{"id":30244,"date":"2026-03-13T03:05:48","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T03:05:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-catismanin-tirmanmasi-petrolu-yukseltirken-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-abd-dolari-guclendi-aud-usd-07100un-altina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T03:05:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T03:05:48","slug":"orta-dogudaki-catismanin-tirmanmasi-petrolu-yukseltirken-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-abd-dolari-guclendi-aud-usd-07100un-altina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-catismanin-tirmanmasi-petrolu-yukseltirken-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-abd-dolari-guclendi-aud-usd-07100un-altina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 petrol\u00fc y\u00fckseltirken, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle ABD dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; AUD\/USD 0,7100\u2019un alt\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,7187\u2019ye y\u00fckseldikten sonra Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi ve ABD seans\u0131n\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru 0,7070 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesiyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte daha az riskli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klar; \u00f6rne\u011fin ABD Dolar\u0131) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6neldi ve ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendi.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) kapal\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nde sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair haberler petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti. WTI (ABD ham petrol\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolarda, Brent (k\u00fcresel referans petrol) ise 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\n<h3>Avustralya Enflasyon Beklentileri ve RBA Politikas\u0131<\/h3>\nMelbourne Institute verilerine g\u00f6re Avustralya\u2019da t\u00fcketicilerin enflasyon beklentisi Mart\u2019ta %5,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi (\u015eubat: %5) ve Temmuz 2023\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. RBA (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) \u015eubat ba\u015f\u0131nda faizi 25 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131; \u201cbaz puan\u201d y\u00fczde puan\u0131n 100\u2019de 1\u2019i demektir. B\u00f6ylece politika faizi (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n hedefledi\u011fi k\u0131sa vadeli faiz) %3,85\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nAvustralya\u2019da Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nemli bir veri takvimi yok. ABD, Ocak ay\u0131 PCE Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ni (Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi), Ocak Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Mal Sipari\u015fleri\u2019ni (u\u00e7ak, makine gibi uzun \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00fcr\u00fcnlere talep) ve Mart Michigan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni \u00f6nc\u00fc verisini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte fiyat, 0,7120 civar\u0131ndaki 20 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama; belirli say\u0131daki kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) alt\u0131na indi ve 0,7075 civar\u0131ndaki 100 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019y\u0131 test etti. 0,7050 civar\u0131ndaki 200 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; h\u0131z ve g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 60 \u00fczerinden 40\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131na geriledi, Momentum g\u00f6stergesi (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc.\n\n1 saatlik grafikte parite 20 ve 100 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019lar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; 200 d\u00f6nemlik SMA 0,7068 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 0,7115\u20130,7120 ard\u0131ndan 0,7150; destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 0,7075 ve 0,7000.\n\n<h3>Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131lki \u015foktan sonra RBA, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi %4,35\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseltti ancak son be\u015f ayd\u0131r beklemede. Avustralya\u2019da enflasyon son d\u00f6nemde belirgin \u015fekilde so\u011fudu; Aral\u0131k 2025 \u00e7eyre\u011fine ait son T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyonun ana \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc) verisi %3,4\u2019e geriledi. Bu da RBA\u2019n\u0131n ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131.\n\nG\u00fcndemde \u015fimdi \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u201d var: ABD\u2019de \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) Ocak 2026 itibar\u0131yla %2,9 ile y\u00fcksek seyrini koruyor. Bu durum Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken, AUD\/USD bug\u00fcn g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 0,6800\u20130,6850 band\u0131na do\u011fru geriledi. Piyasa, Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l yapaca\u011f\u0131 faiz indirimlerini \u00f6nceki beklentilere g\u00f6re daha az fiyatl\u0131yor.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu da \u201ccall opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201dn\u0131 (belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyonu satarak prim geliri elde etmek) uygun bir strateji haline getirebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 0,6950 civar\u0131nda \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131\u201d (opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi fiyat) olan AUD\/USD call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satmak, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131ya \u201cprim\u201d (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) kazand\u0131r\u0131rken paritenin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde k\u0131r\u0131lma yapmayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine dayan\u0131r.\n\nAyr\u0131ca \u201coynakl\u0131k\u201d (volatilite; fiyatlar\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fi) s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na dikkat etmek gerekir; \u00f6zellikle OPEC+\u2019\u0131n (OPEC ve m\u00fcttefik \u00fcreticiler) yeni arz kesintisi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla WTI\u2019\u0131n yeniden varil ba\u015f\u0131na 88 dolara yakla\u015fmas\u0131 halinde. Ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in 0,6750 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip k\u0131sa vadeli \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d almak (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir \u201chedge\u201d (riskten korunma) olabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik gerilim ve petrol rallisi Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi, AUD\/USD 0,7070\u2019e indi. Avustralya enflasyon beklentileri y\u00fckselse de RBA beklemede. G\u00f6zler ABD PCE\u2019de; teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131f, opsiyonlarda call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30244"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30244\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}