{"id":30351,"date":"2026-03-14T05:02:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T05:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dort-dusus-seansinin-ardindan-eur-usd-11400-yakininda-kapandi-200-gunluk-smanin-altina-inerken-haftayi-dususle-tamamladi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T05:02:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T05:02:44","slug":"dort-dusus-seansinin-ardindan-eur-usd-11400-yakininda-kapandi-200-gunluk-smanin-altina-inerken-haftayi-dususle-tamamladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dort-dusus-seansinin-ardindan-eur-usd-11400-yakininda-kapandi-200-gunluk-smanin-altina-inerken-haftayi-dususle-tamamladi\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00f6rt d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f seans\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan EUR\/USD 1,1400 yak\u0131n\u0131nda kapand\u0131; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inerken haftay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Euro, haftay\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %1,74\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kay\u0131pla kapatt\u0131; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde de %0,84 geriledi. EUR\/USD, 1,1672\u2019deki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n son 200 g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) alt\u0131na indikten sonra \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnd\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor ve 1,1414 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\nHaftal\u0131k grafikte EUR\/USD 1,1450\u2019nin alt\u0131nda. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat momentumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) \u00fc\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce 50 seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkarak zay\u0131f b\u00f6lgeye ge\u00e7ti. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesine i\u015faret ediyor. Destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunabilece\u011fi seviye) 1,1400 ve 1,1300\u2019da.\n\n

Teknik Seviyeler ve Trend<\/h3>\nBu destekler k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa (fiyat\u0131n o seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 inmesi), bir sonraki ana b\u00f6lge 1,1165\u2019teki 100 haftal\u0131k basit hareketli ortalama (son 100 haftan\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; uzun vadeli trend g\u00f6stergesi). G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte en yak\u0131n destek, 1 A\u011fustos 2025\u2019te olu\u015fan sal\u0131n\u0131m dibi (swing low: k\u0131sa vadeli dip) olan 1,1391.\n\n1,1391\u2019in alt\u0131na ini\u015f, 29 May\u0131s 2025\u2019teki g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip 1,1210\u2019u g\u00fcndeme getirir. Zay\u0131fl\u0131k s\u00fcrerse izlenecek sonraki seviye 12 May\u0131s 2025 dibi 1,1065.\n\nSorunun \u00f6z\u00fc, merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131. \u015eubat 2026 ABD enflasyonu %3,2 ile y\u00fcksek seyrini korurken Fed, faizi %4,75\u2019te tutarak s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor (s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f: y\u00fcksek faizle talebi ve enflasyonu s\u0131n\u0131rlama). Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fan Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131, Ocak 2026\u2019da 25 baz puan (bp: faizin %0,01\u2019i; 25 bp = %0,25) indirim yaparak ana faizi %2,75\u2019e \u00e7ekti.\n\n

Temel Etkenler ve \u0130\u015flem Fikirleri<\/h3>\nBu faiz fark\u0131, euroya k\u0131yasla ABD dolar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 (faiz getirisi nedeniyle elde tutmay\u0131) daha cazip hale getiriyor ve parite \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Son veriler de bunu destekliyor: 2025 4. \u00e7eyrek ABD GSYH (GDP: ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck; b\u00fcy\u00fcme) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (annualized: y\u0131ll\u0131k h\u0131za \u00e7evrilmi\u015f) %2,3 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. Euro B\u00f6lgesi bile\u015fik PMI ise (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: \u015firket anketlerine dayal\u0131 faaliyet g\u00f6stergesi; 50 alt\u0131 daralma demektir) \u015eubat 2026\u2019da 48,9\u2019a gerileyerek i\u015f faaliyeti daralmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, euronun zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine dair temel gerek\u00e7e sunuyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131ktan t\u00fcreyen s\u00f6zle\u015fme, \u00f6rn. opsiyon) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in ortam, EUR\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan stratejeleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Mevcut fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc oynama y\u00f6ntemi olabilir. Alternatif olarak, paritenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckselmeyece\u011fi beklentisiyle \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fu an de\u011fersiz) al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i satmak (call spread: iki al\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte kullanarak risk\/gelir aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturan strateji) prim geliri hedefleyebilir.\n\n2026 Mart ortas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken 1,1300 ve daha kritik olan 1,1165\u2019teki 100 haftal\u0131k ortalama \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu seviyelerin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (decisive break: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m) sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euro\u2019da sert sat\u0131\u015f: EUR\/USD 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnd\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor, 1,1414\u2019te. RSI zay\u0131f; 1,1400\/1,1300 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1165 g\u00fcndemde. Fed-ECB faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30351","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30351"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30351\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30351"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30351"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30351"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}