{"id":30461,"date":"2026-03-17T01:04:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T01:04:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-dolari-ve-tahvil-getirileri-fedin-yaklasan-kararlari-ve-merkez-bankalari-oncesinde-gerilerken-altin-5-000-dolar-civarinda-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T01:04:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T01:04:29","slug":"abd-dolari-ve-tahvil-getirileri-fedin-yaklasan-kararlari-ve-merkez-bankalari-oncesinde-gerilerken-altin-5-000-dolar-civarinda-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-dolari-ve-tahvil-getirileri-fedin-yaklasan-kararlari-ve-merkez-bankalari-oncesinde-gerilerken-altin-5-000-dolar-civarinda-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD dolar\u0131 ve tahvil getirileri Fed\u2019in yakla\u015fan kararlar\u0131 ve merkez bankalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde gerilerken alt\u0131n 5.000 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, ABD Dolar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili faizleri (devlet tahvillerinin getirisi) son y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan gev\u015feyince Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti. XAU\/USD (alt\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyat\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.990 dolardayd\u0131; g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek seviye 5.038 dolar oldu.\n\nABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131na girerken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) sevkiyatla ilgili endi\u015feler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Brent petrol \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k %33, WTI ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %37 y\u00fckseldi.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Ve Petrol \u015eoku<\/h3>\nABD, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019na hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenleyerek askeri noktalar\u0131 hedef ald\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, gemi ge\u00e7i\u015fleri engellenirse \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n vurulabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve \u00c7in, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, Fransa, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019den sava\u015f gemisi g\u00f6ndermelerini istedi.\n\nSNN\u2019ye g\u00f6re \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghchi, bo\u011faz\u0131n yaln\u0131zca \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmanlara ve sald\u0131rganl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyenlere\u201d kapat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Enerji maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f, enflasyon (fiyatlar genel d\u00fczeyi) kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine gitme beklentisini azaltt\u0131.\n\nCME FedWatch (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131na ili\u015fkin piyasa olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 izleyen g\u00f6sterge) verisine g\u00f6re Haziran\u2019da 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 puanl\u0131k) indirim olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, bir ay \u00f6nceki %51,2\u2019den %23,6\u2019ya geriledi. Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in faizleri %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi karar \u00f6ncesinde, y\u0131l sonuna kadar iki indirim yerine tek indirimi fiyatlad\u0131.\n\nBu hafta BoE (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131), ECB (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131), BoJ (Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131), BoC (Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131) ve RBA\u2019n\u0131n (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) kararlar\u0131 da bekleniyor. BoE, ECB, BoJ ve BoC\u2019nin faizi sabit tutmas\u0131, RBA\u2019n\u0131n ise yeniden art\u0131r\u0131ma gitmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Piyasalar Ve \u0130\u015flem Pozisyonlar\u0131<\/h3>\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n 5.000 dolar\u0131 test etti. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (basit hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131) 4.955 dolar civar\u0131nda, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ise 4.573 dolar \u00e7evresinde bulunuyor. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat momentumunu \u00f6l\u00e7er) 47\u2019ye yak\u0131n seyrederken, MACD (hareketli ortalama yak\u0131nsama\/\u0131raksama; trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 5.200 dolar civar\u0131nda.\n\nWTI petroldeki %37\u2019lik s\u0131\u00e7rama belirsizli\u011fin ana kayna\u011f\u0131. Tarihte 1990 K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde iki kat\u0131ndan fazla artmas\u0131, arz aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n (piyasaya petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda sorun) ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nPiyasa, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimlerini sert bi\u00e7imde fiyatlamadan \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. SOFR vadeli i\u015flemleri (ABD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli faiz beklentisini g\u00f6steren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) art\u0131k y\u0131l sonu faizinin %4,0\u2019a yak\u0131n olmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu, ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re belirgin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f.\n\nAlt\u0131n, jeopolitik \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi ile daha y\u00fcksek faiz beklentilerinin bask\u0131s\u0131 aras\u0131nda kalarak 5.000 dolar seviyesine yak\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Alt\u0131n\u0131n kendi oynakl\u0131k endeksi (fiyat dalgalanma beklentisi) \u00fc\u00e7 haftada %40 artt\u0131.\n\nMerkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki belirgin politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 da bu hafta \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faizi yeniden art\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenirken, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politikay\u0131 sabit tutmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de: Alt\u0131n, dolar ve tahvil faizleri gev\u015feyince 5.000 dolar \u00e7evresinde yatay. Petrol \u015foku enflasyon kayg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131, Fed indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Merkez bankalar\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30461"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30461\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}