{"id":30334,"date":"2026-03-14T01:02:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T01:02:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-doguda-tirmanan-gerilimlerin-ortasinda-dxy-kazanimlarini-artirarak-10-ayin-zirvesine-yaklasiyor-ust-uste-ikinci-haftayi-da-yukselisle-kapatmaya-hazirlaniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T01:02:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T01:02:08","slug":"orta-doguda-tirmanan-gerilimlerin-ortasinda-dxy-kazanimlarini-artirarak-10-ayin-zirvesine-yaklasiyor-ust-uste-ikinci-haftayi-da-yukselisle-kapatmaya-hazirlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-doguda-tirmanan-gerilimlerin-ortasinda-dxy-kazanimlarini-artirarak-10-ayin-zirvesine-yaklasiyor-ust-uste-ikinci-haftayi-da-yukselisle-kapatmaya-hazirlaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilimlerin ortas\u0131nda DXY, kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak 10 ay\u0131n zirvesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor; \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 da y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimin ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na (likit ve kolay al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131labilir varl\u0131k) talebi art\u0131rmas\u0131yla ikinci haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fine y\u00f6neldi. Endeks 100,32 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu seviye en son May\u0131s 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \n\nABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 piyasada temkinli havay\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken, fonlar likidite ve \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131yla (belirsizlikte daha az riskli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131k) Dolara y\u00f6neldi. Endeks, Dolar\u0131n de\u011ferini alt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck para biriminden olu\u015fan bir sepete kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er. \n\n

Petrol Arz\u0131 Riskleri ve Dolar Deste\u011fi<\/h3> \nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ba\u011fl\u0131 petrol arz\u0131 riskleri ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 iterek enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131. K\u00fcresel petrol ticaretinin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 ile fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f Dolar talebini de destekleyebilir. \n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi beklentilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerini (tahvil faizi) y\u00fckseltti ve Dolar\u0131 destekledi. Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re piyasalar Aral\u0131k\u2019a kadar toplam yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 baz puan (faizde 0,20 puan) gev\u015feme fiyatl\u0131yor; bu rakam \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde 50 baz puan\u0131n \u00fczerindeydi. \n\nG\u00f6zler gelecek haftaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. Piyasalar \u201cdot plot\u201du (Fed yetkililerinin ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck faiz beklentilerini nokta grafikle g\u00f6steren tablo) ve Ekonomik Projeksiyonlar \u00d6zeti\u2019ni (b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon, i\u015fsizlik ve faiz tahminleri) izleyecek. Dolar \u00fczerinde ise ABD ticaret politikas\u0131, Fed\u2019in ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar, artan kamu borcu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc gibi daha uzun vadeli bask\u0131lar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \n\nABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme devam ederken, y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131ktan (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert hareket etmesi) kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon stratejilerine talebin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX) y\u00fckseldi; son d\u00f6nemde 28\u2019in \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu seviye, 2022 ba\u015f\u0131nda Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen piyasa stresini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Bu durum, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n EUR\/USD gibi maj\u00f6r paritelerde \u201cstraddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d (y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden yararlanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan opsiyon kombinasyonlar\u0131) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesine i\u015faret ediyor. \n\n

Do\u011frudan Dolar \u0130\u015flemleri ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3> \nDolar g\u00fcc\u00fcne do\u011frudan oynayan strateji cazibesini koruyor; DXY 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde sa\u011flam duruyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30-60 g\u00fcn vadeli, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olan, bu nedenle daha riskli ve genellikle daha ucuz) DXY al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 veya EUR\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Son CFTC verileri (ABD\u2019de vadeli i\u015flemler piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin resmi pozisyon raporu) bu e\u011filimi do\u011fruluyor: ticari olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n (spek\u00fclat\u00f6rlerin) dolarda net uzun pozisyonu 2025\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \n\nFed faiz indirimi beklentilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131, faiz vadeli i\u015flem piyasas\u0131nda (ilerideki faiz d\u00fczeyine y\u00f6nelik kontratlar) bir f\u0131rsat yarat\u0131yor. Bu hafta itibar\u0131yla CME FedWatch arac\u0131 (vadeli i\u015flemler fiyatlar\u0131ndan faiz de\u011fi\u015fimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge) \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekten \u00f6nce faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %10\u2019un alt\u0131na g\u00f6steriyor; bu oran, gerilim b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden \u00f6nce ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda fiyatlanan %75\u2019e k\u0131yasla keskin bir de\u011fi\u015fim. Fed\u2019in yaz boyunca s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu (faizi y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) koruyaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle Eyl\u00fcl vadeli SOFR kontratlar\u0131nda (ABD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli faiz \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u00fcne dayal\u0131 vadeli i\u015flem) sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. \n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz aksakl\u0131klar\u0131 enerji t\u00fcrevlerini (dayanak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol gibi emtialar olan vadeli i\u015flemler ve opsiyonlar) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. May\u0131s vadeli Brent vadeli kontratlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde yatay seyretmesiyle, USO gibi petrol ETF\u2019lerinde (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) al\u0131m opsiyonu almak fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na do\u011frudan bir bahis sunar. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n tamamen kapanmas\u0131 riski fiyatlara tam yans\u0131mam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; bu da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert hareket ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor. \n\nDolar \u015fu anda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olsa da, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan yap\u0131sal bask\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ihtiyac\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019nin b\u00fct\u00e7e riskleriyle beslenen \u201cpara de\u011fer kayb\u0131\u201d anlat\u0131s\u0131 (b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bor\u00e7 nedeniyle paran\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn zay\u0131flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi) gerilim d\u00fc\u015ferse h\u0131zla geri d\u00f6nebilir. Bu riske kar\u015f\u0131, genellikle Dolar\u2019a g\u00fcven azald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fckselen alt\u0131n i\u00e7in uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla (vadesi uzun opsiyon) ek koruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: Orta Do\u011fu gerilimiyle DXY 100,32\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131p ikinci haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fe gidiyor. Petrol arz riski enflasyonu alevlendirirken, Fed indirim beklentisi azal\u0131yor; VIX y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30334"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30334\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30334"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}