{"id":30323,"date":"2026-03-13T22:02:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T22:02:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-zayif-kanada-istihdam-verileri-ve-jeopolitik-riskler-cadi-baskilarken-usd-cad-137nin-uzerinde-kaliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T22:02:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T22:02:52","slug":"scotiabank-zayif-kanada-istihdam-verileri-ve-jeopolitik-riskler-cadi-baskilarken-usd-cad-137nin-uzerinde-kaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-zayif-kanada-istihdam-verileri-ve-jeopolitik-riskler-cadi-baskilarken-usd-cad-137nin-uzerinde-kaliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank: Zay\u0131f Kanada istihdam verileri ve jeopolitik riskler CAD\u2019i bask\u0131larken USD\/CAD 1,37\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"Kanada dolar\u0131, Kanada istihdam verisinin beklentilerin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmelere ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerle zay\u0131flad\u0131. ABD verileri de yumu\u015fad\u0131 (ekonomik g\u00f6stergeler zay\u0131flad\u0131) ancak USD\/CAD 1,37\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131 ve parite bant i\u00e7inde hareketini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.\n\n\u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc verisi sonras\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli ABD\u2013Kanada faiz getirisi fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin tahvil faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Bu durum, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc USD\/CAD i\u00e7in \u201cdenge seviyesi\u201d (kurun teorik olarak oturmas\u0131 beklenen seviye) tahminini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Buna ra\u011fmen kur, Scotiabank\u2019\u0131n \u201cadil de\u011fer\u201d (temellere g\u00f6re makul g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviye) tahmininden h\u00e2l\u00e2 uzak. Ayr\u0131ca CAD ile onu genelde etkileyen fakt\u00f6rler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fki (korelasyon) zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\nHisse senedi piyasas\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131k (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) daha y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131yla dengelendi; bu da para birimi \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa vadede kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k etkiler b\u0131rak\u0131yor. USD\/CAD 1,3525\u20131,3760 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 (konsolidasyon: dar bantta yatay seyir) s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 1,3750\/60 civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye), 1,3525\/30\u2019da destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nKanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz kararlar\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc. Her iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n da politika faizinde (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n belirledi\u011fi ana faiz) de\u011fi\u015fiklik yapmas\u0131 beklenmiyor; ancak toplant\u0131lar, piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6nlendirme (gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck mesaj) aramas\u0131 nedeniyle i\u015flemleri etkileyebilir.\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan USD\/CAD, 1,3658\u2019deki 40 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (son 40 g\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; trend g\u00f6stergesi) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ge\u00e7en haftadan kalan \u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u0131\u015f aral\u0131k\u201d (haftal\u0131k mumda \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fan ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sinyal \u00fcreten formasyon) sinyali ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini koruyor. Daha uzun vadeli trend g\u00f6stergeleri (momentum\/oscillat\u00f6r: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergeler) ABD dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in negatife i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nKanada dolar\u0131 mart ortas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Statistics Canada\u2019n\u0131n son istihdam raporu b\u00fcy\u00fck hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratt\u0131: \u015eubat\u2019ta 15 bin ki\u015filik istihdam kayb\u0131 s\u00fcrprizi geldi; piyasa art\u0131\u015f bekliyordu. Bu tablo, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da yeniden artan jeopolitik kayg\u0131yla birle\u015fince \u201cloonie\u201d (Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n piyasa lakab\u0131) \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.\n\nParitenin, 1,3760 civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7 ve 1,3525 yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destekle net bir bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma, 2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcze benzer \u015fekilde korunuyor. WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, CAD\u2019e taban olu\u015fturuyor ve daha sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz istihdam kayb\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi CAD\u2019i vurdu! USD\/CAD 1,37 \u00fcst\u00fcnde, 1,3525\u20131,3760 band\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. BoC-Fed mesajlar\u0131 kritik; petrol 85$ CAD\u2019e destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30323","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30323"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30323\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30323"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30323"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30323"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}