{"id":30257,"date":"2026-03-13T07:03:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T07:03:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/reuters-anketine-gore-cogu-ekonomist-rbanin-17-martta-avustralyanin-politika-faizini-410a-yukseltmesini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T07:03:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T07:03:20","slug":"reuters-anketine-gore-cogu-ekonomist-rbanin-17-martta-avustralyanin-politika-faizini-410a-yukseltmesini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/reuters-anketine-gore-cogu-ekonomist-rbanin-17-martta-avustralyanin-politika-faizini-410a-yukseltmesini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Reuters anketine g\u00f6re \u00e7o\u011fu ekonomist, RBA\u2019n\u0131n 17 Mart\u2019ta Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini %4,10\u2019a y\u00fckseltmesini bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Reuters\u2019\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete g\u00f6re 30 ekonomistin 23\u2019\u00fc, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) 17 Mart\u2019ta politika faizini (resm\u00ee nakit faiz oran\u0131) %4,10\u2019a y\u00fckseltmesini bekliyor. Yedi ekonomist ise de\u011fi\u015fiklik \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyor. \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki ankette faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n %3,85\u2019te sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyordu.\n\nMedyan tahmin, politika faizinin 2026 sonu itibar\u0131yla %4,35 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda AUD\/USD (Avustralya Dolar\u0131\/ABD Dolar\u0131) g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,12 art\u0131\u015fla 0,7085 seviyesindeydi.\n\n

Rba Politika \u00c7er\u00e7evesi<\/h3>\nRBA, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 ve para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (ekonomideki para ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen kararlar) y\u0131lda 11 planl\u0131 toplant\u0131yla belirler; gerekti\u011finde ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc toplant\u0131lar da yapabilir. Bankan\u0131n g\u00f6revi, enflasyonu (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131) %2\u2013%3 band\u0131nda tutmak ve kur istikrar\u0131n\u0131 (para biriminin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynak olmamas\u0131n\u0131), tam istihdam\u0131 (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak isteyenlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f bulabildi\u011fi seviye) ve ekonomik refah\u0131 desteklemektir.\n\nFaiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 genelde Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekler; faiz indirimi ise \u00e7o\u011fu zaman zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Di\u011fer ara\u00e7lar aras\u0131nda \u201cparasal geni\u015fleme\u201d ve \u201cparasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma\u201d bulunur.\n\nEnflasyon ve daha geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 makroekonomik veriler, para politikas\u0131 beklentilerini ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak para birimini etkileyebilir. GSYH (ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi), imalat ve hizmet PMI\u2019lar\u0131 (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; sekt\u00f6rlerdeki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren anket verisi), istihdam ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni gibi g\u00f6stergeler bu beklentileri \u015fekillendirir.\n\nParasal geni\u015fleme, piyasaya yeni Avustralya Dolar\u0131 vererek devlet veya \u015firket tahvilleri (bor\u00e7lanma senetleri) gibi varl\u0131klar\u0131n sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131d\u0131r; bu genelde AUD\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma ise yeni varl\u0131k al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 ve vadesi dolan varl\u0131klardan gelen paran\u0131n yeniden yat\u0131r\u0131ma y\u00f6nlendirilmemesidir; bu da AUD\u2019yi destekleyebilir.\n\n

Piyasa G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Ve Etkiler<\/h3>\n2025\u2019in bu d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, RBA\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f birli\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Reuters\u2019\u0131n bir y\u0131l \u00f6nceki anketi, faizin %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00f6steriyordu. Bug\u00fcn tablo daha karma\u015f\u0131k; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc politika faizi son alt\u0131 ayd\u0131r %4,35\u2019te sabit.\n\n\u015eu anki ana belirleyici, \u201cyap\u0131\u015fkan\u201d enflasyon (kolay gerilemeyen, kal\u0131c\u0131 seyreden enflasyon) ile yava\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma. 2025\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine ait son veriler, man\u015fet enflasyonu (genel enflasyon oran\u0131) %3,5\u2019e koyuyor; bu seviye RBA\u2019n\u0131n hedef band\u0131n\u0131n \u0131srarla \u00fczerinde. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n masas\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini canl\u0131 tutuyor.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u00f6nceki faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiyi so\u011futtu\u011funa dair i\u015faretler var. Son raporda \u00fclke genelinde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi ve son GSYH verileri yaln\u0131zca s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret etti. Bu tablo, RBA\u2019n\u0131n ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya gidip daha belirgin bir yava\u015flamay\u0131 tetikleme riskinden ka\u00e7\u0131nabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\nRBA\u2019n\u0131n bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131na dair bu belirsizlik, faiz piyasalar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. T\u00fcrev (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir finansal \u00fcr\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemi yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, y\u00f6n ne olursa olsun b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin bir sonraki RBA toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde tahvil vadeli i\u015flemleri (ileride belirlenen fiyattan tahvil alma-satma s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) \u00fczerine opsiyon (belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) almak. Bu opsiyonlar\u0131n fiyatlamas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n yak\u0131nda daha net bir politika sinyali bekledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nKur taraf\u0131nda AUD\/USD 0,6650 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,7085 seviyesinin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda. RBA y\u00f6nlendirmesine (ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck mesajlar) sert tepki ihtimali dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kur opsiyonlar\u0131yla korunma (riskten sak\u0131nma) yapmak veya riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f yeni pozisyonlar kurmak temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. \u015eahin bir s\u00fcrpriz (faizde daha s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f sinyali) y\u00fckseli\u015fi tetikleyebilir; g\u00fcvercin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f (daha gev\u015fek duru\u015f) ise paritenin gerilemesine yol a\u00e7abilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

G\u00f6zler RBA\u2019da: Reuters anketinde ekonomistlerin \u00e7o\u011fu 17 Mart\u2019ta faizin %4,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon\u2013yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ikilemi, AUD\/USD\u2019de sert oynakl\u0131k riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30257"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30257\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}