{"id":30240,"date":"2026-03-13T02:05:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T02:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-catismasi-nedeniyle-hurmuz-bogazinda-kesinti-endisesi-artarken-wti-75in-uzerinde-sicradi-yukselis-teknik-gorunumu-destekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T02:05:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T02:05:56","slug":"abd-iran-catismasi-nedeniyle-hurmuz-bogazinda-kesinti-endisesi-artarken-wti-75in-uzerinde-sicradi-yukselis-teknik-gorunumu-destekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-catismasi-nedeniyle-hurmuz-bogazinda-kesinti-endisesi-artarken-wti-75in-uzerinde-sicradi-yukselis-teknik-gorunumu-destekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda kesinti endi\u015fesi artarken WTI %7,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; y\u00fckseli\u015f teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"WTI tipi ham petrol, ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden arz\u0131n (piyasaya sunulan petrol miktar\u0131) kesintiye u\u011frayabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesiyle per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 7,5\u2019ten fazla y\u00fckselerek a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 dalgal\u0131 seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. WTI, pazartesi 113 dolara s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p ard\u0131ndan 83,36 dolara yak\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131ktan sonra \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fle 94,31 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Dini Lideri Mojtaba Hamaney, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatma se\u00e7ene\u011finin \u201cbask\u0131 arac\u0131\u201d olarak g\u00fcndemde tutulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. ABD Enerji Bakan\u0131 Chris Wright ise k\u0131sa vadeli bir arz kesintisi ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, petrol tankerlerine ABD Donanmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n refakatinin (askeri koruma e\u015fli\u011finde ge\u00e7i\u015f) ay sonuna do\u011fru ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtti.\n\n<h3>Arz ve Talep G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>  \nIEA (Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131), \u00fcye \u00fclkelerin stratejik rezervlerinden (acil durum i\u00e7in tutulan stoklar) yakla\u015f\u0131k 400 milyon varil petrol piyasaya s\u00fcrmeyi planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ajans ayr\u0131ca 2026 k\u00fcresel petrol talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tahminini g\u00fcnl\u00fck 850 bin varilden (bpd: g\u00fcnde varil) 640 bin varile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.\n\nGrafiklerde WTI, 21, 50 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131yla trendi g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesini g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 81\u2019e yak\u0131n seyrederken ADX (trend g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi: trendin ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu \u00f6l\u00e7er) 40\u2019lar\u0131n y\u00fcksek seviyelerine y\u00f6neldi; ATR (ortalama ger\u00e7ek aral\u0131k: g\u00fcnl\u00fck dalgalanman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7er) y\u00fckseldi. Diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 94,61 dolar civar\u0131nda (113,28\u2019den 75,95\u2019e hareketin y\u00fczde 50 geri alma\/\u201cretracement\u201d seviyesi: \u00f6nceki hareketin ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n geri al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm), ard\u0131ndan 99,02 ve 105,29 dolar; \u00fcstte 113,28 dolar. Destek (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi yava\u015flatan seviye) 90,21, 84,76, 75,95 dolar ve 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 72,20 dolar civar\u0131nda.\n\n<h3>\u00d6nemli Piyasa Seviyeleri<\/h3>  \nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l IEA\u2019n\u0131n stratejik rezervlerden 400 milyon varil piyasaya s\u00fcrmesi, k\u00fcresel stoklar\u0131 bahar d\u00f6nemine girerken daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir konumda b\u0131rakt\u0131. ABD ham petrol \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 13,3 milyon varil ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalsa da, yeni bir ciddi arz kesintisini telafi etmeye yetmeyebilir. Bu nedenle Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin yeniden artmas\u0131 fiyatlar \u00fczerinde orant\u0131s\u0131z bir etki yaratabilir. Bu ortamda \u201clong call\u201d (al\u0131m opsiyonu almak: belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131; fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma\/hedge ama\u00e7l\u0131) se\u00e7enekleri arz \u015fokuna kar\u015f\u0131 korunma arac\u0131 olabilir.\n\nIEA\u2019n\u0131n 2025 tarihli ve 2026 talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tahminini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eken \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc, k\u00fcresel ekonomide yava\u015flama i\u015faretleriyle daha anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r hale geliyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerden gelen PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: \u00fcretim ve sipari\u015flerde geni\u015fleme\/daralmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren anket verisi) verileri imalatta daralmaya i\u015faret ederek enerji talebi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. S\u00fcren talep zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir; bu da \u201cbear call spread\u201di (ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc call spreadi: iki farkl\u0131 fiyattan call al\u0131p-satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren, yatay veya hafif d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisinde kullan\u0131lan strateji) aral\u0131kta kalan ya da hafif negatif piyasada kullan\u0131labilir hale getiriyor.\n\n2025 krizinde i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen kilit Fibonacci seviyeleri (Fibonacci geri alma seviyeleri: fiyat\u0131n destek\/diren\u00e7 bulabilece\u011fi oranlar) izleniyor; \u00f6zellikle 76 dolar civar\u0131 destek ve 90 dolar civar\u0131 diren\u00e7. Deste\u011fin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, talep kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir; bu durumda \u201cshort\u201d pozisyon (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleyerek sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) a\u00e7mak veya \u201cput\u201d almak (sat\u0131m opsiyonu: belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7\/korunma) g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 90 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 hareket, arz kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterebilir ve h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi tetikleyebilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 riski petrol\u00fc yeniden ate\u015fledi: WTI y\u00fczde 7,5 s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p 94 dolar band\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130ran \u201ckapatma\u201d sinyali verirken IEA rezerv hamlesi ve zay\u0131f talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30240\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}