{"id":30212,"date":"2026-03-12T19:03:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T19:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ekonomistler-reuters-anketine-gore-ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-mart-ayindaki-yaklasan-toplantisinda-faiz-oranlarini-375te-sabit-tutmasini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T19:03:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T19:03:46","slug":"ekonomistler-reuters-anketine-gore-ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-mart-ayindaki-yaklasan-toplantisinda-faiz-oranlarini-375te-sabit-tutmasini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ekonomistler-reuters-anketine-gore-ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-mart-ayindaki-yaklasan-toplantisinda-faiz-oranlarini-375te-sabit-tutmasini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomistler, Reuters anketine g\u00f6re \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n mart ay\u0131ndaki yakla\u015fan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Reuters\u2019\u0131n 12 Mart\u2019ta yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete g\u00f6re ekonomistler, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesini bekliyor. Ankete g\u00f6re kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n %85\u2019i, politika faizinin (bank rate: BoE\u2019nin piyasaya y\u00f6n veren ana faizi) 19 Mart\u2019ta %3,75\u2019te kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu oran \u015fubatta %35\u2019ti.\n\nMedyan tahmin (kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ortanca beklentisi), politika faizinin eyl\u00fcl sonu itibar\u0131yla %3,25\u2019e gerileyece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Ard\u0131ndan faizin en az 2026 sonuna kadar %3,25\u2019te kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n<h3>\u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131 \u00d6ncesi Bankan\u0131n Enflasyon G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n5 \u015eubat\u2019ta yay\u0131mlanan Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu\u2019nda (Monetary Policy Report: BoE\u2019nin enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 temel rapor), Banka T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc) enflasyonunun 2026\u2019n\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde %2,1\u2019e yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu tahmin, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\n\nBanka 18 Mart\u2019ta toplanacak ve karar\u0131n\u0131 19 Mart\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Bir sonraki Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu\u2019nun 30 Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (enflasyonu ve ekonomiyi etkilemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan ara\u00e7lar) %2\u2019lik enflasyon hedefine ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in belirler; bunu a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kla temel faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirerek yapar. Bu kararlar ekonomideki bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini etkiler ve sterlinin (GBP) de\u011ferini oynatabilir.\n\nEnflasyon hedefin \u00fczerindeyken faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 sterlini destekleyebilir; enflasyon hedefin alt\u0131ndayken faiz indirimi sterlini bask\u0131layabilir. Parasal geni\u015fleme (quantitative easing: merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n piyasadan tahvil gibi varl\u0131klar alarak sisteme para vermesi) sterlini zay\u0131flatabilir. Parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (quantitative tightening: bu al\u0131mlar\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ya da bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme) ise sterlini destekleyebilir.\n\n<h3>Piyasa Beklentileri: O Zaman ve \u015eimdi<\/h3>\n2025\u2019in bu d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, piyasa g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc BoE\u2019nin faizleri bir s\u00fcre sabit tuttuktan sonra y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Bu beklenti, sonraki jeopolitik \u015foklar\u0131 hesaba katmayan enflasyon tahminlerine dayan\u0131yordu. Ancak \u201cbug\u00fcn faizin %3,25 olmas\u0131\u201d beklentisi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi.\n\n2025 ortas\u0131nda ba\u015flayan \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda sert bir \u015fok yaratarak enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini bozdu. 2025\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu art\u0131\u015f \u0130ngiltere\u2019de t\u00fcketicilerin ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve enerji maliyetlerine h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde yans\u0131d\u0131. Bu beklenmedik geli\u015fme, Banka\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nceki enflasyon tahminlerini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131ld\u0131.\n\nSonu\u00e7 olarak enflasyon y\u00fcksek kald\u0131; \u015eubat 2026\u2019ya ait son T\u00dcFE verisi %3,4 ile Banka\u2019n\u0131n %2 hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu tablo, BoE\u2019nin \u015eubat 2025\u2019te \u201cbu \u00e7eyrekte enflasyon %2,1\u2019e iner\u201d \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn tersine i\u015faret ediyor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131 (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kolay gerilememesi), faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirdi.\n\nBu nedenle BoE ge\u00e7en y\u0131l \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen faiz indirim s\u00fcrecini ba\u015flatmad\u0131; politika faizi bug\u00fcn %4,0 seviyesinde. Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019nin (ONS: \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin resmi istatistik kurumu) verileri, 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonominin %0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile durdu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi; bu da \u201cstagflasyon\u201d (y\u00fcksek enflasyon + zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu tablo, Banka\u2019y\u0131 gelecek haftaki toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde zor bir dengeye itiyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalar nefesini tuttu: Reuters anketine g\u00f6re BoE\u2019nin 19 Mart\u2019ta faizi %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Medyan tahmin eyl\u00fclde %3,25; \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131-enflasyon \u015foku indirimleri erteledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30212"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30212\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}