{"id":30278,"date":"2026-03-13T11:04:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T11:04:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-dolarindaki-guclenme-ve-orta-dogudaki-gerilimlerin-etkisiyle-altin-aciklanacak-abd-pce-verileri-oncesinde-dip-seviyeye-yakin-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T11:04:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T11:04:11","slug":"abd-dolarindaki-guclenme-ve-orta-dogudaki-gerilimlerin-etkisiyle-altin-aciklanacak-abd-pce-verileri-oncesinde-dip-seviyeye-yakin-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-dolarindaki-guclenme-ve-orta-dogudaki-gerilimlerin-etkisiyle-altin-aciklanacak-abd-pce-verileri-oncesinde-dip-seviyeye-yakin-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimlerin etkisiyle alt\u0131n, a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD PCE verileri \u00f6ncesinde dip seviyeye yak\u0131n geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015finin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc geri verdi ve g\u00fcn\u00fcn bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt k\u0131sm\u0131na indi. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na (g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc para birimi) talebin s\u00fcrmesi, sava\u015f\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi enerji fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fi ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimlerini geciktirebilece\u011fi beklentisiyle destekleniyor.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu gerilimi devam ediyor; bu durum, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle (belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131klar) alt\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni dini lideri Mojtaba Hamaney, b\u00f6lgede bulunan ABD askeri \u00fcslerinin derhal kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini, aksi halde sald\u0131r\u0131ya u\u011frayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; ABD \u00fcslerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini de belirtti.\n\n

Jeopolitik Riskler Ve Enflasyon Beklentileri<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019daki \u201ck\u00f6t\u00fc imparatorlu\u011fu\u201d durdurman\u0131n petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131yla birlikte ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda (petrol sevkiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) olas\u0131 kesinti endi\u015fesi enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 ve 2026\u2019da Fed\u2019in faiz indirim beklentilerini zay\u0131flatt\u0131.\n\nDaha y\u00fcksek ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri (devlet tahvillerinin faiz oran\u0131), Dolar\u2019a destek verirken, ABD Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) Fiyat Endeksi \u00f6ncesinde alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca, g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 tutuldu\u011fu i\u00e7in daha \u201ctemiz\u201d bir enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi say\u0131lan ve Fed\u2019in daha yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi \u00c7ekirdek PCE verisini de takip ediyor.\n\nGrafiklerde alt\u0131n, 4 saatlik zaman diliminde 200 periyotluk \u00fcstel hareketli ortalama (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) yak\u0131n\u0131ndan tepki verdi ve genel y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi korunuyor. MACD (iki hareketli ortalama fark\u0131yla momentum \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131, RSI (a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 44 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 5.090 ve 5.039 dolar; ard\u0131ndan 5.000 dolar. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri ise 5.160, 5.200 ve 5.230 dolar.\n\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 2025\u2019te ba\u015flayan \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu yeniden canland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u015eubat ay\u0131 ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi g\u00f6sterir) verisi, enflasyonun yeniden h\u0131zlanarak %4,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\n

Kilit Seviyeler Ve Oynakl\u0131k G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nHam petrol bu \u00e7eyre\u011fin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu, sava\u015f ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanabilece\u011fi endi\u015felerinin do\u011frudan sonucu. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in izleyece\u011fi faiz yoluna ili\u015fkin beklentileri h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirdi; piyasalar art\u0131k hazirana kadar faiz indirimi ihtimalini %15\u2019in alt\u0131na fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 ABD tahvil getirilerini yukar\u0131da tutuyor; getirisi olmayan (faiz \u00f6demeyen) alt\u0131nla do\u011frudan rekabet ediyor.\n\nBuna ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n, ayn\u0131 jeopolitik riskten destek buluyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni y\u00f6netiminden gelen tehditler ciddiye al\u0131n\u0131yor; \u00f6zellikle ge\u00e7en hafta \u0130ran destekli deniz dronlar\u0131n\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda tankerleri taciz etti\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan. Bu gerilim, daha geni\u015f bir t\u0131rmanmaya kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: riski azaltmak i\u00e7in pozisyon alma) amac\u0131yla alt\u0131n tutmay\u0131 mant\u0131kl\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\n5.039\u20135.090 dolar band\u0131 kritik destek olarak izleniyor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilmesi), enflasyon ve faiz endi\u015felerinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir ve fiyat\u0131 5.000 dolara itebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 5.160 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 hareket, g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda kritik viraj: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015feleri XAU\/USD\u2019yi bask\u0131l\u0131yor, Fed indirimi \u00f6teleniyor. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor; 5.039\u20135.090 destek, 5.160 diren\u00e7 izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30278","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30278"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30278\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30278"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30278"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30278"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}