{"id":30448,"date":"2026-03-16T21:03:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T21:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-kanada-enflasyonundaki-ilimli-seyir-ve-zayiflayan-abd-dolarinin-odagi-abd-iran-catismasina-iliskin-endiselere-kaydirmasiyla-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T21:03:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T21:03:46","slug":"usd-cad-kanada-enflasyonundaki-ilimli-seyir-ve-zayiflayan-abd-dolarinin-odagi-abd-iran-catismasina-iliskin-endiselere-kaydirmasiyla-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-cad-kanada-enflasyonundaki-ilimli-seyir-ve-zayiflayan-abd-dolarinin-odagi-abd-iran-catismasina-iliskin-endiselere-kaydirmasiyla-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, Kanada enflasyonundaki \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyir ve zay\u0131flayan ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015felere kayd\u0131rmas\u0131yla geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, pazartesi 1,3659 civar\u0131nda gerileyerek son \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnde iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine ta\u015f\u0131yan y\u00fckseli\u015fini sonland\u0131rd\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY\u2014dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) 100 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 100,54 seviyesindeydi.\n\nKanada\u2019da man\u015fet T\u00dcFE (CPI\u2014T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi, t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki genel de\u011fi\u015fim) \u015fubatta ayl\u0131k %0,5 artt\u0131; beklenti %0,6\u2019yd\u0131. Ocakta %0,0\u2019d\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE %2,3\u2019ten %1,8\u2019e geriledi; %1,9 tahmininin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.\n\nBoC \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (core CPI\u2014enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ayl\u0131k %0,4 artarak ocaktaki %0,2\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek oran %2,6\u2019dan %2,3\u2019e indi.\n\n<h3>Kanada Enflasyon G\u00fcncellemesi<\/h3>\n\nOdak \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) faiz karar\u0131nda. Politika faizinin (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n gecelik faiz hedefi) %2,25\u2019te kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Reuters\u2019in 13 Mart tarihli anketine g\u00f6re 33 ekonomistin 25\u2019i faizlerin en az 2026\u2019ya kadar de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ba\u011fl\u0131 petrol arz\u0131 riskleri fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 itti; bu durum Kanada\u2019da enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyebilir. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (Fed) izliyor. Fed\u2019in de \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faizleri %3,25\u2013%3,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131, g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f tahminleri ve \u201cdot plot\u201du (Fed yetkililerinin ileride faizlerin nerede olabilece\u011fine dair noktasal beklenti grafi\u011fi) a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n<h3>Piyasalar \u0130\u00e7in Strateji G\u00fcncellemesi<\/h3>\n\nEnflasyon dinami\u011fi ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fti. Statistics Canada\u2019n\u0131n (Kanada istatistik kurumu) \u015eubat 2026 raporuna g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE art\u0131k %2,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi ve BoC\u2019nin hedef band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst taraf\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 seyrediyor. Bu fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131, BoC\u2019nin gev\u015femeyi (faiz indirimini) de\u011ferlendirmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\n\u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n bozulaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesi de zay\u0131flad\u0131. 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki zay\u0131f istihdam verilerinin yerini daha diren\u00e7li bir tablo ald\u0131; Kanada ge\u00e7en ay 40 binin \u00fczerinde istihdam ekleyerek beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131. Bu, i\u00e7 ekonominin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha sa\u011flam bir zemine sahip oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nPetrol piyasas\u0131ndaki jeopolitik risk primi (sava\u015f\/gerilim nedeniyle fiyatlara eklenen risk pay\u0131) azald\u0131. ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz \u00fczerinden arz kesintileri art\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131n ana belirleyicisi de\u011fil; WTI ham petrol\u00fc (ABD referans ham petrol\u00fc) 80 dolar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerinde dengelendi. Bu da Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f kaynakl\u0131 destekten ziyade kendi temellerine (enflasyon, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, istihdam) daha \u00e7ok ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\nFed\u2019in %3,25\u2013%3,50 faizi ile BoC\u2019nin %2,25 faizi aras\u0131ndaki geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131 (interest rate differential\u2014iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) Kanada dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in bask\u0131 unsuru olmaya devam ediyor. Ancak Kanada\u2019da enflasyon ve istihdam\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle anlat\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Piyasan\u0131n bu y\u0131l BoC faiz indirimi ihtimalini (2025\u2019te bask\u0131n temayd\u0131) giderek fiyatlamadan \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD\u2019de yukar\u0131 hareketin s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyon al\u0131nabilir. Paritenin 1,36 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olamamas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor; Kanada\u2019daki iyile\u015fen temeller de bunu destekliyor. USD\/CAD\u2019de \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak (mevcut fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131, de\u011fersiz konumdaki call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u2014fiyat yatay kal\u0131rsa prim geliri hedefleyen strateji) bant i\u00e7i hareketten yararlanmak i\u00e7in daha temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD 1,3659\u2019a \u00e7ekildi; Kanada enflasyonu s\u00fcrpriz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131, \u00e7ekirdek h\u00e2l\u00e2 canl\u0131. G\u00f6zler BoC faizinde. Petrol riski azald\u0131, fark Fed lehine. 1,36 diren\u00e7; y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30448","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30448","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30448\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}