{"id":30339,"date":"2026-03-14T02:02:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T02:02:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/2026nin-one-cikan-enerji-hisselerinden-chevron-permian-guyana-ve-kazakistandaki-buyuk-operasyonlariyla-iki-dekadelik-direnc-seviyesine-yaklasiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T02:02:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T02:02:57","slug":"2026nin-one-cikan-enerji-hisselerinden-chevron-permian-guyana-ve-kazakistandaki-buyuk-operasyonlariyla-iki-dekadelik-direnc-seviyesine-yaklasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/2026nin-one-cikan-enerji-hisselerinden-chevron-permian-guyana-ve-kazakistandaki-buyuk-operasyonlariyla-iki-dekadelik-direnc-seviyesine-yaklasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"2026\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan enerji hisselerinden Chevron, Permian, Guyana ve Kazakistan\u2019daki b\u00fcy\u00fck operasyonlar\u0131yla iki dekadelik diren\u00e7 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX), Permian Havzas\u0131, Guyana ve Kazakistan\u2019da arama-\u00fcretim (upstream: petrol ve gaz\u0131n yer alt\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131) faaliyetleri y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. Hisse y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %27 y\u00fckseldi; bu art\u0131\u015f Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ve Berkshire Hathaway\u2019in hisse al\u0131m\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendiriliyor.\n\nAyl\u0131k grafikte fiyat, uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden bir diren\u00e7 trend \u00e7izgisine (diren\u00e7: fiyat\u0131n s\u0131k s\u0131k tak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye; trend \u00e7izgisi: ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki zirveleri birle\u015ftiren \u00e7izgi) yak\u0131n. Bu \u00e7izgi yakla\u015f\u0131k 2007\u2019den beri ge\u00e7erli ve farkl\u0131 piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerindeki (d\u00f6ng\u00fc: y\u00fckseli\u015f-d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00f6nemleri) \u00f6nemli tepe noktalar\u0131n\u0131 (swing high: ara\/\u00f6nemli zirve) birle\u015ftiriyor.\n\nMevcut ayl\u0131k mum (candle: belirli d\u00f6nemdeki a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f-kapan\u0131\u015f ve en y\u00fcksek-en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyat\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00e7ubuk) yakla\u015f\u0131k 196,97 dolar seviyesinde. Trend \u00e7izgisi fiyatla 210,57 dolar civar\u0131nda kesi\u015fiyor; bu seviye \u201cotomatik k\u0131r\u0131lma\u201d de\u011fil, olas\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f noktas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\nSenaryolardan biri, fiyat\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 210,57 dolara y\u00fckselip reddedilmesi (rejection: seviyeden geri d\u00f6nmesi). Ay kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n (monthly close: ay sonu kapan\u0131\u015f) yeniden bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na inmesi geri \u00e7ekilmeyi (pullback: k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) destekler; 160\u2013170 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk hedef b\u00f6lge olarak not ediliyor.\n\nDi\u011fer senaryo, 210,57 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde teyitli bir ay kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131. Bu, uzun vadeli diren\u00e7 yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rar ve grafikteki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirir.\n\nK\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc fikir (short idea: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi) i\u00e7in ay sonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 210,57 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131 bu kurguyu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar. B\u00f6ylece odak, net seviyeler ve a\u00e7\u0131k ko\u015fullarda kal\u0131r.\n\nBu bizi 210,57 dolar civar\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok uzun vadeli diren\u00e7 trend \u00e7izgisine getiriyor. T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme; \u00f6rn. opsiyon) i\u00e7in Nisan ve May\u0131s 2026 vadeli opsiyonlarda y\u00fckselen z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) piyasan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket bekledi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Hem \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fu an kazand\u0131rmayan) sat\u0131m (put: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik opsiyon) hem al\u0131m (call: y\u00fckseli\u015fe y\u00f6nelik opsiyon) opsiyonlar\u0131 pahaland\u0131; bu da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ya sert bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe ya da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya pozisyon ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nReddedilme bekleyenler i\u00e7in May\u0131s 2026 vadeli, 190 veya 185 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem\/kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131) sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131na al\u0131mlar g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, uzun vadeli trend \u00e7izgisinin \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve fiyat\u0131n 160\u2013170 dolar destek b\u00f6lgesine (support: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fi b\u00f6lge) geri d\u00f6nece\u011fini varsayar. Opsiyon s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinde riskin ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 (defined risk: en fazla \u00f6denen prim kadar kay\u0131p) olmas\u0131, hisseyi do\u011frudan a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa satmadan (shortlamak: bor\u00e7 al\u0131p satmak) olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in tercih edilebilir k\u0131lar.\n\nTersi y\u00f6nde, y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi (bullish: y\u00fckseli\u015f yanl\u0131s\u0131) sab\u0131r gerektirir. Mart ay\u0131 i\u00e7in 210,57 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde net bir ay kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131, Temmuz 2026 vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in tetikleyici olabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin 220 veya 225 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 hedeflenebilir. Bu, yap\u0131sal bir k\u0131r\u0131lma sinyali olur ve ivmenin (momentum: fiyat\u0131n hareket g\u00fcc\u00fc) hisseyi yeni fiyat alanlar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 beklenir.\n\nGiri\u015f maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in daha karma\u015f\u0131k stratejiler (\u00f6r. bear put spread: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti azaltan yap\u0131) de kullan\u0131labilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin Haziran 205 sat\u0131m al\u0131n\u0131p Haziran 190 sat\u0131m sat\u0131larak risk ve getiriler s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r (define the risk and reward: maksimum zarar ve kazanc\u0131n \u00f6nceden belli olmas\u0131). Bu strateji, hissenin diren\u00e7te ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olaca\u011f\u0131 ancak tam bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f olmadan \u00f6nce destek bulaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine dayan\u0131r.\n\nBize g\u00f6re kritik olay, Mart 2026 ayl\u0131k mumunun kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131. Fiyat trend \u00e7izgisinin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f opsiyon kurgular\u0131 ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini korur; ancak zaman erimesi (time decay: vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyonun zaman de\u011ferinin azalmas\u0131) dezavantaj yarat\u0131r. \u00dczerinde kapan\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f tezi ge\u00e7ersiz olur ve odak k\u0131r\u0131lma i\u015flemlerine kayar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chevron\u2019da g\u00f6zler 210,57$\u2019daki 2007\u2019den gelen dev diren\u00e7te: reddedilirse 160\u2013170$ geri \u00e7ekilme, \u00fcst\u00fcnde ayl\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f gelirse yap\u0131sal k\u0131r\u0131lma. Opsiyonlarda IV s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30339"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30339\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}