez. Mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, fiyatlar\u0131n dar bir bant i\u00e7inde yatay seyretmesi ihtimalinin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: Trump, \u00fclkeleri ABD\u2019ye destek vermeye \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131rken uluslararas\u0131 koalisyon netle\u015fmedi. May\u0131n gemileri iddias\u0131 petrol ve opsiyonlarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131; Brent\/OVX s\u0131\u00e7rayabilir, sigorta primleri y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30463\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}