{"id":30384,"date":"2026-03-16T06:02:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:02:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/cin-ulusal-istatistik-burosu-nbs-perakende-satislarin-28-sanayi-uretiminin-ise-63-arttigini-ve-beklentileri-belirgin-sekilde-astigini-bildirdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T06:02:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:02:52","slug":"cin-ulusal-istatistik-burosu-nbs-perakende-satislarin-28-sanayi-uretiminin-ise-63-arttigini-ve-beklentileri-belirgin-sekilde-astigini-bildirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/cin-ulusal-istatistik-burosu-nbs-perakende-satislarin-28-sanayi-uretiminin-ise-63-arttigini-ve-beklentileri-belirgin-sekilde-astigini-bildirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu (NBS), perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n %2,8, sanayi \u00fcretiminin ise %6,3 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve beklentileri belirgin \u015fekilde a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi"},"content":{"rendered":"\u00c7in\u2019in Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ocak-\u015fubat d\u00f6neminde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,8 artt\u0131. Bu oran, %2,5\u2019lik beklentinin \u00fczerinde ve aral\u0131ktaki %0,9 seviyesinin \u00fcst\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Veriler, Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu taraf\u0131ndan pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mland\u0131.\n\nSanayi \u00dcretimi (fabrika ve madenlerdeki toplam \u00fcretim) ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k %6,3 y\u00fckseldi. Bu sonu\u00e7 %5,1\u2019lik beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131; \u00f6nceki veri %5,2 idi. Sabit Sermaye Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 (altyap\u0131, fabrika, makine gibi uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar) ocak-\u015fubat d\u00f6neminde y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana y\u0131ll\u0131k %1,8 artt\u0131. B\u00f6ylece %-0,4\u2019l\u00fck beklentinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, aral\u0131ktaki %-3,8\u2019e g\u00f6re toparland\u0131.\n\n<h3>\u00c7in Verileri Beklentileri A\u015ft\u0131<\/h3>\nD\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda veri setinin Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda AUD\/USD paritesi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,44 art\u0131\u015fla 0,7011 seviyesindeydi.\n\n2025\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00c7in verilerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, sanayi \u00fcretimi %6,3 artarak beklentileri a\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde perakende sat\u0131\u015flar da y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,8 art\u0131\u015fla t\u00fcketimde olas\u0131 bir canlanmaya i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. Ancak bu olumlu s\u00fcrprize ra\u011fmen Avustralya dolar\u0131 neredeyse tepki vermemi\u015fti.\n\nBu durum, \u00c7in verileri ile \u201cAussie\u201d (Avustralya dolar\u0131) aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. K\u00fcresel merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131na (faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131na) dair endi\u015feler veya Avustralya\u2019daki enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) gibi i\u00e7 fakt\u00f6rler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kararlar\u0131nda daha belirleyici hale gelmi\u015fti. Bu da AUD\u2019nin art\u0131k \u00c7in ekonomisine do\u011frudan \u201cg\u00f6sterge\u201d gibi al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131lamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.\n\nMart 2026 itibar\u0131yla bu ders daha da \u00f6nemli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00c7in\u2019deki toparlanma dengesiz ilerliyor. Son imalat PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcme, alt\u0131 daralma) verileri 50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kalmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Bu tablo, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan farkl\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7er) k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce deflasyon (genel fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi) b\u00f6lgesinden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu da i\u00e7 talebin (yurt i\u00e7i t\u00fcketim ve harcamalar\u0131n) h\u00e2l\u00e2 k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nAvustralya dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in art\u0131k demir cevheri fiyat\u0131 daha bask\u0131n bir belirleyici. Bir y\u0131ldan uzun s\u00fcre \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirvelerin ard\u0131ndan demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131, \u00c7in emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne (in\u015faat ve konut) ili\u015fkin talep kayg\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u00e7elik \u00fcretimindeki k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131lar nedeniyle ton ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi. Bu geli\u015fme, sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fcksek gelse bile AUD \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Demir Cevheri Aussie\u2019yi S\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor<\/h3>\nBu nedenle, sadece yakla\u015fan \u00c7in veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na dayanarak AUD\/USD call opsiyonlar\u0131 (kur y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon) almak riskli olabilir. 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen zay\u0131f tepkinin, \u00f6zellikle emtia (ham madde) alg\u0131s\u0131 olumsuzken, tekrarlanmas\u0131 muhtemel. \u00c7in verilerindeki olumlu s\u00fcrpriz bile kuru yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maya yetmeyebilir.\n\nBunun yerine yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) kararlar\u0131 veya ABD enflasyon verileri etraf\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131ktan (fiyat hareketlerinin artmas\u0131) yararlanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. AUD\u2019nin y\u00f6n\u00fcnde, \u00c7in\u2019den gelen man\u015fet verilerden \u00e7ok bu i\u00e7 ve k\u00fcresel etkenler daha belirleyici hale geldi. Piyasa, sadece \u00fcretim de\u011fil, emtia t\u00fcketimine dair daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyaller ar\u0131yor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c7in\u2019de perakende sat\u0131\u015f ve sanayi \u00fcretimi beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131m toparland\u0131. Ancak AUD\/USD neredeyse tepki vermedi: \u00c7in-Aussie ba\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Demir cevheri, RBA ve ABD enflasyonu art\u0131k daha belirleyici.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30384"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30384\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}