{"id":30394,"date":"2026-03-16T10:05:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:05:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/trump-nato-muttefiklerini-hurmuz-bogazinin-yeniden-acilmasina-destek-vermemeleri-halinde-natonun-geleceginin-tehlikeye-girecegi-konusunda-uyardi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T10:05:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:05:52","slug":"trump-nato-muttefiklerini-hurmuz-bogazinin-yeniden-acilmasina-destek-vermemeleri-halinde-natonun-geleceginin-tehlikeye-girecegi-konusunda-uyardi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/trump-nato-muttefiklerini-hurmuz-bogazinin-yeniden-acilmasina-destek-vermemeleri-halinde-natonun-geleceginin-tehlikeye-girecegi-konusunda-uyardi\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump, NATO m\u00fcttefiklerini H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na destek vermemeleri halinde NATO\u2019nun gelece\u011finin tehlikeye girece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Financial Times\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ABD\u2019li m\u00fcttefikler H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k tutulmas\u0131na yard\u0131m etmezse NATO\u2019nun \u201c\u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc\u201d bir gelecekle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Trump, pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k yedi \u00fclkeden bo\u011faz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutmak i\u00e7in sava\u015f gemisi g\u00f6ndermelerini istedi\u011fini belirtti.\n\nTrump, bu taleplerin \u015fu ana kadar herhangi bir taahh\u00fctle sonu\u00e7lanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Haberde, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fi ifade edildi.\n\n

Petrol Piyasas\u0131n\u0131n Tepkisi Ve Dalgalanma<\/h3>\nAvustralya Ula\u015ft\u0131rma Bakan\u0131 Catherine King, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABC\u2019ye Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n gemi g\u00f6ndermeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. King, Avustralya\u2019dan katk\u0131 istenmedi\u011fini belirtti.\n\nPiyasa fiyatlar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 hareket etti; yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda Bat\u0131 Teksas t\u00fcr\u00fc ham petrol (WTI) %0,08 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 97,35 dolard\u0131.\n\nM\u00fcttefiklerin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fcvenceye alma konusunda taahh\u00fct vermemesi, petrol piyasas\u0131nda dalgalanman\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131) s\u00fcrmesine ya da artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. CBOE Ham Petrol Dalgalanma Endeksi (OVX), son iki haftad\u0131r 55 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde seyrediyor. OVX, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, yani piyasadaki belirsizli\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7en bir g\u00f6stergedir. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyon s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6denen fiyat) y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle USO gibi petrol borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131nda (ETF: borsada hisse gibi al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131lan fon) straddle gibi stratejiler ilgi \u00e7ekebilir. Straddle, ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m (call) hem sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu alarak fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6nde giderse gitsin sert hareketten yararlanmay\u0131 hedefleyen bir y\u00f6ntemdir.\n\nAna risk, arz\u0131n daha da daralmas\u0131d\u0131r; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fcnya petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte biri H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7iyor. Son denizcilik verileri, b\u00f6lgede tanker sigorta primlerinin (sigorta maliyeti) son bir ayda \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve trafi\u011fin yakla\u015f\u0131k %15 azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Uzun s\u00fcreli bir aksamada WTI fiyat\u0131 110-120 dolar band\u0131na y\u00f6nelebilir. Y\u00fckseli\u015f bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (uzun vade: s\u00f6zle\u015fmenin biti\u015f tarihinin daha ileri olmas\u0131) de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n\n

Tarihi Benzerlik Ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\n2022\u2019de Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgalinin ilk d\u00f6neminde Brent petrol\u00fcn k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine varil ba\u015f\u0131na 130 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcp sonra geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fi fiyat hareketi hat\u0131rlanmal\u0131. NATO\u2019nun ortak bir deniz g\u00fcc\u00fc tepkisinin olu\u015fmamas\u0131, k\u00fcresel tedarik zinciri (ham madde ve \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin \u00fcretimden t\u00fcketiciye ula\u015fma a\u011f\u0131) i\u00e7in benzer, hatta daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir tablo yarat\u0131yor. Bu \u00f6rnek, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma b\u00fcy\u00fcrse 97,35 dolar seviyesinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc alan\u0131 olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nDo\u011frudan enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, daha geni\u015f ekonomik risklere kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: olas\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan i\u015flem) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 da \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131, ula\u015f\u0131m ve sanayi sekt\u00f6rlerini zorlar. Fonlar\u0131n havayolu ve deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hisselerinde k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (short: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ula\u015f\u0131m ETF\u2019lerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak, uzun s\u00fcre pahal\u0131 yak\u0131ta kar\u015f\u0131 korunma arac\u0131 olabilir.\n\nJeopolitik gerilim, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d i\u015flemlerini de destekliyor. Alt\u0131na para giri\u015fi artarken vadeli alt\u0131n s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri (futures: ileri tarihli al\u0131m-sat\u0131m anla\u015fmas\u0131) son iki haftada %4 y\u00fckselerek ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.450 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Lockheed Martin ve RTX gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck savunma \u015firketlerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu hacmi artt\u0131; piyasa, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 nas\u0131l sonu\u00e7lan\u0131rsa sonu\u00e7lans\u0131n askeri harcamalar\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kritik uyar\u0131: Trump, m\u00fcttefikler H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k tutmazsa NATO\u2019nun \u201c\u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc\u201d gelece\u011fi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Taahh\u00fct yok, Avustralya gemi g\u00f6ndermiyor. OVX y\u00fcksek; arz riskiyle WTI 110-120$ konu\u015fuluyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30394\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}