{"id":30329,"date":"2026-03-14T00:05:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T00:05:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-yukselisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-artirmasi-ve-faiz-beklentilerini-yukseltmesiyle-ikinci-haftada-da-dususte\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T00:05:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T00:05:05","slug":"altin-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-yukselisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-artirmasi-ve-faiz-beklentilerini-yukseltmesiyle-ikinci-haftada-da-dususte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-yukselisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-artirmasi-ve-faiz-beklentilerini-yukseltmesiyle-ikinci-haftada-da-dususte\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve faiz beklentilerini y\u00fckseltmesiyle ikinci haftada da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi ve haftay\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci kez d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131; bu da faiz beklentilerini yukar\u0131 itti. XAU\/USD 5.040 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 5.000\u20135.200 dolar band\u0131nda kald\u0131.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan fiilen kapal\u0131 tutuluyor. IEA (Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131), \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n k\u00fcresel petrol piyasas\u0131 tarihinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen en b\u00fcy\u00fck arz kesintisine (piyasaya \u00e7\u0131kan petrol miktar\u0131nda ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Beklentileri De\u011fi\u015fiyor<\/h3>\nSava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde piyasalar bu y\u0131l Fed\u2019in en az iki faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yordu. Ancak Bloomberg swap verilerine g\u00f6re \u015fimdi aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar yaln\u0131zca yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 baz puanl\u0131k (0,20 puan) bir indirim ihtimali fiyatlan\u0131yor. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca ECB\u2019nin (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) temmuz ay\u0131na kadar bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatl\u0131yor ve BoE\u2019nin (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) y\u0131l sonuna kadar s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131) ihtimalini y\u00fckseltiyor.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi (getiri) 4,25% civar\u0131nda kalarak yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015f haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretti. ABD \u00c7ekirdek PCE (g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ocakta ayl\u0131k 0,4% ve y\u0131ll\u0131k 3,0% artt\u0131. 4. \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi 0,7% ile 1,4% beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte fiyat, 5.163 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama: belirli d\u00f6nemdeki ortalama fiyat) alt\u0131na indi ve 5.083 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019y\u0131 test etti. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 42 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. ADX (trend g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi) 20\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi.\n\nOrtado\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, 2026\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik enflasyon ve faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc k\u00f6kten de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 fiilen kapal\u0131yken, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir petrol arz \u015foku g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu durum merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 2025 sonu i\u00e7in beklenen \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi yanl\u0131s\u0131) d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ften vazge\u00e7meye zorluyor. Y\u00fckselen tahvil faizleri ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar, faiz getirmeyen (kupon\/temett\u00fc \u00fcretmeyen) varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in, alt\u0131n dahil, belirgin bir bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.\n\nAlt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 nedeniyle 5.000 dolar psikolojik deste\u011finin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ge\u00e7i\u015f) ihtimali masada. Nisan 2026 vadeli 4.900 veya 4.850 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyonlar\u0131 (satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak, olas\u0131 yeni bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131ndan faydalanman\u0131n net bir yolunu sunar. Grafikteki teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de bu y\u00f6nde; momentum (fiyat hareketinin g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Stratejik Pozisyon Fikirleri<\/h3>\nBu tablo, ge\u00e7mi\u015f enerji krizlerini and\u0131r\u0131yor: jeopolitik olaylar stagflasyon (y\u00fcksek enflasyon + zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme) bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 150 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde; bu seviye on y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Talep tahribat\u0131 (y\u00fcksek fiyatlar nedeniyle t\u00fcketimin d\u00fc\u015fmesi) riski art\u0131yor; bu da zay\u0131f 2025 4. \u00e7eyrek GSYH verilerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131\/stres g\u00f6stergesi) de 25\u2019in \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etti; bu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kal\u0131c\u0131 stres ve belirsizli\u011fe i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nDolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, hem \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebinden hem de Fed beklentilerinin yeniden fiyatlanmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor. Piyasa bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in faiz indirimi ihtimalini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u0131\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, \u00f6zellikle merkez bankalar\u0131 daha yava\u015f tepki verebilecek para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 dolar uzun (y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) pozisyonlar\u0131 korunabilir. Tahvillerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili vadeli i\u015flemlerinde short (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) pozisyonla da ifade edilebilir; ama\u00e7, faizin mevcut 4,25% seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na oynamakt\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 petrol arz \u015foku enflasyon korkusunu b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc, Fed\/ECB\/BoE beklentileri \u015fahinle\u015fti. Dolar ve tahvil faizleri y\u00fckselirken XAU\/USD 5.000 deste\u011fini zorluyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30329","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30329"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30329\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30329"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30329"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30329"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}