{"id":30326,"date":"2026-03-14T00:02:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T00:02:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dolar-endeksi-dort-ayin-zirvesine-yaklasirken-petrolun-toparlanmasina-ragmen-gumus-81-dolarin-altina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T00:02:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T00:02:28","slug":"dolar-endeksi-dort-ayin-zirvesine-yaklasirken-petrolun-toparlanmasina-ragmen-gumus-81-dolarin-altina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dolar-endeksi-dort-ayin-zirvesine-yaklasirken-petrolun-toparlanmasina-ragmen-gumus-81-dolarin-altina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar endeksi d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n zirvesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken, petrol\u00fcn toparlanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 81 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcn\u00fcnde de geriledi; Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %2,90\u2019dan fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 80,16 dolara indi ve haftay\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 kay\u0131pla kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Bu hareket, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretmesi ve ABD Hazine tahvil faizlerinin (devletin bor\u00e7lanma i\u00e7in \u00f6dedi\u011fi faiz oran\u0131) y\u00fckselmesiyle geldi.\n\nABD borsalar\u0131 %0,40-%0,43 y\u00fckseldi. Veriler, 43 g\u00fcnl\u00fck h\u00fck\u00fcmet kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. 2025 4. \u00e7eyrek GSYH\u2019nin (Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la, ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) ikinci tahmini, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %1,4\u2019ten %0,7\u2019ye yava\u015flad\u0131.\n\n

Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fc G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fc A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00c7ekiyor<\/h3>\n\u00c7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi; \u201c\u00e7ekirdek\u201d enerji ve g\u0131da gibi dalgal\u0131 kalemleri hari\u00e7 tutar) Ocak\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,1\u2019de kald\u0131. Man\u015fet enflasyon (genel oran) %2,9\u2019dan %2,8\u2019e geriledi. Piyasada 2026 i\u00e7in fiyatlanan Fed gev\u015femesi (faiz indirimi beklentisi), 17 baz puandan en az 19,5 baz puana y\u00fckseldi (baz puan: y\u00fczde puan\u0131n y\u00fczde biri; 100 baz puan = %1).\n\nWTI petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) hafta i\u00e7inde 113 dolar civar\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 95,90 dolarda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Benzin fiyatlar\u0131, iki hafta \u00f6nce ba\u015flayan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan bu yana galon ba\u015f\u0131na %20\u2019den fazla artarak 3,60 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 (galon: ABD\u2019de kullan\u0131lan hacim \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc).\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY; dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7er) %0,61 art\u0131\u015fla 100,35\u2019e y\u00fckseldi, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi 2,5 baz puan artarak %4,287 oldu. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, yapt\u0131r\u0131ma tabi Rus petrol\u00fc al\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6nelik k\u0131smi 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck muafiyetin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131m a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\nTeknik seviyelerde 83,00 ve 86,00 dolar diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcst b\u00f6lge) olarak, 78,00 ve 74,00 dolar destek (fiyat\u0131n tutunabildi\u011fi alt b\u00f6lge) olarak; ayr\u0131ca 70,00 dolar civar\u0131nda ek bir seviye \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RSI g\u00f6stergesinin (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131\/ivmesini \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik g\u00f6sterge) 45\u2019e do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fi belirtildi.\n\n

K\u0131sa Vadeli \u00d6nemli Risk Takvimi<\/h3>\nABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 \u015fu anda di\u011fer unsurlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7erek g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fc kritik 81 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131na itiyor. Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 100,35 ile d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rmesi, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi dolar cinsinden fiyatlanan varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. ABD tahvil faizleri %4,30 civar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek kald\u0131k\u00e7a bu e\u011filimin k\u0131sa vadede s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor.\n\nOdakta, 17-18 Mart\u2019taki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 var; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir fiyat belirleyici (piyasada y\u00f6n\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek ana geli\u015fme) olabilir. 2025 sonundaki zay\u0131f GSYH verisi faiz indirimlerini desteklerken, %3,1\u2019de kalan enflasyon Fed\u2019e bekle-g\u00f6r i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7e veriyor. 2024 ba\u015f\u0131nda piyasalar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz indirimi fiyatlay\u0131p bunun hemen ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemesiyle metallerde sert bir yeniden fiyatlama ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; bu nedenle temkin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik riskler ve Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik planlar\u0131 enflasyon a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir belirsizlik. Petrol 113 dolar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli test ettikten sonra 95,90 dolar civar\u0131na yerle\u015fti; ancak olas\u0131 bir t\u0131rmanma fiyatlar\u0131 yeniden yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Bu durum Fed\u2019i daha s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fa zorlayabilir ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte tercih edilen varl\u0131k) talebini art\u0131rabilir.\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi 80 dolar seviyesinin test edilmesine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu psikolojik deste\u011fin (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nem verdi\u011fi yuvarlak seviye) alt\u0131na sarkma, 78 dolardaki bir sonraki deste\u011fe do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Bu aral\u0131kta kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 \u201cput opsiyonlar\u0131\u201d (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) dikkat \u00e7ekebilir. Yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc i\u00e7in 86 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine kal\u0131c\u0131 bir kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekir.\n\nAlt\u0131n\/G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131 da (bir ons alt\u0131n almak i\u00e7in ka\u00e7 ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6steren oran) ipucu veriyor; oran 85:1\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, 2024\u2019teki ekonomik belirsizlik d\u00f6neminden bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen bir seviye ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131na g\u00f6re tarihsel olarak ucuzlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Daha uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in bu ayr\u0131\u015fma \u201c\u00e7ift i\u015flem\u201d (pairs trade: iki varl\u0131kta biri al\u0131n\u0131rken di\u011feri sat\u0131larak farktan yararlanma) f\u0131rsat\u0131 yaratabilir; piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 de\u011fi\u015firse g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131ndan daha iyi performans g\u00f6stermesi beklenebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnde de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte: 80,16 dolara gerilerken haftal\u0131k kay\u0131p %3\u2019e yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Dolar endeksi 4 ay zirvesinde, ABD tahvil faizleri y\u00fcksek; g\u00f6zler 17-18 Mart Fed\u2019de.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30326","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30326"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30326\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30326"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30326"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30326"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}