{"id":30435,"date":"2026-03-16T17:03:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T17:03:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/subat-ayinda-kanadanin-yillik-tufesi-tahminlerin-altinda-kalarak-18e-geriledi-aylik-enflasyon-05-artti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:03:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T17:03:57","slug":"subat-ayinda-kanadanin-yillik-tufesi-tahminlerin-altinda-kalarak-18e-geriledi-aylik-enflasyon-05-artti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/subat-ayinda-kanadanin-yillik-tufesi-tahminlerin-altinda-kalarak-18e-geriledi-aylik-enflasyon-05-artti\/","title":{"rendered":"\u015eubat ay\u0131nda Kanada\u2019n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE\u2019si tahminlerin alt\u0131nda kalarak %1,8\u2019e geriledi; ayl\u0131k enflasyon %0,5 artt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Kanada\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE, t\u00fcketicinin sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 mal ve hizmetlerin fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7er) \u015fubatta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %1,8 artt\u0131. Bu oran ocaktaki %2,3\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve %2,1\u2019lik beklentinin de gerisinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ayl\u0131k bazda fiyatlar %0,5 y\u00fckseldi.\n\nKanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019si (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemleri d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakarak enflasyonun ana e\u011filimini g\u00f6sterir) y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,3, ayl\u0131k %0,4 artt\u0131. Di\u011fer g\u00f6stergeler geriledi: Common T\u00dcFE (BoC\u2019nin ortak e\u011filim \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) %2,4\u2019e (\u00f6nceki %2,7), Trimmed T\u00dcFE (u\u00e7, yani a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 fiyat hareketi g\u00f6steren kalemleri budayan \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) %2,3\u2019e (\u00f6nceki %2,4) ve Median T\u00dcFE (sepetin ortanca fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini izleyen \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) %2,3\u2019e (\u00f6nceki %2,5) indi.\n\nKanada \u0130statistik Kurumu, y\u0131ll\u0131k h\u0131zdaki yava\u015flamay\u0131 \u201cbaz etkisi\u201dne (ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemindeki ola\u011fan d\u0131\u015f\u0131 hareketin y\u0131ll\u0131k kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 bozmas\u0131) ba\u011flad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re \u015eubat 2025\u2019te GST\/HST vergi indiriminin (mal ve hizmet vergisi\/uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sat\u0131\u015f vergisi) \u015fubat ortas\u0131nda sona ermesiyle g\u00f6r\u00fclen tek seferlik ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, \u015eubat 2026\u2019daki 12 ayl\u0131k k\u0131yaslamadan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nT\u00dcFE verisinin 12:30 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 planlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Veri, BoC\u2019nin 18 Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde geldi; politika faizinin %2,25\u2019te sabit kalmas\u0131 bekleniyordu. Daha \u00f6nceki tahminler \u015fubat T\u00dcFE\u2019sini y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,1, \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019yi y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4 (\u00f6nceki %2,6) seviyesinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.\n\nVeri sonras\u0131 Kanada dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, USD\/CAD (ABD dolar\u0131\/Kanada dolar\u0131 paritesi) genel dolar zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla 1,3700\u2019in alt\u0131na indi. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde 1,3750, 1,3752, 1,3800, 1,3810 ve 1,3928; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde 1,3525, 1,3504 ve 1,3481 seviyeleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi, fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z ve momentumunu g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) 59 civar\u0131nda, ADX (Ortalama Y\u00f6n Endeksi, trendin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7er) 14 civar\u0131nda izlendi.\n\n\u015eubat enflasyonunun %1,8\u2019e gerilemesi, BoC i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli beklentileri belirgin bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. 2025\u2019teki vergi de\u011fi\u015fikliklerinin baz etkisi yarataca\u011f\u0131 biliniyordu; ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %2 hedefinin alt\u0131na bu kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 inmesi beklenenden sert oldu. Sonu\u00e7 olarak, gecelik endeks swap\u0131 (OIS; piyasadaki faiz beklentisini izleyen t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) piyasas\u0131 bu y\u0131l faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131r olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7erken, olas\u0131 bir faiz indiriminin zamanlamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe \u00e7ekti.\n\nUSD\/CAD\u2019nin 1,3700 seviyesinin alt\u0131na gerilemesiyle, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131ktan (volatilite; fiyatlar\u0131n dalgalanma derecesi) faydalanan stratejiler g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Bu veri s\u00fcrprizi art\u0131k geride kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, a\u00e7\u0131klama \u00f6ncesinde %7,5\u2019in \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rayan bir ayl\u0131k USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n ima edilen volatilitesi (piyasan\u0131n gelecekte bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ebilir. Bu durum, paritenin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck yeni bir bantta yatay seyredece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in \u201cstrangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201dn\u0131 (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte satarak prim gelirine oynayan strateji) daha cazip hale getirebilir.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon g\u00f6stergelerinin, gerilese de %2,3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 BoC\u2019yi temkinli tutacakt\u0131r. Buna, son \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Anketi\u2019nin i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,2\u2019ye hafif y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermesi de eklenince, ekonominin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak sert bi\u00e7imde bozulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir tablo olu\u015fuyor. Bu da Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimi konusunda acele etmeyip daha fazla veri bekleyece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Kanada dolar\u0131 aleyhine agresif pozisyonlar riskli olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz enflasyon freni! Kanada T\u00dcFE \u015fubatta %1,8\u2019e inerek beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131; \u00e7ekirdek %2,3\u2019te. BoC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi faiz indirimi beklentisi \u00f6ne \u00e7ekildi, CAD g\u00fc\u00e7lendi, USD\/CAD 1,3700 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30435\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}