{"id":30421,"date":"2026-03-16T14:02:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T14:02:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/societe-generale-ekonomistleri-eur-gbpnin-200-gunluk-ortalamanin-altina-indigini-08610daki-subat-dip-seviyesini-test-ettigini-ve-daha-fazla-dusus-riski-tasidigini-belirtiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T14:02:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T14:02:55","slug":"societe-generale-ekonomistleri-eur-gbpnin-200-gunluk-ortalamanin-altina-indigini-08610daki-subat-dip-seviyesini-test-ettigini-ve-daha-fazla-dusus-riski-tasidigini-belirtiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/societe-generale-ekonomistleri-eur-gbpnin-200-gunluk-ortalamanin-altina-indigini-08610daki-subat-dip-seviyesini-test-ettigini-ve-daha-fazla-dusus-riski-tasidigini-belirtiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Societe Generale ekonomistleri, EUR\/GBP\u2019nin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na indi\u011fini, 0,8610\u2019daki \u015eubat dip seviyesini test etti\u011fini ve daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riski ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/GBP, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (son 200 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren uzun vadeli e\u011filim g\u00f6stergesi) alt\u0131na indi; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama \u015fu anda 0,8690 seviyesinde. Parite, \u015eubat dibine yak\u0131n 0,8610 seviyesini test ediyor; bu b\u00f6lge k\u0131sa vadede destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte fiyat\u0131n tutunabilece\u011fi seviye) g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rebilir.\n\nEUR\/GBP 0,8690\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine yeniden \u00e7\u0131kamazsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrebilir. 0,8610\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde inmesi), g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck zirve ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diplerden olu\u015fan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini teyit eder.\n\n<h3>\u00d6nemli A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6n Seviyeler<\/h3>\nA\u015fa\u011f\u0131da izlenecek di\u011fer seviyeler aras\u0131nda, d\u00fc\u015fen kanal\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n iki paralel \u00e7izgi aras\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etti\u011fi teknik yap\u0131) alt band\u0131 olan 0,8580 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bir di\u011fer hedef seviye ise 0,8535 civar\u0131nda.\n\nEuro, sterlin, Bund ve Gilt tahvillerinin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m (sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u00e7ok h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadede tepki al\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalinin artmas\u0131) b\u00f6lgesinde ya da bu b\u00f6lgeye yak\u0131n oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Notta, bu varl\u0131klar\u0131n tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi yapmas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu da ifade ediliyor.\n\nEUR\/GBP \u00e7apraz\u0131 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve \u015fimdi kritik 0,8610 deste\u011fini test ediyor. Bu teknik zay\u0131fl\u0131k, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin uzamas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle, ilave d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik pozisyon almak uygun bir strateji olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 0,8580 hatta 0,8535 seviyelerine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. 0,8610 deste\u011fi k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa bu seviyeler bir sonraki makul hedefler olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar.\n\n<h3>Temel G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nBu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosu, temel etkenlerle de destekleniyor: 2026 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki veriler, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyonun hedefin \u00fczerinde ve %2,8\u2019de kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonunun ise %2,1\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faizleri Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (ECB) daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. BoE ile ECB aras\u0131ndaki 1 puanl\u0131k faiz fark\u0131, sterlini desteklemeye devam ediyor.\n\n\u00d6te yandan parite teknik olarak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131mda oldu\u011fundan k\u0131sa vadeli bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Daha temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131m, 0,8650-0,8690 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine (y\u00fckseli\u015fte fiyat\u0131n zorlanabilece\u011fi alan) do\u011fru olas\u0131 toparlanmalar\u0131, daha iyi seviyelerden yeni d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak kullanmak olabilir. B\u00f6ylece fiyat d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra pe\u015finden gitmek yerine, y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinde sat\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olur.\n\nGe\u00e7mi\u015fe bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2025\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: Parite 0,8700 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olamam\u0131\u015f, her ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z denemenin ard\u0131ndan h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler gelmi\u015fti. Bu, bir s\u00fcredir devam eden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmi\u015fti. S\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nem, \u0130ngiltere\u2019den g\u00f6rece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik sinyaller geldi\u011finde piyasan\u0131n euroyu sterlin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda satmaya istekli oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/GBP 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131; g\u00f6zler kritik 0,8610 deste\u011finde. 0,8690 a\u015f\u0131lmazsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f derinle\u015febilir; 0,8580-0,8535 hedefte. BoE-ECB faiz fark\u0131 sterlini destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30421"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30421\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}