{"id":30367,"date":"2026-03-16T01:02:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T01:02:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asyada-erken-islemlerde-altin-5-000-dolarin-altina-geriledi-petrolde-enflasyon-endiseleri-ve-iran-catismasina-iliskin-gelismeler-izleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T01:02:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T01:02:45","slug":"asyada-erken-islemlerde-altin-5-000-dolarin-altina-geriledi-petrolde-enflasyon-endiseleri-ve-iran-catismasina-iliskin-gelismeler-izleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asyada-erken-islemlerde-altin-5-000-dolarin-altina-geriledi-petrolde-enflasyon-endiseleri-ve-iran-catismasina-iliskin-gelismeler-izleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya\u2019da erken i\u015flemlerde alt\u0131n 5.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi; petrolde enflasyon endi\u015feleri ve \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler izleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcrmesine ra\u011fmen pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.980 dolara geriledi. Piyasalar, ABD-\u0130srail ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015fta ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeleri izliyor.\n\nDonald Trump y\u00f6netimi, \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n haftalar i\u00e7inde ya da \u201cdaha erken\u201d bitebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130srail ordusu ise operasyonun en az \u00fc\u00e7 hafta daha s\u00fcrmesinin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\n

Orta Do\u011fu Gerginli\u011fine Ra\u011fmen Alt\u0131n Geriliyor<\/h3>\nHafta sonu ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131nda kritik bir merkez olan Harg Adas\u0131\u2019ndaki askeri noktalar\u0131 hedef ald\u0131. \u0130ran, ABD ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel petrol tesislerine misilleme tehdidinde bulundu.\n\nArtan gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckselterek enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimlerini geciktirece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131r.\n\nB\u00fcy\u00fck bir Orta Do\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n 4.980 dolara do\u011fru geriliyor. Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 \u015fu an, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Fed\u2019i faiz indirimlerini ertelemeye zorlamas\u0131. Bu da alt\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc faiz y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e, faiz getirisi olmayan bir varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 elde tutmak daha az cazip hale gelir.\n\nABD ve \u0130srail\u2019den gelen farkl\u0131 zamanlamalar nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sert fiyat hareketleri beklenmeli. Cboe Gold ETF Volatility Index (GVZ) 22,5\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. Bu endeks, alt\u0131n ETF\u2019lerinde beklenen fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanabilece\u011fini) \u00f6l\u00e7er. Seviyeler, 2024 sonundaki tedarik zinciri (\u00fcretim ve sevkiyat ak\u0131\u015f\u0131) sorunlar\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. Bu ortam, opsiyon stratejileri kullanan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in elveri\u015fli. \u00d6rne\u011fin \u201cstraddle\u201d, ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike) bir al\u0131m (call) ve sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu alarak, fiyat hangi y\u00f6ne giderse gitsin b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten yararlanmay\u0131 hedefleyen bir y\u00f6ntemdir.\n\n

Daha Y\u00fcksek Oynakl\u0131k \u0130\u00e7in Opsiyon Konumlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nPiyasa, haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi ihtimalini art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca %20 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; ge\u00e7en ay bu olas\u0131l\u0131k %65\u2019ti. Faiz indirimlerinin gecikece\u011fi inanc\u0131, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc (bearish) pozisyonlar\u0131 destekliyor. Petrol y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa, alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131ndaki ek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanmak i\u00e7in alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemlerine (futures: ileri tarihli standart s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) veya ilgili ETF\u2019lere (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) ba\u011fl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 petrol tesislerine misilleme tehdidi gibi do\u011frudan t\u0131rmanma riskleri izlenmeli. WTI ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (WTI: ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Daha sert bir s\u0131\u00e7rama, daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 piyasa pani\u011fini tetikleyebilir. 2022 ba\u015f\u0131nda Ukrayna i\u015fgalinin ilk d\u00f6neminde, Fed faiz art\u0131rmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken bile alt\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nBu nedenle, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma belirgin \u015fekilde k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015firse ani bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak gerekir. Ucuz, \u201c\u00e7ok uzak kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131\u201d (far out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyattan olduk\u00e7a yukar\u0131da kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131na k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir pay ay\u0131rmak, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir koruma (hedge: riski dengeleme) sa\u011flayabilir. B\u00f6ylece jeopolitik kayg\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 (fear trade: korkuyla g\u00fcvenli liman al\u0131m\u0131) yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karsa portf\u00f6y korunur.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

S\u00fcrpriz geli\u015fme: Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da tansiyon y\u00fckselirken alt\u0131n 4.980 dolara geriledi. Petrol 110$\u2019\u0131 a\u015f\u0131nca enflasyon ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi ertelemesi fiyat\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor; oynakl\u0131k GVZ 22,5\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30367\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}