{"id":30362,"date":"2026-03-16T00:02:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T00:02:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/yetkililer-piyasalari-izleyeceklerini-taahhut-ederken-usd-jpy-dususle-acildi-ortadogudaki-catismanin-tirmanmasi-doviz-kurlarindaki-makasi-genisletti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T00:02:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T00:02:07","slug":"yetkililer-piyasalari-izleyeceklerini-taahhut-ederken-usd-jpy-dususle-acildi-ortadogudaki-catismanin-tirmanmasi-doviz-kurlarindaki-makasi-genisletti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/yetkililer-piyasalari-izleyeceklerini-taahhut-ederken-usd-jpy-dususle-acildi-ortadogudaki-catismanin-tirmanmasi-doviz-kurlarindaki-makasi-genisletti\/","title":{"rendered":"Yetkililer piyasalar\u0131 izleyeceklerini taahh\u00fct ederken USD\/JPY d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131; Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki makas\u0131 geni\u015fletti"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 bo\u015flukla (gap: fiyat\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan ba\u015flamas\u0131) a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131 ve 159,50 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu hareket, Japonya Maliye Bakan\u0131 Satsuki Katayama\u2019n\u0131n yenin sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131na ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Katayama, piyasalar\u0131 izleyeceklerini ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011fa (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert dalgalanmas\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131m atabileceklerini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nHafta sonu gelen haberlere g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ana petrol ihracat merkezi (hub: da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\/toplama noktas\u0131) olan Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019ndaki askeri hedefleri vurdu. \u0130ran ise Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri ve Irak\u2019taki hedeflere sald\u0131r\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdi. Hizbullah da Ba\u011fdat\u2019taki ABD B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi\u2019ni hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Risk ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131<\/h3>\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcrd\u00fc; iki tarafta da tekrar eden sald\u0131r\u0131lar bildirildi. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Truth Social \u00fczerinden m\u00fcttefiklere g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamaya yard\u0131m \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131. Wall Street Journal ise bir koalisyon kuruldu\u011funu, zamanlama konusunda tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yazd\u0131.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte USD\/JPY, y\u00fckselen 20, 100 ve 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019lerin (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli say\u0131da mumun ortalama fiyat\u0131; trendi daha net g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 20 periyotluk SMA 159,00 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. 14 periyotluk Momentum (momentum g\u00f6stergesi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er; 70\u2019e yakla\u015fmas\u0131 \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201da i\u015faret eder) 69 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinin hemen alt\u0131ndayd\u0131.\n\nDestek seviyeleri 159,00; ard\u0131ndan 158,50 ve 158,00 olarak verildi. Diren\u00e7 160,00 ve 160,50 b\u00f6lgesindeydi. 200 periyotluk SMA 155,80 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. 158,50 alt\u0131na ini\u015fin mevcut yap\u0131y\u0131 zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve M\u00fcdahale Riski<\/h3>\n2025\u2019te g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcze benzer bi\u00e7imde petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ani s\u0131\u00e7rama riski, t\u00fcrev (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131ktan t\u00fcreyen \u00fcr\u00fcnler; opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flemler gibi) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015fl\u0131k. Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol (WTI: ABD referans petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (futures: ileri tarihli al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) son OPEC+ toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda bir g\u00fcnde %8\u2019lik oynakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu, arz haberlerine (\u00fcretim, sevkiyat, kesinti) enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar hassas oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Herhangi bir kesinti, 2025\u2019e benzer bir tablo yarat\u0131p enflasyon beklentilerini ve yen gibi risk duyarl\u0131 para birimlerini etkileyebilir.\n\nUSD\/JPY kurunu yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; \u00f6zellikle 160,00 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken. Bu seviye 2025\u2019te Maliye Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131lar\u0131na (verbal intervention: do\u011frudan d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131 yapmadan, a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla kuru etkileme) konu olmu\u015ftu. Japonya Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2022\u2019de yen 150\u2019nin \u00fczerine zay\u0131flarken rekor 9,79 trilyon yen tutar\u0131nda d\u00f6viz m\u00fcdahalesi (currency intervention: kur hareketini etkilemek i\u00e7in piyasada do\u011frudan d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131) yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, 160 seviyesi olas\u0131 aksiyon i\u00e7in \u201csert \u00e7izgi\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu y\u00fczden, paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut kura g\u00f6re cazip olmayan; ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc fiyat hareketi gereken) JPY al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, u\u00e7 risk (tail risk: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ama y\u00fcksek etkili hareket) senaryolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 anlaml\u0131 bir korunma (hedging: riski azaltmak i\u00e7in ters pozisyonla sigortalama) y\u00f6ntemi olabilir.\n\nOpsiyon piyasas\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yen i\u00e7in ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) 2025\u2019teki gerilim d\u00f6nemindeki zirvelere g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor. Cboe\/CME FX Yen Volatilite Endeksi (JYVIX: yen opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) \u015fu s\u0131ralar 8,5 civar\u0131nda; ge\u00e7mi\u015fte m\u00fcdahale endi\u015felerinin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 12-13 seviyelerinin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda. Bu da yenin aniden ve sert g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma alman\u0131n \u015fu an g\u00f6rece daha ucuz olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nTemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (fundamental: veri ve politika gibi ana etkenlere dayal\u0131 tablo) da \u00f6nemli. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n son \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019si (core CPI: enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2,2\u2019de kald\u0131; bu oran Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hedefinin biraz \u00fczerinde. Zay\u0131f yenin de etkiledi\u011fi bu kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon, yetkililer \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n politikay\u0131 daha h\u0131zl\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmesi (normalle\u015fme: a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131ndan kademeli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f) piyasada sert bir fiyat hareketi yaratabilir ve yenin ani g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi riskini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 159,50\u2019ye gap\u2019li gerilerken Tokyo\u2019dan m\u00fcdahale sinyali geldi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz jeopoliti\u011fi petrol\u00fc z\u0131platabilir. Teknikte 159 destek, 160 k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi. Opsiyonda JYVIX d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; JPY call\u2019la korunma ucuz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30362","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30362"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30362\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30362"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30362"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30362"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}