{"id":30256,"date":"2026-03-13T06:04:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T06:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-abd-israil-iran-gerilimi-surerken-hurmuz-bogazini-kapali-tutmakta-israr-edince-wti-9575-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T06:04:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T06:04:23","slug":"iran-abd-israil-iran-gerilimi-surerken-hurmuz-bogazini-kapali-tutmakta-israr-edince-wti-9575-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-abd-israil-iran-gerilimi-surerken-hurmuz-bogazini-kapali-tutmakta-israr-edince-wti-9575-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran, ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran gerilimi s\u00fcrerken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapal\u0131 tutmakta \u0131srar edince WTI 95,75 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"WTI, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 95,75 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek 95,50 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dahil oldu\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.\n\nABD ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131, sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana %40\u2019tan fazla y\u00fckseldi. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n k\u00fcresel petrol piyasas\u0131 tarihindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck arz kesintisini (piyasaya gelen petrol miktar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>Strait Of Hormuz Closure<\/h3>\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni dini lideri Mojtaba Hamaney, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca b\u00f6lgedeki ABD askeri \u00fcslerinin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131, aksi halde sald\u0131r\u0131 riski do\u011faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.\n\nIEA, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc stratejik rezervlerden 400 milyon varil petrol serbest b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Stratejik rezerv (devletlerin acil durum i\u00e7in tuttu\u011fu petrol stoklar\u0131) sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n amac\u0131, k\u0131sa vadede arz\u0131 art\u0131rmak ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 fiilen kapal\u0131yken, g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 21 milyon varillik petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi dar ge\u00e7it (kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) bloke olmu\u015f durumda. Burada, fiziki arz\u0131n ciddi bi\u00e7imde kesilmesi ile IEA\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck ama ge\u00e7ici rezerv sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7arp\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu durum a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor; bu nedenle opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k y\u00fckseliyor (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen sert fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131).\n\nJeopolitik risk primi (siyasi\/askeri risk nedeniyle fiyata eklenen ekstra maliyet) ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc y\u00fcksek. Bu nedenle fiyat geri \u00e7ekilmeleri al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. 400 milyon varillik IEA sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 tarihi \u00f6l\u00e7ekte olsa da, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k hatt\u0131n\u0131n belirsiz s\u00fcreyle devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131n yerini tutamaz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, uzun s\u00fcrecek \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma endi\u015fesinin fiyatlar\u0131 daha da y\u00fckseltmesi durumunda kazan\u00e7 hedefiyle al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread; iki farkl\u0131 fiyat seviyesinde al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisi) de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\n<h3>Options Strategies Amid Volatility<\/h3>\n2022\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fck stratejik rezerv sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, fiyatlara ge\u00e7ici bir tavan koymu\u015f ancak Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan yap\u0131sal arz sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 (kal\u0131c\u0131 tedarik problemleri) \u00e7\u00f6zmemi\u015fti. O d\u00f6nemki sat\u0131\u015f \u00f6nemliydi, ancak \u015fu an taahh\u00fct edilen 400 milyon varilin belirgin bi\u00e7imde alt\u0131ndayd\u0131. Bu kez a\u00e7\u0131klanan arz\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, olumlu bir haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 gelirse k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli de olsa sert bir fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne yol a\u00e7abilir.\n\nBu rekor d\u00fczeydeki sat\u0131\u015f, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bir \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r (yukar\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan etki) olu\u015fturuyor. Bu nedenle 96 dolar civar\u0131nda vadeli kontratlarda (futures; ileri tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) do\u011frudan \u201cuzun pozisyon\u201d ta\u015f\u0131mak daha riskli hale gelebilir. IEA hamlesinin panik al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 bast\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar sat\u0131m opsiyonuna (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) bakabilir. Bu ara\u00e7lar, arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 yeniden 90 dolar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine \u00e7ekmesi halinde kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.\n\nKar\u015f\u0131t y\u00f6nde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan iki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc etki nedeniyle en olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7, sert ve s\u0131k fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi. Bu da y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanan t\u00fcrev stratejilerini (derivative; fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor: uzun straddle veya strangle. Straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call ve put almak) ve strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call ve put almak), petrol fiyat\u0131 yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kazand\u0131rabilir; \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu olas\u0131l\u0131k y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrolde f\u0131rt\u0131na dinmiyor: WTI 95,75 dolara t\u0131rmand\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapanmas\u0131 arz\u0131 keserken IEA\u2019n\u0131n 400 milyon varillik sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 fren etkisi yarat\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7: rekor risk primi, y\u00fckselen oynakl\u0131k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30256","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30256"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30256\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}