{"id":30429,"date":"2026-03-16T16:03:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T16:03:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/bessent-cnbcye-washington-iran-catismasinin-suresinin-petrol-fiyatlarini-ve-kuresel-enerji-arzini-sekillendirecegini-dusunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T16:03:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T16:03:01","slug":"bessent-cnbcye-washington-iran-catismasinin-suresinin-petrol-fiyatlarini-ve-kuresel-enerji-arzini-sekillendirecegini-dusunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/bessent-cnbcye-washington-iran-catismasinin-suresinin-petrol-fiyatlarini-ve-kuresel-enerji-arzini-sekillendirecegini-dusunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Bessent CNBC\u2019ye: Washington, \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcresinin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 \u015fekillendirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 da kapsayan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n s\u00fcresinin ABD\u2019nin petrol fiyat\u0131 bask\u0131lar\u0131na nas\u0131l yan\u0131t verece\u011fini belirleyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bessent, fiyatlar\u0131 dengelemeye y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n ne kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.\n\nBessent, petrol arz\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 10-14 milyon varil aras\u0131nda tahmin edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bessent\u2019e g\u00f6re petrol\u00fcn 150 dolara y\u00fckselmesi halinde Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin daha fazla gelir elde edecek.\n\n<h3>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n S\u00fcresi Piyasa Tepkisini Belirliyor<\/h3>\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fan Bessent, ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in gemilerinin b\u00f6lgeden ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na inand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca \u201c301\u201d s\u00fcrecinin \u201cba\u015far\u0131yla tamamlanmas\u0131n\u0131n\u201d \u201c\u00e7ok muhtemel\u201d oldu\u011funu ifade etti. (\u201c301\u201d, ABD\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticarette haks\u0131z uygulama g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ba\u015fvurabildi\u011fi, vergi\/ek tarife gibi \u00f6nlemlere zemin haz\u0131rlayan bir ticaret soru\u015fturmas\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m mekanizmas\u0131d\u0131r.)\n\nBessent, ABD\u2019nin petrol piyasalar\u0131na m\u00fcdahale etmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. A\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 CNBC\u2019ye verdi\u011fi r\u00f6portajda yapt\u0131.\n\nBu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n s\u00fcresi, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan izlenmesi gereken ana de\u011fi\u015fken ve ciddi belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. 10-14 milyon varillik bir arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z; bu, k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck bir eksik arz anlam\u0131na geliyor. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in, BAE gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00fcreticinin toplam \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 milyon varil seviyesinde.\n\nBu d\u00fczeyde jeopolitik riskle birlikte, en yak\u0131n vadeli (front-month) ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, piyasan\u0131n gelecekteki fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131na dair beklentisini yans\u0131tan oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 60 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; bu, 2022 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki piyasa sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131ndan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen bir seviye. Bu tablo, uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (long-dated call options: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren, vadesi daha uzun opsiyonlar) alarak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete maruz kalman\u0131n (upside exposure: fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir strateji oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, b\u00f6lgeden her g\u00fcn gelen haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor.\n\n<h3>Fiyatlarda Geri D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f \u0130\u00e7in Riskler ve Tetikleyiciler<\/h3>\n\u00c7in gemilerinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haber, fiziksel piyasada (physical market: ger\u00e7ek teslimatla yap\u0131lan petrol ticareti) ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u015fimdiden t\u0131kanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durum, vadeli i\u015flem piyasas\u0131nda (futures market) belirgin bir \u201cbackwardation\u201d yarat\u0131yor: yak\u0131n vadeli teslimat fiyat\u0131, birka\u00e7 ay sonraki teslimat fiyat\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek oluyor. (Backwardation: arz s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u201chemen teslim\u201d fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ileri vadelere g\u00f6re daha pahal\u0131 hale gelmesi.) 2025\u2019te K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki ilk deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 aksakl\u0131klar\u0131nda da benzer, ancak daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir fiyat fark\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nTemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (fundamentals: arz-talep dengesi, stoklar ve \u00fcretim gibi unsurlar) fiyatlar\u0131n 150 dolara kadar y\u00fckselebilece\u011fine i\u015faret etse de, uzun pozisyonlar (long positions: fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle al\u0131nan pozisyon) i\u00e7in iki ana risk bulunuyor. Stratejik petrol rezervinden (strategic petroleum reserve: devletin acil durumlar ve piyasa dengesini desteklemek i\u00e7in tuttu\u011fu petrol sto\u011fu) sat\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lmas\u0131 veya ba\u015fka bir kamu m\u00fcdahalesi, hen\u00fcz devreye girmemi\u015f olsa da fiyatlarda ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yaratabilir. Ayr\u0131ca \u201c301\u2019in ba\u015far\u0131yla tamamlanaca\u011f\u0131na\u201d dair herhangi bir haber, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesine yol a\u00e7abilir ve y\u00fcksek kald\u0131ra\u00e7la (over-leveraged: bor\u00e7\/teminatla a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f pozisyon) y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in sert bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tetikleyebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrolde kritik e\u015fik: sava\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcresi! Bessent, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 da kapsayan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzamas\u0131n\u0131n 10-14 milyon varillik arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcp fiyat\u0131 150 dolara ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fini, m\u00fcdahalenin s\u00fcreye ba\u011fl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30429","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30429"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30429\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30429"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30429"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30429"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}