{"id":30266,"date":"2026-03-13T08:06:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:06:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-13640-civarinda-yatay-seyrediyor-daha-yumusak-petrol-fiyatlarinin-kanada-dolari-uzerinde-baski-olusturmasiyla-onceki-kazanimlar-soluyor-ihracat-avantajina-ragmen\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T08:06:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:06:05","slug":"usd-cad-13640-civarinda-yatay-seyrediyor-daha-yumusak-petrol-fiyatlarinin-kanada-dolari-uzerinde-baski-olusturmasiyla-onceki-kazanimlar-soluyor-ihracat-avantajina-ragmen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-cad-13640-civarinda-yatay-seyrediyor-daha-yumusak-petrol-fiyatlarinin-kanada-dolari-uzerinde-baski-olusturmasiyla-onceki-kazanimlar-soluyor-ihracat-avantajina-ragmen\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD 1,3640 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor; daha yumu\u015fak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Kanada Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131yla \u00f6nceki kazan\u0131mlar soluyor, ihracat avantaj\u0131na ra\u011fmen"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 1,3640 civar\u0131nda tutundu. Parite, \u00f6nceki seansta %0,25\u2019ten fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 gerileyince Kanada Dolar\u0131 (CAD) yatay seyretti.\n\nWTI (West Texas Intermediate, ABD ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) \u00f6nceki seansta %9\u2019dan fazla s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131ktan sonra hafif geri \u00e7ekildi ve varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95,00 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana %40\u2019tan fazla artt\u0131.\n\n<h3>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 Riski Art\u0131yor<\/h3>\nABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dahil oldu\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 fiilen kapan\u0131nca petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u201ck\u00fcresel petrol piyasas\u0131 tarihindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck arz kesintisini (piyasaya sunulan petrol miktar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni dini lideri Mojtaba Hamaney, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmana bask\u0131 arac\u0131\u201d olarak s\u00fcrmesi gerekti\u011fini belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca b\u00f6lgedeki ABD askeri \u00fcslerinin derhal kapanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini, aksi halde olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nUSD\/CAD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) gelecek hafta faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyece\u011fi beklentisiyle ABD Dolar\u0131 destekli kal\u0131rsa s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olabilir. G\u00f6sterge federal fonlama faizi (bankalar\u0131n birbirine gecelik bor\u00e7 verme faizi) \u015fu anda %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda.\n\nPiyasalar ayr\u0131ca Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Ocak ay\u0131 Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ni (PCE, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) bekliyor. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek ABD GSYH (ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme) verisinin ilk revizyonu ve Mart t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni de izlenecek.\n\n<h3>Usd Cad \u00c7eki\u015fmesi<\/h3>\nPiyasa, USD\/CAD paritesinde 1,3640 seviyesi etraf\u0131nda sert bir \u00e7eki\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. WTI ham petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar civar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 normalde Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeli. Ancak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 (riskli varl\u0131klardan daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme), ABD dolar\u0131na talebi y\u00fcksek tutuyor.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 ana unsur. Bu geli\u015fme, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birini (\u00fcretim ve sevkiyat\u0131n \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131) devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yor; onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen \u00f6l\u00e7ekte bir kesinti. Tarihte 1973 petrol krizi gibi olaylar fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00f6rt kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019daki yeni y\u00f6netimin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, bu arz \u015fokunun (ani ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc arz daralmas\u0131n\u0131n) uzun s\u00fcreli olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na, hatta daha da y\u00fckselmesine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor.\n\nDi\u011fer tarafta Fed\u2019in faizleri %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutma duru\u015fu, \u201cgreenback\u201d (ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalardaki takma ad\u0131) i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturuyor. S\u00fcren sava\u015f, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (riskli pozisyonlar\u0131 azaltma) havas\u0131 yarat\u0131yor ve sermayeyi g\u00fcvenlik i\u00e7in ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131na (ABD tahvili, dolar gibi) y\u00f6neltiyor. Bu durum, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Kanada dolar\u0131na verdi\u011fi olumlu etkiyi dengeliyor.\n\nBu belirsizlikte y\u00f6n tahminiyle i\u015flem yapmak \u00e7ok riskli. Odak, oynakl\u0131\u011fa (fiyatlar\u0131n sert dalgalanma derecesi) kay\u0131yor. USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fckseldi. Kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 endeksleri de \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ge\u00e7en ay t\u0131rmanmas\u0131ndan bu yana %30\u2019dan fazla art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketlerinden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejiler, \u00f6rne\u011fin uzun straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon alma), keskin ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesi zor hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge, riski azaltma) i\u00e7in daha cazip hale geliyor.\n\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile USD\/CAD paritesi aras\u0131ndaki tipik ters ili\u015fki (petrol y\u00fckselince USD\/CAD\u2019in d\u00fc\u015fme e\u011filimi) zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. 2025 verilerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu ili\u015fki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyd\u00fc; ancak \u015fu anda ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcvenli liman talebi bunu bast\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu da yaln\u0131zca petrol fiyat\u0131na dayanan ge\u00e7mi\u015f modellere \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda g\u00fcvenmenin zor olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiilen kapanmas\u0131yla petrol \u015foku b\u00fcy\u00fcrken USD\/CAD 1,3640\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. WTI 95 dolarda; g\u00fcvenli liman talebi dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Fed ve PCE verisi oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30266","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30266\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}