{"id":30366,"date":"2026-03-16T01:01:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T01:01:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-doguda-artan-gerilimler-ortasinda-eur-usd-11430-civarinda-temkinli-seyrediyor-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-11450nin-altinda-sinirli-kaldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T01:01:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T01:01:57","slug":"orta-doguda-artan-gerilimler-ortasinda-eur-usd-11430-civarinda-temkinli-seyrediyor-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-11450nin-altinda-sinirli-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-doguda-artan-gerilimler-ortasinda-eur-usd-11430-civarinda-temkinli-seyrediyor-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-11450nin-altinda-sinirli-kaldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da artan gerilimler ortas\u0131nda EUR\/USD 1,1430 civar\u0131nda temkinli seyrediyor; g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle 1,1450\u2019nin alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD paritesi pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n ilk i\u015flemlerinde 1,1430 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 1,1450 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim y\u00fcksek seyrederken ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep artt\u0131.\n\nABD Enerji Bakan\u0131 Chris Wright, ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde\u201d sona ermesinin beklendi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130srail ordusu ise operasyonun en az \u00fc\u00e7 hafta daha s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\n<h3>Orta Do\u011fu \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Dolara Talebi Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\nABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri hafta sonu \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir petrol ihracat merkezi olan Harg Adas\u0131\u2019ndaki t\u00fcm askeri noktalar\u0131 hedef ald\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump petrol altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n vurulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylerken, \u0130ran b\u00f6lgede ABD ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 petrol tesislerine misilleme tehdidinde bulundu.\n\nFransa Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Emmanuel Macron, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda seyr\u00fcseferin (gemilerin g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015fi) en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede yeniden sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Macron ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019na L\u00fcbnan ve Irak dahil b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.\n\nPiyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 bu hafta merkez bankalar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faizleri %3,5-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) ise per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesi bekleniyor.\n\n<h3>Artan Dalgalanmada Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcn i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu tablo, belirsizlik y\u00fckselirken opsiyonlar\u0131n (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u00f6nemini g\u00f6steriyor. 2022\u2019deki Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda CBOE Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX: ABD borsas\u0131nda beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 20\u2019nin alt\u0131ndan 35\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. VIX\u2019te al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131r\u0131r) almak veya EUR\/USD gibi paritelerde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse kazand\u0131r\u0131r) almak, ani gerilim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: riski azaltma) sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d rol\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Gerilim artt\u0131k\u00e7a sermaye Avrupa gibi b\u00f6lgelerden \u00e7\u0131karak ABD dolar\u0131 cinsi varl\u0131klara kay\u0131yor ve bu da dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Bu nedenle, \u00f6zellikle beklenen volatilite (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi gelecekteki oynakl\u0131k beklentisi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckken EUR\/USD\u2019de put opsiyonu de\u011ferlendirilmesi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik risk, enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011fazdaki ge\u00e7i\u015fe benzer tehditler savurdu\u011fu Nisan 2024\u2019te Brent petrol\u00fcn bir g\u00fcnde %3-4 s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 buna \u00f6rnek. Petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu, arz kesintisi riskine pozisyon alman\u0131n do\u011frudan bir yolu olabilir.\n\nFed ve ECB kararlar\u0131, ek bir \u201colay riski\u201d (event risk: belirli bir geli\u015fmenin fiyatlarda ani hareket yaratma ihtimali) yarat\u0131yor. Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla Fed-ECB faiz fark\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015fe g\u00f6re daha geni\u015f; bu da dolar i\u00e7in temel destek anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu nedenle g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131 parite \u00fczerinde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc etki yaratabilir.\n\nMerkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 ve jeopolitik risklerin birle\u015fimi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, EUR\/USD\u2019de uzun straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem call hem put alarak, fiyat g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket ederse kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen strateji) daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Bu, para politikas\u0131 ile k\u00fcresel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskleri \u00e7ak\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek sert k\u0131r\u0131lmalara kar\u015f\u0131 portf\u00f6y\u00fc haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 tutar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: EUR\/USD 1,1430\u2019da 1,1450 alt\u0131nda. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi dolara g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Fed-ECB toplant\u0131lar\u0131 oynakl\u0131k riskini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken, put\/straddle ve petrol opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30366","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30366","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30366"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30366\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30366"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30366"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30366"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}