{"id":30399,"date":"2026-03-16T10:09:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:09:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/irandaki-savasin-cozume-kavusacagina-dair-artan-umutlarla-eur-jpy-paritesi-iki-gunluk-kaybin-ardindan-18260-civarina-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T10:09:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:09:58","slug":"irandaki-savasin-cozume-kavusacagina-dair-artan-umutlarla-eur-jpy-paritesi-iki-gunluk-kaybin-ardindan-18260-civarina-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/irandaki-savasin-cozume-kavusacagina-dair-artan-umutlarla-eur-jpy-paritesi-iki-gunluk-kaybin-ardindan-18260-civarina-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015faca\u011f\u0131na dair artan umutlarla EUR\/JPY paritesi iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck kayb\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 182,60 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/JPY, iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseldi ve Pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde 182,60 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Euro\u2019nun, ABD-\u0130srail ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u201c\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde\u201d sona erebilece\u011fine dair bir haberle g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle parite 182,50\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nHaberde, bunun petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n (piyasaya gelen petrol miktar\u0131n\u0131n) toparlanmas\u0131na ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gev\u015femesine olanak sa\u011flayabilece\u011fi belirtildi. Buna ra\u011fmen Euro, y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesini (ihracat ve ithalat fark\u0131) bozabilmesi nedeniyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Faiz Beklentileri<\/h3>\nPara piyasalar\u0131 (faiz beklentilerinin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 piyasa), bu y\u0131l Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (ECB) iki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 (politika faizi y\u00fckseli\u015fi) beklentisini fiyatl\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en ay ise politika ad\u0131m\u0131 beklenmiyordu.\n\nPazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Fransa Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Emmanuel Macron, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan seyr\u00fcsefer serbestisinin (gemilerin g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015fi) en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede yeniden sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Macron ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019na, L\u00fcbnan ve Irak dahil b\u00f6lgede \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.\n\nDikkatler ECB\u2019nin bir sonraki para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131na (faiz ve di\u011fer kararlar\u0131n al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131) \u00e7evrildi. ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde\u2019\u0131n, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n etkisiyle olu\u015fan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131na (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f) bankan\u0131n nas\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fini anlatmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\nParite, Japon Yeni\u2019nin olas\u0131 d\u00f6viz m\u00fcdahalesi (kur \u00fczerinde etki yaratmak i\u00e7in resmi al\u0131m-sat\u0131m) beklentileriyle destek bulmas\u0131 nedeniyle de diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilir. Maliye Bakan\u0131 Satsuki Katayama, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin hareketleri yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fini ve gerekirse g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ad\u0131mlar atmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>2025-2026 Dalgalanmas\u0131ndan Dersler<\/h3>\n2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda EUR\/JPY\u2019nin 182,50\u2019yi a\u015fmas\u0131yla olu\u015fan k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli iyimserlik hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Bu hareket, \u0130ran\u2019la \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bitece\u011fi ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn Euro\u2019yu destekleyece\u011fi beklentisine dayan\u0131yordu. Ancak geriye d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, WTI ham petrol\u00fcn (ABD tipi ham petrol fiyat g\u00f6stergesi) o k\u0131\u015f varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131yla bu beklenti bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve parite Ocak 2026\u2019ya gelmeden 175,00\u2019in alt\u0131na indi.\n\nPiyasan\u0131n 2025 sonlar\u0131nda ECB\u2019den iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 do\u011fruydu; ancak bu habere dayanarak al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) alanlar ters tarafta kald\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, kal\u0131c\u0131 enerji enflasyonuna tepkiydi; bu da ekonomiye zarar vererek y\u00fcksek faizin para birimine verdi\u011fi deste\u011fi g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakt\u0131. Eurostat verileri, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin 2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda teknik resesyona (iki \u00e7eyrek \u00fcst \u00fcste ekonomik daralma) girdi\u011fini do\u011frulad\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetlerinin olumsuz etkisini g\u00f6sterdi.\n\nJapon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahale uyar\u0131lar\u0131 da g\u00f6stermelik de\u011fildi; o d\u00f6nemde EUR\/JPY\u2019de uzun pozisyon (y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131nan pozisyon) ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in ciddi risk olu\u015fturdu. Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019te Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kararl\u0131 ad\u0131m\u0131yla yen h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kazand\u0131 ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck oynakl\u0131k (fiyat\u0131n sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131) 300 pipin (kurda standart k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu durum, basit bir y\u00f6n tahmini yerine, bu t\u00fcr dalgalanmadan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen uzun vadeli opsiyonlar\u0131n\u2014\u00f6rne\u011fin straddle\u2019\u0131n (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten yararlanma)\u2014daha temkinli bir strateji olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00f6zler ECB\u2019de: EUR\/JPY iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131 182,60\u2019a toparland\u0131. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n haftalar i\u00e7inde bitebilece\u011fi haberi euroyu destekledi; petrol riski, iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 ve olas\u0131 yen m\u00fcdahalesi bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30399","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30399"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30399\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}