{"id":30363,"date":"2026-03-16T00:02:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T00:02:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-doguda-artan-gerilimlerin-ortasinda-avustralya-dolari-06990-civarinda-seyrini-korurken-yatirimcilar-abd-israil-iran-savasindaki-gelismeleri-izliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T00:02:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T00:02:46","slug":"orta-doguda-artan-gerilimlerin-ortasinda-avustralya-dolari-06990-civarinda-seyrini-korurken-yatirimcilar-abd-israil-iran-savasindaki-gelismeleri-izliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-doguda-artan-gerilimlerin-ortasinda-avustralya-dolari-06990-civarinda-seyrini-korurken-yatirimcilar-abd-israil-iran-savasindaki-gelismeleri-izliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da artan gerilimlerin ortas\u0131nda Avustralya dolar\u0131 0,6990 civar\u0131nda seyrini korurken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeleri izliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, Pazartesi erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,6990 civar\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131 olmaya devam etti.\n\nABD ve \u0130srail, \u0130ran\u2019la do\u011frudan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131na girdi. CNN\u2019e g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmek i\u00e7in Tahran\u2019la anla\u015fma yapmaya hen\u00fcz haz\u0131r olmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.\n\n\u0130srail ordusu, operasyonlar\u0131n en az \u00fc\u00e7 hafta daha s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. ABD\u2019nin cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ana petrol ihracat noktas\u0131 olan Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019ndaki (\u0130ran\u2019dan ham petrol \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli merkezi) askeri hedefleri vurmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan tansiyon y\u00fckseldi.\n\n\u0130ran, Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri\u2019ndeki hedefler ve Irak\u2019taki merkezler dahil olmak \u00fczere yak\u0131n \u00fclkelere sald\u0131r\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdi. Hizbullah, Ba\u011fdat\u2019taki ABD B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi\u2019ni hedef alan bir sald\u0131r\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nBu geli\u015fmeler Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da jeopolitik belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131. B\u00f6yle d\u00f6nemlerde ABD Dolar\u0131, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d para birimi olarak (kriz zamanlar\u0131nda talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) destek bulabilir.\n\n2025\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki do\u011frudan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m. Petrol altyap\u0131s\u0131na, \u00f6zellikle Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar enerji piyasalar\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck belirsizlik ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Bu ilk \u015fokun etkisi, bug\u00fcn de piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 ve beklentilerini) etkiliyor.\n\nBu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan enflasyon y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti. ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n ortalama de\u011fi\u015fimi) \u015eubat 2026\u2019da %3,8 geldi ve Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine ne kadar erken ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi beklentilerini zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Bu belirsizlik, piyasadaki sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131n (oynakl\u0131k) \u00f6nemli bir kayna\u011f\u0131.\n\nPetrol piyasalar\u0131 Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelecek haberlere kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6zellikle hassas. 2025 krizinde WTI ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) 130 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015ft\u0131; bu hareket 2022\u2019de Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgaline verilen piyasa tepkisini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yordu. WTI \u015fu anda 85 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerinde \u201ccall opsiyonu\u201d almak (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon), \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 gerilim art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir korunma (hedge: zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlama) yolu olabilir.\n\nD\u00f6viz yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan AUD\/USD bu etkiler aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Jeopolitik riskin s\u00fcrmesi g\u00fcvenli liman olarak USD\u2019yi desteklerken, Avustralya dolar\u0131 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmede yava\u015flamaya duyarl\u0131 kal\u0131yor. Bu nedenle AUD\/USD \u00fczerinde \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d almak (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon), piyasada ani bir \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (risk-off: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) hareketine kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan korunma sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nHisse piyasas\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, VIX (ABD hisse piyasas\u0131 beklenen oynakl\u0131k endeksi; \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d olarak bilinir) ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde 19 civar\u0131na geriledi; ancak bu seviye 2025 \u00f6ncesi tarihsel ortalamalara g\u00f6re h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek. Bu durum, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 tedirginli\u011finin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. Tekil hisse pozisyonlar\u0131nda \u201ccollar\u201d gibi opsiyon stratejileri (ayn\u0131 anda al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu kullanarak getiri ile riski s\u0131n\u0131rlama) veya VIX \u00fczerinde call opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131, olas\u0131 ani bir piyasa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da sava\u015f uzarken AUD\/USD 0,6990\u2019a t\u0131rmand\u0131; ancak risk-off dalgas\u0131 USD\u2019yi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Petrol ve enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; opsiyonlarla hedge (put, VIX call) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30363\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}