{"id":30438,"date":"2026-03-16T19:02:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T19:02:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-endeks-vadeli-islemleri-new-york-seansi-oncesi-toparlandi-dow-ve-sp-yukselise-dondu-nasdaq-geride-kaldi-vix-2638e-yoneldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T19:02:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T19:02:58","slug":"abd-endeks-vadeli-islemleri-new-york-seansi-oncesi-toparlandi-dow-ve-sp-yukselise-dondu-nasdaq-geride-kaldi-vix-2638e-yoneldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-endeks-vadeli-islemleri-new-york-seansi-oncesi-toparlandi-dow-ve-sp-yukselise-dondu-nasdaq-geride-kaldi-vix-2638e-yoneldi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD endeks vadeli i\u015flemleri New York seans\u0131 \u00f6ncesi toparland\u0131; Dow ve S&#038;P y\u00fckseli\u015fe d\u00f6nd\u00fc, Nasdaq geride kald\u0131, VIX 26,38\u2019e y\u00f6neldi"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD endeks vadeli i\u015flemleri, Asya ve Londra\u2019daki g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilk y\u00fckseli\u015flerinin ard\u0131ndan dengelendi. Dow ve S&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri yeniden \u201cmerkez pivot\u201d (g\u00fcn\u00fcn denge\/ana referans seviyesi) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Nasdaq vadeli i\u015flemleri ise pivotun alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; bu nedenle toparlanma daha zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\nNew York a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131na giderken odak, fiyat\u0131n \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131p kalamayaca\u011f\u0131 ya da yeniden \u201cde\u011fer alan\u0131\u201dna (piyasan\u0131n en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve fiyat\u0131n dengelendi\u011fi bant) d\u00f6n\u00fcp d\u00f6nmeyece\u011fi. VIX, 26.38\u2019deki merkez pivotuna yak\u0131n. Bu y\u00fczden k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc, hisselerin ne kadar devam edebilece\u011fini belirleyebilir.\n\n<h3>\u00d6nemli Endeks Seviyeleri \u00d6zeti<\/h3>\nDow vadeli i\u015flemleri 46.799\u2019da. TPO POC 46.760 ve VPOC 46.792; VAH\/VAL 46.820\/46.670 band\u0131 i\u00e7inde. (TPO POC: zaman bazl\u0131 en yo\u011fun i\u015flem seviyesi. VPOC: hacim bazl\u0131 en yo\u011fun i\u015flem seviyesi. VAH\/VAL: de\u011fer alan\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst\/alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131.) Kritik seviyeler: CP 46.600, UG 46.764\u201346.866, UR 47.297, LG 46.415\u201346.301 ve LR 45.818. (UG\/LG: \u00fcst\/alt \u201cge\u00e7it\u201d bantlar\u0131; UR\/LR: \u00fcst\/alt \u201cu\u00e7\u201d hedef seviyeleri.)\n\nS&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri 6.667\u2019de. TPO POC 6.667 ve CP\/VPOC 6.627; VAH\/VAL 6.680\/6.655 band\u0131 i\u00e7inde ve Londra\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,52 yukar\u0131. Seviyeler: UG 6.659\u20136.679, UR 6.764, LG 6.597\u20136.578 ve LR 6.500.\n\nNasdaq vadeli i\u015flemleri 24.532\u2019de, Londra\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,54 yukar\u0131. TPO POC 24.500 ve VPOC 24.526; CP 24.579\u2019un alt\u0131nda, VAH\/VAL 24.550\/24.475 band\u0131 i\u00e7inde. Seviyeler: UG 24.690\u201324.759, LG 24.475\u201324.412, UR 25.051 ve LR 24.142.\n\nVIX 26.25\u2019te. CP 26.38, UG 27.80\u201328.68 ve LG 24.80\u201323.54. (VIX: S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d.)\n\nPiyasa kendini toparlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor, ancak VIX\u2019i yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. Dow ve S&#038;P 500 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, Nasdaq ise geride. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma (endekslerin farkl\u0131 y\u00f6n\/\u015fiddette hareket etmesi), piyasada kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n zay\u0131f oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bir sonraki hamle, VIX\u2019in \u00f6l\u00e7t\u00fc\u011f\u00fc risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azal\u0131p azalmamas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in ana sinyal 26.38\u2019deki VIX pivotu olacak. Oynakl\u0131k bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rsa, \u00f6zellikle zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Nasdaq-100\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 korunma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmeli; \u00f6rne\u011fin QQQ \u00fczerinden \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta i\u015flevi g\u00f6ren opsiyon) almak gibi. VIX 25\u2019in alt\u0131na iner ve 23.54 civar\u0131ndaki alt banda y\u00f6nelirse, bu savunma pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc f\u0131rsatlara bakmak i\u00e7in daha net bir sinyal olur.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015flem Y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc Belirleyen Pivot: Oynakl\u0131k<\/h3>\nBu y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n nedeni var: 2025 sonuna kadar g\u00f6r\u00fclen kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon etkisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7en haftaki istihdam verileri \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n %4,1\u2019de kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. \u015eubat 2026 T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyonun yayg\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi) %3,5 geldi ve beklentinin \u00fczerindeydi. Bu tablo ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor ve VIX\u2019in uzun d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131 olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 19,5\u2019in belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.\n\nOrtam, 2022\u2019deki dalgal\u0131 piyasalara benziyor: Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu nedeniyle her y\u00fckseli\u015f sorgulan\u0131yordu. VIX 25\u2019in \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert hareketlerin uyar\u0131 vermeden gelebilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle oynakl\u0131k belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fene kadar piyasadaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye temkinli yakla\u015fmak gerekir.\n\nDaha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Dow ve S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in, s\u0131ras\u0131yla 46.600 ve 6.627 pivotlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nemli. VIX d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flar ve bu seviyeler korunursa, kontroll\u00fc \u201cyukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc\u201d pozisyonlar (\u00f6r. call spread: al\u0131m opsiyonu kombinasyonu; maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan bir yap\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu yap\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fe kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flarken piyasa aniden d\u00f6nerse riski daha net s\u0131n\u0131rlar.\n\nNasdaq ise temel risk alan\u0131 ve olas\u0131 olumsuz senaryoda daha iyi \u201chedge\u201d (korunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon) arac\u0131. 24.579\u2019daki merkez pivotunu geri alamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, VIX\u2019te s\u0131\u00e7ramaya en a\u00e7\u0131k endeks konumunda. Oynakl\u0131k y\u00fckselir ve Nasdaq bu seviyeyi a\u015famazsa, bu \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (risk-off: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) sinyali olur ve endeks \u00fczerinde put opsiyonlar\u0131 savunma i\u00e7in daha etkili hale gelir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalar toparlan\u0131yor ama kritik e\u015fik VIX 26,38: Dow ve S&#038;P pivot \u00fcst\u00fcnde g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken Nasdaq pivot alt\u0131nda zay\u0131f. VIX 25 alt\u0131na inerse risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artar; \u00fcst\u00fcnde korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30438","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30438"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30438\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}