{"id":30220,"date":"2026-03-12T21:02:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T21:02:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rbc-ekonomisti-abbey-xu-oynaklik-ortaminda-ihracat-ve-ithalatin-gerilemesiyle-kanadanin-ticaret-aciginin-ocakta-genisledigini-bildirdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T21:02:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T21:02:46","slug":"rbc-ekonomisti-abbey-xu-oynaklik-ortaminda-ihracat-ve-ithalatin-gerilemesiyle-kanadanin-ticaret-aciginin-ocakta-genisledigini-bildirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rbc-ekonomisti-abbey-xu-oynaklik-ortaminda-ihracat-ve-ithalatin-gerilemesiyle-kanadanin-ticaret-aciginin-ocakta-genisledigini-bildirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"RBC ekonomisti Abbey Xu, oynakl\u0131k ortam\u0131nda ihracat ve ithalat\u0131n gerilemesiyle Kanada\u2019n\u0131n ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ocakta geni\u015fledi\u011fini bildirdi."},"content":{"rendered":"Kanada\u2019n\u0131n mal ticareti a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ocakta 3,6 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; aral\u0131kta 1,3 milyar dolard\u0131. \u0130hracat %4,7, ithalat %1,1 geriledi.\n\nAyl\u0131k ticaret verileri, d\u00fczensiz sevkiyatlardan etkilenmeye devam ediyor; buna alt\u0131n, motorlu ta\u015f\u0131tlar ve u\u00e7ak teslimatlar\u0131 da dahil. \u201cNet ticaret\u201d (ihracat eksi ithalat) \u015fu anda 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH (gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la, ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden puan g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\n

K\u0131sa Vadeli Ticaret G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nOcakta g\u00f6r\u00fclen bozulman\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n \u015fubatta geri al\u0131nmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 y\u00fckselen enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, martta Kanada\u2019n\u0131n net ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n2026\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ticaret, daha istikrarl\u0131 bir ticaret politikas\u0131 ortam\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Ocakta ihracat\u0131n %89,5\u2019i ABD\u2019ye g\u00fcmr\u00fcks\u00fcz yap\u0131ld\u0131; aral\u0131kta bu oran %89,2\u2019ydi (g\u00fcmr\u00fcks\u00fcz: ithalat vergisi olmadan).\n\n\u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na iyile\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 son aylarda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi. Yurt i\u00e7i talep (\u00fclke i\u00e7indeki t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131) genel olarak artmaya devam etti.\n\nKanada\u2019n\u0131n ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ocakta 3,6 milyar dolara y\u00fckselmesi, 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Bu zay\u0131f man\u015fet g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ihracattaki %4,7\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynakland\u0131 ve \u201cay\u0131 piyasas\u0131\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisini) art\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130lk veriler, ekonomide yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret ederek Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir.\n\n

Ticarete Dayal\u0131 D\u00f6viz Stratejisi<\/h3>\nAncak ocaktaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ici g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; alt\u0131n ve otomobil sevkiyatlar\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131ktan (k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde etkilendi. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ana unsur, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma; bunun martta net ihracat\u0131 desteklemesi bekleniyor. Son veriler bunu do\u011fruluyor: WTI ham petrol (ABD referans petrol\u00fc) fiyat\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu seviye 2024 sonundan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti.\n\nBu durum, yak\u0131n vadede \u201cloonie\u201dnin (Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalardaki takma ad\u0131) g\u00fc\u00e7lenece\u011fine oynayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat yaratabilir. Olumsuz ocak verisi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlara yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f olabilir; bu nedenle nisan sonu veya may\u0131sta vadesi dolan Kanada dolar\u0131 \u201ccall opsiyonlar\u0131na\u201d (al\u0131m opsiyonu: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) bak\u0131yoruz. Bu strateji, \u015fubat ve mart ticaret verilerindeki beklenen toparlanmadan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.\n\n2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde para biriminin geride kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz; bunun nedeni, faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019den ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yd\u0131. Enerji ihracat\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma bu e\u011filimi tersine \u00e7evirebilir. ABD ile ticarette, ihracat\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %90\u2019\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcmr\u00fcks\u00fcz olmas\u0131 bu beklenti i\u00e7in sa\u011flam bir zemin sa\u011fl\u0131yor.\n\nAyr\u0131ca yurt i\u00e7i ekonomi dayan\u0131kl\u0131; i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %5,7\u2019de yatay seyrederken talepte art\u0131\u015f i\u015faretleri var. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7, \u015fubatta enflasyonun %2,9\u2019a y\u00fckselmesiyle birlikte, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) faiz indirme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bu temel destek, ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Kanada dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in ek bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r arkas\u0131na (destekleyici etki) d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u015eok veri: Kanada\u2019n\u0131n ocak ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 3,6 milyar dolara s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; ihracat %4,7 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ancak enerji fiyatlar\u0131, \u015fubat toparlanmas\u0131 ve martta net ihracatla CAD\u2019a destek sinyali veriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30220","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30220"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30220\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}