{"id":30340,"date":"2026-03-14T02:03:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T02:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-catismasi-tirmanirken-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-sicrama-enflasyon-endiselerini-artirdi-degisen-fed-beklentileriyle-dolar-gucleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T02:03:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T02:03:39","slug":"iran-catismasi-tirmanirken-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-sicrama-enflasyon-endiselerini-artirdi-degisen-fed-beklentileriyle-dolar-gucleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-catismasi-tirmanirken-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-sicrama-enflasyon-endiselerini-artirdi-degisen-fed-beklentileriyle-dolar-gucleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 T\u0131rman\u0131rken Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131ndaki S\u0131\u00e7rama Enflasyon Endi\u015felerini Art\u0131rd\u0131; De\u011fi\u015fen Fed Beklentileriyle Dolar G\u00fc\u00e7leniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar\u0131, ABD\/\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015f\u0131n iki haftaya yakla\u015fmas\u0131yla haftay\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kapatt\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti; bu durum enflasyon riskini (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zlanma ihtimali) art\u0131rd\u0131 ve \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d para birimlerine (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 paralar) talebi destekledi.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks, 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 100,30 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), Ocak ay\u0131nda politika faizini (piyasay\u0131 y\u00f6nlendiren temel faiz) %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu; bir sonraki faiz karar\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.\n\nEUR\/USD 1,1430 civar\u0131nda seyretti; bu seviye en son A\u011fustos 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. GBP\/USD 1,3240 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu seviye en son Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nUSD\/JPY, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan 159,60 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. AUD\/USD, 0,7100\u2019den geri \u00e7ekilerek 0,7000 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nWTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 97 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; devletin rezerv sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131layamad\u0131. WTI Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 119 dolara \u00e7\u0131karak 2022\u2019den bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen seviyeyi test etti; alt\u0131n ise 5.044 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nHaftan\u0131n ajandas\u0131nda 16\u201320 Mart d\u00f6nemine ait veri ve merkez bankas\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 ile 21 Mart\u2019a kadar s\u00fcrecek konu\u015fmalar yer al\u0131yor. Takvimde RBA (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131), BoC (Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131), Fed, BoJ (Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131), BoE (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131), SNB (\u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131), ECB (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) ve PBoC (\u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131) kararlar\u0131; ayr\u0131ca T\u00dcFE (t\u00fcketici enflasyonu), \u00dcFE (\u00fcretici enflasyonu), GSYH (b\u00fcy\u00fcme), istihdam, d\u0131\u015f ticaret, konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 anketleri bulunuyor.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma piyasaya a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131k (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) getirdi; bunun s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birini aksat\u0131rken oda\u011f\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve bunun yarataca\u011f\u0131 enflasyon \u015foku (ani ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 dalgas\u0131) \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. T\u00fcrev (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi) piyasalar\u0131nda i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcm varl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131nda sert ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesi zor hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekir.\n\nWTI ham petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 119 dolara s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131, arz kesintilerine (piyasaya gelen petrol miktar\u0131ndaki azalma) ne kadar hassas olundu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Fiyat 97 dolara gerilese de, k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n i\u00e7in haftal\u0131k EIA stok raporlar\u0131 (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin petrol stok verisi) kritik olacak. Opsiyon (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) piyasas\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131, y\u00f6n tahmininden ziyade b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketlerden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\nFed\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc faiz karar\u0131 haftan\u0131n ana g\u00fcndemi. Ocak ay\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, mevcut ko\u015fullarda ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini yitirmi\u015f olabilir. Tarihsel olarak petrol fiyat\u0131nda varil ba\u015f\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 10 dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, man\u015fet enflasyonu (genel enflasyon) belirgin bi\u00e7imde yukar\u0131 itebilir ve Fed\u2019in izleyece\u011fi yolu zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir. DXY\u2019nin 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, sermayenin g\u00fcvenli liman olarak dolara y\u00f6neldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; benzer tablo ge\u00e7mi\u015f krizlerde de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nEnerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin para birimlerinde belirgin zay\u0131fl\u0131k \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; EUR\/USD A\u011fustos 2025 seviyelerine geriledi. Euro B\u00f6lgesi, enerji fiyat \u015fokuna kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6zellikle hassas; bu da ECB\u2019yi Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda zorlayabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed ile ECB\u2019nin politika duru\u015funda (faiz ve mesaj tonunda) bir ayr\u0131\u015fma olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izlemeli; bu durum kur hareketlerini h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.\n\nJapon Yeni\u2019nin geleneksel g\u00fcvenli liman \u00f6zelli\u011fi, USD\/JPY taraf\u0131nda karma\u015f\u0131k bir tablo yarat\u0131yor; parite iki y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda y\u00f6n bulmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avustralya Dolar\u0131 gibi risk duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek para birimleri (risk art\u0131nca daha h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kaybeden paralar) bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda; AUD\/USD 0,7100 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi. Jeopolitik gerginlik y\u00fcksek kald\u0131k\u00e7a \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan uzakla\u015fmas\u0131) e\u011filiminin s\u00fcrmesi olas\u0131.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi piyasalar\u0131 sarst\u0131: Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken petrol 119 dolar\u0131 test etti, enflasyon riski t\u0131rmand\u0131. DXY 100 \u00fcst\u00fcnde; Fed\/ECB kararlar\u0131, kur ve riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fta belirleyici.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30340","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30340"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30340\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30340"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30340"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30340"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}